《Harris Williams:2024年第四季度電商行業簡報(英文版)(10頁).pdf》由會員分享,可在線閱讀,更多相關《Harris Williams:2024年第四季度電商行業簡報(英文版)(10頁).pdf(10頁珍藏版)》請在三個皮匠報告上搜索。
1、E-Commerce Sector BriefHarris Williams|Q4 2024The e-commerce landscape continues to experience sector disruption,prompting companies to adapt their playbooks.2Q4 2024:Key Trends ObservedHappening in E-Commerce Right NowBrand Awareness is a Priority“Increasing brand awareness and consideration remain
2、s one of our single biggest opportunities in almost every market in which we operate.”Calvin McDonald,CEO of Lululemon AthleticaAugust 2024 Earnings CallHard Goods Market Stabilizing“We would characterize hard goods as having stabilized and being broadly flat on a quarter-to-quarter basis.I think th
3、e positive signals that were seeing from hard goods is that weve reached a level of stability,which is indicated to us by active customer growth sequentially Q1 to Q2 for the first time since Q1 of 23.”David Reader,CFO of ChewyAugust 2024 Earnings CallGlobal E-Commerce Opportunity“We have a fantasti
4、c marketing opportunity to go deep in high-potential countries that were going to pursue over time.We sell internationally,but we havent even come close to fully capitalizing on the potential of international.As we think about the revenue opportunity of our company,theres so much there.And the compe
5、titive set overseas is so much more limited.”Trina Spear,CEO and Co-Founder of FIGSAugust 2024 Earnings CallCapitalization on Supply Chain Management“I would like to thank our team for managing and neutralizing the ongoing risks in the dynamic supply chain environment.We anticipate that the end resu
6、lt of these efforts and the momentum we are seeing puts us on pace to deliver record-high gross margins for the full year.Our top line and gross margin execution continued to support our long-term growth and strategic investments while also delivering upside to the bottom line.Matthew Reintjes,CEO o
7、f Yeti August 2024 Earnings Call“Were seeing lower average selling prices or ASPs right now because customers continue to trade down on price when they can.More discretionary higher-ticket items like computers or electronics or TVs are growing faster for us than what we see elsewhere in the industry
8、 but more slowly than we see in a more robust economy.”Andy Jassy,CEO of AmazonAugust 2024 Earnings CallBudget-Constrained Consumers Are Moving Down the Price/Value Continuum49%(5%)(16%)130%48%(50%)-50%100%150%200%Jan-23Mar-23 May-23Jul-23Sep-23Nov-23Jan-24Mar-24 May-24Jul-24Sep-243Recent Public Com
9、pany Market PerformanceS&P 500Source:S&P Capital IQ;Earnings Transcripts;as of Oct.21,2024Digitally Native BrandsOmnichannel BrandsMarketing ChannelsMarketplacesMarket Price PerformanceLTM EBITDA PerformancePerformance since Jan-23Performance since Jan-23(7%)19%197%135%(200%)(100%)-100%200%Jan-23Mar
10、-23 May-23Jul-23Sep-23 Nov-23Jan-24 Mar-24 May-24Jul-24Sep-244Public Company Revenue Growth TrendsDigitally Native BrandsDigitally Native BrandsOmnichannel BrandsOmnichannelMarketing ChannelsMarketing ChannelsMarketplacesMarketplaces15.6%(3.7%)1.9%(10.0%)(5.0%)-5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%202220232024E19.5%4
11、.0%6.1%-5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%202220232024E9.2%8.8%17.6%-2.0%4.0%6.0%8.0%10.0%12.0%14.0%16.0%18.0%20.0%202220232024E9.8%9.5%6.0%-2.0%4.0%6.0%8.0%10.0%12.0%202220232024E2024E revised downward from+6.6%2024E revised upward from+15.5%Source:S&P Capital IQ;as of Oct.21,20245Public Company Valuation Me
12、tricsMedian EV/NTM RevenueSource:S&P Capital IQ;as of Oct.21,2024Median EV/NTM EBITDAForward P/E MultipleOverall Median:2.4xOverall Median:13.1xOverall Median:23.3xDigitally Native BrandsOmnichannel BrandsMarketing ChannelsMarketplaces1.1x1.7x5.3x2.8x17.3x8.9x16.6x14.0 x53.0 x15.3x23.3x31.3x(8%)(6%)
13、(4%)(2%)-2%4%6%8%10%12%20202021202220232024 YTD(30%)(20%)(10%)-10%20%30%40%20202021202220232024 YTDOnline digital consumer numbers have seen softness in 2024 compared to the same period in 2023 but remain elevated for most channels compared to pre-COVID levels.Omnichannel brands experienced the leas
14、t decline in active users,with incumbent marketplaces observing increasing pressure from new entrants,such as Temu and Shein.6Web Traffic Analytics by ChannelGrowth in Active Digital Consumers(%Change YoY)Growth in Digital Consumer Activity1Digitally Native BrandsOmnichannel BrandsRetailer WebsitesM
15、arketplacesSource:Harris Williams proprietary data analysis via Semrush analytics;YTD 2024 compares YTD Sep-24 to YTD Sep-23;CAGR time period of 4.75 years(1)Total Visits/Unique VisitorsDigital consumer activity demonstrated mild growth in 2023.YTD 2024 has experienced a softness in overall consumer
16、 activity across all channels.19-LTM 24 CAGRDTC3.3%Omni1.8%Retailer(1.3%)Marketplace2.6%GLOBAL INVESTMENT BANKLearn more about our experience in the space:Additional ContactsEd ArkusGroup Head,Managing DirectorConsumer G+44 20 7518 8905Will BainManaging DirectorConsumer G+44 20 7518 8906Kelly McPhil
17、liamyManaging DirectorConsumer Group (804)915-0114Corey BenjaminManaging Director Consumer G(804)932-1342Brant CashManaging DirectorConsumer G(612)359-2709 Zach EnglandManaging DirectorConsumer G(415)217-3429Ryan FreemanManaging DirectorConsumer G(612)359-2703Select recent transactions in the sector
18、:Tim AlexanderManaging DirectorConsumer G(612)359-2716Andreas PothManaging DirectorConsumer G+49 69 3650638 20Ryan BudlongGroup Head,Managing DirectorConsumer G(415)217-3409Bernardo VillarDirectorConsumer G(804)915-0164Brent SpillerGroup Head,Managing DirectorConsumer G(804)915-01837Tombstone hereTo
19、mbstone here8Insightful Sector ContentSelect DTC/E-Commerce ClientsE-Commerce Consumer Survey:A Glimpse Into Whats Ahead|January 2024Harris Williams Pet Sector Update|May 2024E-Commerce:5 Key Themes Driving Growth|March 2024Harris Williams:Deep DTC and E-Commerce Sector ExperienceDIGITALLY NATIVE BR
20、ANDSOMNICHANNEL BRANDSCONSUMER-FACING TECHNOLOGY MARKETING&DATA ANALYTICSE-COMMERCE ANALYTICSLink to ReadLink to ReadLink to Read9Healthcare&Life SciencesHarris Williams is a global investment bank specializing in M&A and private capital advisory services.Clients worldwide rely on us to help unlock
21、value in their business and turn ambitious goals into reality.We approach every engagement with boundless collaboration,pooling expertise and relationships across industries,service offerings,and geographies.GLOBAL INVESTMENT BANKProven ExpertiseCore Values That Drive SuccessDeep Industry Experience
22、Aerospace,Defense&Government ServicesBusiness ServicesConsumerEnergy,Power&InfrastructureTransportation&LogisticsTechnologyIndustrialsM E R G E R S&A C Q U I S I T I O N SP R I M A R Y F U N D P L A C E M E N TP R I V A T E C A P I T A L S O L U T I O N SRevenue from repeat clients75%Managing Direct
23、ors promoted from within87%Year history30+Unique Multi-Sector Coverage of E-CommerceBoston|Chicago|Cleveland|Frankfurt|London|Minneapolis|New York|Richmond|San Francisco|Washington,D.C.10Disclosures and DisclaimersSources1.S&P Capital IQ2.PitchBook3.SemrushHarris Williams LLC is a registered broker-
24、dealer and member of FINRA and SIPC.Harris Williams&Co.Ltd.is a private limited company incorporated under English law with its registered office at 13th floor,One Angel Court,London EC2R 7HJ,U.K.,registered with the Registrar of Companies for England and Wales(registration number 07078852).Harris W
25、illiams&Co.Ltd.is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority,number 5408952.Harris Williams Private Capital Advisory Ltd.is an Appointed Representative of Sturgeon Ventures,LLP,which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority number 452811.Harris Williams&Co.Corp
26、orate Finance Advisors GmbH is registered in the commercial register of the local court of Frankfurt am Main,Germany,under HRB 107540.The registered address is Bockenheimer Landstrasse 33-35,60325 Frankfurt am Main,Germany(email address:),Geschftsfhrer/Director:Paul Poggi,VAT No.DE321666994.Harris W
27、illiams is a trade name under which Harris Williams LLC,Harris Williams&Co.Ltd.,and Harris Williams&Co.Corporate Finance Advisors GmbH conduct business.HW is an affiliate of The PNC Financial Services Group,Inc.,which,together with its subsidiaries and affiliates and their agents(collectively,“PNC”)
28、,engages in a broad range of businesses.PNC may have had,and may currently or in the future have,business with or ownership in the company and its related persons,potential parties to the proposed transaction and their related persons,or their competitors,customers,or suppliers.When HW is engaged to
29、 provide adviser services in a transaction,HW is acting only for its client in connection with the proposed transaction.The distribution of this document in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law,and accordingly,recipients of this document represent that they are able to receive this documen
30、t without contravention of any registration requirement or other legal restrictions in the jurisdictions in which they reside or in which they conduct business.This document does not contain all the information needed to assess any transaction.You must conduct your own investigations and analyses.HW
31、 does not provide accounting,tax,investment,regulatory,or legal advice to anyone.This document is for discussion purposes only and is not a recommendation,offer,or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or an invitation or inducement to engage in any transaction or investment activity
32、.HW obtained the information in this document from company and/or thirdparty sources.HW has not independently verified such information and no obligation is undertaken to provide updated or additional information.No representation or warranty,expressed or implied,is made in relation to the fairness,
33、accuracy,correctness,or completeness of the information,opinions,or conclusions expressed herein.All forwardlooking statements herein involve assumptions and elements of subjective judgment and analysis and are not facts.Nothing in this document guarantees future results or performance.This document
34、 is only being distributed to,and only made available to,and directed at:(a)persons who are outside the United Kingdom;(b)persons in the United Kingdom who have professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(5)of the U.K.Financial Services and Markets Act 2000(F
35、inancial Promotion)Order 2005,as amended(the“Order”);(c)high net worth entities and other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated falling within Article 49(2)(a)and(d)of the Order;or(d)any other person to whom this document may otherwise lawfully be communicated or caused to be com
36、municated(all such persons in b to d together being referred to as“Relevant Persons”).This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not Relevant Persons.In the U.K.,any investment or investment activity to which this document relates is only available to,and will be engaged with,Relevant Persons.Sources and Disclosures