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1、PREDICTIONS 2025 PREDICTIONS 2025 REPORT REPORT A 33-Country Ipsos Global Advisor SurveyDecember 2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report2Some key numbers on how the global public is feeling65%on average across 33 countries say“2024 was a bad year for my country”,down from 70%last year and 73%the year bef

2、ore.51%on average across 33 countries say“2024 was a bad year for me and my family”,down from 53%last year and 56%the year before.2 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Service Report71 71%on average across 33 countries say they are “optimistic that next year will be a better year than this year”,up from 70%last

3、year and 65%the year before.5151%on average across 33countries say“The global economy will be stronger next year than it was this year”,up from 50%last year and 46%the year before.2024 in retrospectOutlook for 2025 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report3Some key numbers on the outlook for 20253 Ipsos Predict

4、ions 2025 Service Report67%on average across 33 countries say“The level of immigration into my country will increase”,down from 71%last year.The outlook for 2025:Society79%on average across 33 countries say“Prices in.COUNTRY will increase faster than peoples incomes”,unchanged from last year.The out

5、look for 2025:Economy47%on average across 33 countries say“There will be a new global pandemic caused by a new virus”,down from 48%last year.The outlook for 2025:Security65%on average across 33 countries say“Artificial Intelligence will lead to many new jobs being lost in my country”,up from 64%last

6、 year.The outlook for 2025:Technology80%on average across 33 countries say“Average global temperatures will increase”,down from 81%last year.The outlook for 2025:Environment Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report4CONTENTSCONTENTS1Key findings6Expectations for World Security in 20252How was 2024 for you?7Expe

7、ctations for the Environment in 20253Overall expectations for 20258Expectations for Society in 20254Expectations for the Economy in 20259Appendix5Expectations for Technology in 2025 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report5Outlook for 2025However,positivity for the new year is yet to return to pre-COVID levels

8、.Seven in ten(71%)say they are optimistic 2025 will be better than this year.Higher than in 2022(65%),but below the level of positivity seen before the pandemic when three in four were thought the next year would be better.2024 in retrospectDespite the cost-of-living crisis and conflicts around the

9、world,fewer people say this year was bad.Two-thirds(65%)say 2024 was a bad year for my country,down 5pp since last year and this is the lowest figure since 2019.One in two(51%)say this year was a bad year for my family,down 2pp since 2023.The public outlook for the economy for 2025Globally,peoples e

10、conomic outlook remains relatively unchanged on most measures for 2025 compared to what we saw last year.Concerns persist with a majority anticipating higher prices,taxes,and unemployment in their country.A significant 79%of respondents across 33 countries believe that prices will increase faster th

11、an incomes in 2025,a figure unchanged since 2022.Similarly,expectations for higher taxes remain substantial at 74%,which is consistent with the findings of the previous year.The one major exception to these relatively static perceptions of the economy is regarding interest rates.Expectations for hig

12、her interest rates in 2025 have decreased globally,with 61%of respondents anticipating a rise compared to 70%in 2023.This nine-percentage point drop suggests a growing belief that interest rate hikes may be nearing their peak.Key findings Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report6Unease about the role of techno

13、logy and world security isnt going awayThe public outlook for technology for 2025Navigating a world of technological dualities.The global public continues to hold a complex and often contradictory view of technologys future,marked by both anticipation and apprehension.Globally,the fear of AI-driven

14、job losses(65%)continues to outweigh the expectation of AI-driven job creation(43%).This trend echoes previous years,but the gap appears to be slightly narrowing.Optimism shines in China,where 77%foresee AI creating jobs,while concerns dominate in Japan,with 65%predicting job losses.The public outlo

15、ok for world security for 2025A sense of unease permeates as people grapple with a complex and uncertain future.A prevailing sense of unease characterises global expectations for world security in 2025.While pandemic fears have slightly subsided(47%globally,down 1 percentage point from 2023),the thr

16、eat of nuclear conflict(49%likely)looms large,with Indonesians(79%)and Malaysians(67%)feeling particularly worried.Anxiety around rogue AI remains unchanged from last year with 35%globally fearing significant disruption a surprising response given this years CrowdStrike global outage event.This sugg

17、ests a potential link between technological advancement and perceived security risks.Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report7Environmental concerns and social anxieties persistThe public outlook for the environment for 2025Environmental concerns persist while faith in government action and technological solut

18、ions wane.Global anxieties surrounding climate change persist,with 80%expecting rising global temperatures,(-1 percentage point from 2023),this is significantly more than the 71%who agreed with this statement in 2017 when we first asked this question.72%globally also anticipate more extreme weather

19、events(+1 percentage point from 2023).This unease is reflected in the 42%who believe parts of their country will become uninhabitable due to extreme weather.Regional disparities are stark.The public outlook for society for 2025Societal anxieties persist,with low hopes for progress.Global anxieties a

20、round immigration,persistent gender inequality,and evolving work patterns dominate public expectations for 2025,while optimism for increased societal tolerance remains muted.Globally,67%of people anticipate increased immigration,down 4 percentage points from last year,despite this perception often d

21、iverging from actual migration trends.Countries like Trkiye(84%)and Spain(80%)express higher expectations than nations with historically higher immigration levels like the US(56%)and Canada(55%).This suggests anxieties,rather than empirical data,may be driving these perceptions.Ipsos Predictions 202

22、5 ReportHow was 2024 How was 2024 for you?for you?8 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report92024 in retrospectPlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:Base:23,721 online adults under the age of 75 across 33 countries,interviewe

23、d 25 October 8 November 2024.65%51%35%49%2024 was a bad year for my country2024 was a bad year for me and myfamilyAgreeDisagreeGlobal averages%Agree 202370%53%-2 pp-5 pp Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report10Q.Base:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,

24、the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,20242024 in an historical contextPlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very

25、much with thefollowing statements?Global averages-%agree62%65%90%77%73%70%65%52%53%51%48%46%50%70%58%56%53%51%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%12345678910111213This year was a bad year for my countryThis year was a bad year for me and my family2012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024 Ips

26、os Predictions 2025 Report11Q.Please indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:2024 was a bad year for my countryMarketAgreeDisagreeChange agree vs 202365%84%83%79%79%78%76%73%73%72%71%71%71%70%69%69%69%68%66%65%65%63%63%63%6

27、3%59%56%55%55%54%53%47%44%34%35%17%17%21%21%22%24%27%27%28%29%29%29%30%31%31%31%32%34%35%36%37%37%37%38%41%44%45%45%46%47%54%56%66%Global Country AverageSouth KoreaTrkiyeFrancePeruHungaryGreat BritainRomaniaSouth AfricaGermanyArgentinaCanadaIndiaSwedenChilePhilippinesUnited StatesSpainItalyBrazilTha

28、ilandBelgiumAustraliaJapanColombiaMexicoNetherlandsMalaysiaIrelandIndonesiaPolandSingaporeSwitzerlandChinaBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia an

29、d Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024-5%2%-1%2%0%-4%-7%-1%-3%-5%-17%-4%6%-14%-6%3%-2%0%-6%2%2%-10%-4%1%-9%4%-8%-4%N/A3%-16%-1%-4%-14%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report12Q.MarketAgreeDisagreePlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree some

30、what or disagree very much with the following statements:2024 was a bad year for me and my family51%67%66%66%63%63%61%60%59%57%55%54%53%52%52%51%51%50%49%49%49%48%48%47%47%46%46%45%44%43%43%40%33%30%49%33%34%35%37%37%39%40%41%43%45%47%47%48%48%49%49%50%51%51%51%52%52%53%54%54%54%55%56%57%58%60%67%70

31、%Global Country AveragePeruArgentinaTrkiyeSouth AfricaSouth KoreaIndiaHungaryThailandPhilippinesChileMalaysiaBrazilAustraliaRomaniaCanadaUnited StatesMexicoIndonesiaItalyColombiaSpainFranceIrelandGermanyGreat BritainSwitzerlandSingaporeBelgiumSwedenPolandJapanNetherlandsChinaChange agree vs 2023Base

32、:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024-2%6%-1%-7%-1%3%-3%-3%-1%

33、-2%0%1%3%0%-1%-4%-1%-1%3%4%0%-1%-5%N/A-3%-4%0%-2%-11%-2%-9%2%-6%-16%Ipsos Predictions 2025 ReportExpectations Expectations for 2025for 202513 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report14Q.75%71%69%69%52%51%25%29%31%31%48%49%I will make some personal resolutions to dosome specific things for myself or others in20

34、25I am optimistic that 2025 will be a better yearfor me than it was in 2024My mental health will be better in 2025 than itwas in 2024My physical health will be better in 2025 than itwas in 2024In 2025 people in COUNTRY will start to feelmore optimistic about the long-term futureThe global economy wi

35、ll be stronger in 2025than it was in 2024AgreeDisagreeOutlook for 2024Please indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:Global averagesBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Mal

36、aysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024%Agree 202370%+1 ppN/A50%+1 ppN/AN/A75%No change Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report15Q.Outlook for 2025 in a historic

37、al contextPlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with thefollowing statements?Global averages-%agree80%76%78%76%75%75%77%77%65%70%71%49%53%54%59%53%52%54%61%46%50%51%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%12345678910111213I am optimistic that next yea

38、r will be a better year than this yearThe global economy will be stronger next year than it was this year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024Base:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the Un

39、ited States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report16Q.Please indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:I will

40、 make some personal resolutions to do some specific things for myself or others in 2025MarketAgreeDisagreeChange agree vs 202375%94%93%93%91%90%90%90%89%89%86%83%82%82%78%78%78%77%76%74%73%72%72%70%70%67%64%64%63%62%55%50%40%31%25%6%7%8%9%10%10%10%11%11%14%17%18%18%22%22%23%23%24%26%27%28%28%30%31%3

41、3%36%36%37%38%45%50%60%69%Global Country AverageIndonesiaColombiaChinaRomaniaSouth AfricaMexicoPhilippinesArgentinaPeruChileMalaysiaBrazilThailandItalySingaporeSpainTrkiyeSwitzerlandCanadaIrelandUnited StatesAustraliaPolandFranceGermanyIndiaSouth KoreaBelgiumGreat BritainHungaryNetherlandsJapanSwede

42、nBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,20240%1%4%4%6%3%-1%0%4%-

43、3%-2%6%2%2%0%-1%-1%-1%4%5%N/A0%2%-4%2%-4%-20%-4%2%-7%-1%-1%-2%0%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report17Q.AgreeDisagreePlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:I am optimistic that 2025 will be a better year for me than it was

44、 in 2024MarketChange agree vs 202371%90%88%87%87%85%84%84%81%79%79%79%79%76%72%72%72%71%71%70%70%69%69%67%66%66%61%59%58%56%56%51%50%38%29%10%12%13%14%15%16%16%19%21%21%21%21%24%28%28%28%29%29%30%30%31%31%33%34%34%39%41%42%44%44%49%50%63%Global Country AverageIndonesiaColombiaChinaPhilippinesPeruSou

45、th AfricaMexicoMalaysiaThailandArgentinaBrazilChileIndiaPolandSingaporeHungaryAustraliaCanadaUnited StatesRomaniaIrelandSwitzerlandNetherlandsSwedenSpainGreat BritainTrkiyeItalyGermanySouth KoreaBelgiumFranceJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland

46、,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,20241%-1%9%0%1%2%5%-3%8%2%10%1%0%-11%2%1%-4%3%8%5%2%N/A8%-1%2%0%-3%0%-1%-1%3%-1%4%-1%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Repo

47、rt18Q.Please indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:My physical health will be better in 2025 than it was in 2024MarketAgreeDisagree69%90%89%88%87%84%84%83%83%82%81%75%75%75%74%71%70%68%68%67%65%64%62%61%60%60%59%59%53%50%

48、50%49%49%34%31%10%11%12%13%16%16%17%17%18%20%25%25%25%26%29%31%32%32%33%35%37%38%39%40%40%41%41%47%50%51%51%51%66%Global Country AverageIndonesiaPhilippinesChinaSouth AfricaArgentinaColombiaMexicoPeruMalaysiaBrazilChileIndiaThailandRomaniaSingaporeUnited StatesIrelandAustraliaCanadaSwitzerlandSweden

49、SpainTrkiyeGreat BritainNetherlandsItalyPolandGermanyBelgiumFranceHungarySouth KoreaJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 1

50、6-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report19Q.AgreeDisagreePlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:My mental health will be better in 2025 than it was in 2024Ma

51、rket69%92%90%87%85%82%82%82%81%79%79%79%76%75%73%73%70%70%69%68%66%66%64%64%62%62%59%58%55%54%53%51%50%38%31%8%10%13%16%18%18%18%19%21%21%22%24%25%27%27%30%30%31%32%34%34%36%36%38%38%41%42%45%46%47%49%50%63%Global Country AverageIndonesiaChinaPhilippinesSouth AfricaMexicoMalaysiaPeruColombiaRomaniaT

52、hailandBrazilArgentinaIndiaChileSingaporeUnited StatesCanadaAustraliaIrelandSpainSwitzerlandPolandSwedenItalyNetherlandsGreat BritainBelgiumSouth KoreaTrkiyeFranceGermanyHungaryJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South

53、 Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report20Q.AgreeDisagreePlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very muc

54、h with the following statements:In 2025 people in COUNTRY will start to feel more optimistic about the long-term futureMarket52%88%86%81%78%73%70%70%69%66%63%63%61%61%59%56%54%50%48%46%46%45%45%41%41%35%34%34%30%29%29%27%25%18%48%12%14%19%22%27%30%30%31%34%37%37%39%39%41%44%46%50%52%54%54%55%55%59%5

55、9%65%66%66%70%71%71%73%76%82%Global Country AverageChinaIndonesiaPhilippinesMalaysiaIndiaPeruSouth AfricaMexicoThailandArgentinaColombiaChileBrazilSingaporeUnited StatesIrelandAustraliaSwedenSpainCanadaRomaniaPolandSwitzerlandGreat BritainTrkiyeItalySouth KoreaNetherlandsBelgiumGermanyHungaryFranceJ

56、apanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Prediction

57、s 2025 Report21Q.Please indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:The global economy will be stronger in 2025 than it was in 2024MarketAgreeDisagreeChange agree vs 202351%82%79%73%73%70%67%63%61%60%60%60%60%54%53%53%51%51%48%

58、47%47%46%46%41%41%40%36%35%35%34%30%28%27%25%49%19%21%27%27%31%33%38%40%40%40%40%41%47%47%47%49%49%52%53%54%54%55%59%60%61%64%65%66%66%70%72%73%75%Global Country AverageIndonesiaChinaIndiaMalaysiaPhilippinesThailandSouth AfricaArgentinaMexicoSingaporeBrazilPeruUnited StatesChileColombiaRomaniaIrelan

59、dSwedenPolandAustraliaSpainCanadaSwitzerlandGreat BritainTrkiyeGermanyNetherlandsHungaryItalySouth KoreaJapanBelgiumFranceBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74

60、 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,20241%0%-3%-12%11%-4%-1%14%10%-2%1%0%9%9%2%-1%6%N/A14%-9%-1%2%7%-2%-2%-3%-4%-9%-11%-6%-3%-2%-3%-8%Ipsos Predictions 2025 ReportExpectations for Expectations for the Economy the Economy in 2025in 202522 I

61、psos Predictions 2025 Report23Q.79%74%70%68%61%16%18%21%23%27%Prices in COUNTRY will increase faster than peoples incomesTaxes in COUNTRY will be higher in 2025 thanin 2024Inflation in COUNTRY will be higher in 2025than in 2024Unemployment in COUNTRY will be higher in2025 than in 2024Interest rates

62、in COUNTRY will be higher in2025 than in 2024LikelyUnlikelyEconomyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Global averages%Likely 2023Base:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,S

63、outh Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,202479%No change70%-9 ppN/A70%No change68%No change Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report24Q.EconomyFor each of the following,please tell me how li

64、kely or unlikely you think they are to happen?%Likely:G7 marketsBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countri

65、es.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,202481%77%67%67%50%82%86%69%73%60%81%75%69%70%45%77%85%64%66%56%79%70%64%66%55%56%71%74%57%49%68%61%59%52%54%Prices will rise faster than incomesTaxes will riseInflation will riseUnemployment will riseInterest rates will riseCanadaFranceGermanyGreat BritainItal

66、yJapanUnited States Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report25Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Prices in my country will increase faster than peoples incomesMarket79%90%89%88%86%86%86%85%85%84%84%84%83%82%81%81%81%81%80%80%79%79%78%78%

67、77%77%77%73%73%68%67%61%58%56%16%7%7%9%9%12%11%13%14%11%13%12%14%13%12%16%12%15%14%15%15%16%16%20%19%14%18%18%19%20%28%30%39%28%Global Country AveragePhilippinesRomaniaNetherlandsBelgiumSouth AfricaSingaporeMalaysiaIndonesiaAustraliaChileHungaryTrkiyeFranceGermanyThailandCanadaSwedenPeruSouth KoreaS

68、painItalySwitzerlandMexicoColombiaGreat BritainIrelandPolandBrazilUnited StatesArgentinaIndiaChinaJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and S

69、ingapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change likely vs 20230%8%7%7%2%-5%-3%-2%2%1%0%4%1%1%4%7%-2%0%-3%2%-5%-2%-2%3%-3%0%N/A6%8%-10%-11%-10%-5%2%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report26Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely y

70、ou think they are to happen?Taxes in my country will be higher in 2025 than in 2024Market74%88%88%87%87%86%85%84%82%80%79%79%79%77%77%77%76%76%75%75%73%73%72%71%70%70%67%67%66%61%61%60%52%47%18%9%10%10%9%9%7%11%15%15%17%13%15%13%16%17%17%15%15%21%22%16%20%16%20%21%23%25%22%23%31%31%40%42%Global Coun

71、try AverageRomaniaTrkiyeIndonesiaPhilippinesFranceGreat BritainNetherlandsSouth AfricaMalaysiaColombiaBelgiumChileCanadaHungarySouth KoreaSingaporeSpainGermanyThailandMexicoPolandBrazilJapanItalyPeruAustraliaArgentinaSwitzerlandUnited StatesIrelandIndiaChinaSwedenBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and

72、 older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report27Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each

73、of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Inflation in my country will be higher in 2025 than in 2024Market70%86%84%81%80%80%77%77%76%75%75%74%74%73%73%72%72%70%70%69%69%68%67%67%67%66%64%64%63%61%61%59%45%41%21%10%12%14%15%16%18%15%17%17%22%18%14%22%19%17%2

74、0%20%21%20%23%21%22%22%25%21%23%22%31%25%30%27%43%44%Global Country AveragePhilippinesRomaniaSingaporeIndonesiaSouth AfricaThailandHungaryMalaysiaChileTrkiyeSouth KoreaJapanMexicoNetherlandsBelgiumColombiaAustraliaPeruGermanyFranceSpainBrazilCanadaIrelandPolandItalyGreat BritainChinaSwitzerlandIndia

75、United StatesArgentinaSwedenBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November

76、 8,2024Change likely vs 20230%7%13%-1%-2%-7%5%21%-6%2%-5%-2%4%-3%12%10%-4%-1%-9%11%-2%-4%9%-4%N/A16%-3%1%-6%-5%-9%-10%-26%-12%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report28AustraliaBelgiumBrazilCanadaChileChinaColombiaFranceGermanyGreat BritainHungaryIndiaIndonesiaIrelandItalyJapanMalaysiaMexicoNetherlandsPeruPhil

77、ippinesPolandRomaniaSingaporeSouth AfricaSouth KoreaSpainSwedenSwitzerlandThailandTrkiyeUnited States00.511.522.533.544.5540%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%80%85%90%The public in most markets expect inflation to rise in their country in 2025,irrespective of what actual economic forecasts look like.Source:Trad

78、ing EconomicsBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024%who agr

79、ee that inflation in their country will rise in 2025Forecast 2025 inflation rates Average of Q4 2024,Q1,Q2,Q3 2025-without Argentina where 2025 inflation is forecast to be 98%Markets with higher forecast inflation but lower expectations that it will rise in 2025Markets with lower forecast inflation

80、and lower expectations that it will rise in 2025Markets with higher forecast inflation and higher expectations that it will rise in 2025Markets with lower forecast inflation and higher expectations that it will rise in 2025 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report29Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,ple

81、ase tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Unemployment in my country will be higher in 2025 than in 2024Market68%84%84%83%78%78%77%76%76%73%73%73%70%69%69%69%69%68%68%67%66%66%63%63%61%60%59%57%57%56%56%55%54%52%23%12%14%15%18%18%18%17%15%18%18%14%16%23%22%20%22%22%22%20%19%22%

82、24%31%34%26%33%31%24%35%28%35%35%31%Global Country AverageSouth AfricaTrkiyeIndonesiaPhilippinesThailandMalaysiaRomaniaBelgiumPeruSouth KoreaFranceGermanyColombiaHungarySwedenChileAustraliaSingaporeCanadaGreat BritainItalySpainMexicoChinaPolandIndiaArgentinaJapanIrelandSwitzerlandNetherlandsBrazilUn

83、ited StatesBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change lik

84、ely vs 20230%0%2%-1%6%8%1%7%13%-3%-3%9%6%-5%7%-1%-3%3%-4%1%-5%-1%-1%0%-4%6%-7%-9%4%N/A0%-7%-3%-7%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report30Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Interest rates in my country will be higher in 2025 than in 202

85、4Market61%84%82%79%79%78%77%75%72%72%71%70%69%64%61%61%60%60%59%56%56%56%55%54%53%53%52%50%49%48%48%47%45%34%27%12%11%16%17%18%15%19%20%19%23%22%25%20%29%28%26%29%32%30%25%29%30%28%35%34%36%36%29%41%46%36%36%53%Global Country AveragePhilippinesIndonesiaRomaniaMalaysiaSouth AfricaChileMexicoBrazilPer

86、uThailandColombiaTrkiyeHungarySingaporeIrelandFranceAustraliaIndiaSpainPolandGreat BritainItalyUnited StatesArgentinaBelgiumNetherlandsCanadaJapanSouth KoreaChinaSwitzerlandGermanySwedenBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,S

87、outh Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change likely vs 2023-9%6%0%7%-1%-7%5%-1%11%-1%2%-8%-11%8%-15%N/A-13%-13%-9%-16%4%-10%-15%-21%-17%-6%-20%-20%4%-21%-14%-19%-18%-30%Ipso

88、s Predictions 2025 ReportExpectations for Expectations for TechnologyTechnologyin 2025in 202531 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report32Q.65%59%57%48%47%44%43%40%40%37%34%28%18%27%31%30%43%40%47%46%51%48%55%51%62%67%Artificial intelligence will lead to many new jobs being lost inCOUNTRYMany more people will

89、live their lives in virtual worldsMy personal data will be leaked on the internetRobots will look like,think like and speak like humansStrict rules for large technology companies will beintroduced by the Government in COUNTRYSmartphones will be banned from schools in COUNTRYArtificial intelligence w

90、ill lead to many new jobs beingcreated in COUNTRYSelf-driving cars will become a usual sight on the streets ofmy town/cityWe will find a cure for cancerI will use social media lessWe will find life on other planetsChildren under 14 in COUNTRY will be banned from usingsocial mediaAliens will visit ea

91、rthLikelyTechnologyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Global averages%Likely 2023Base:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74

92、in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024UnlikelyN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A55%+2 pp64%+1 pp50%-2 pp43%No change41%-4 pp Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report33Q.Base:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Repu

93、blic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Expectations for technology in 2024 in an historical contextPlease indicate if you agree very

94、 much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with thefollowing statements?Global averages-%agree201920202021202220232024Many more people will live their lives in virtual worlds57%56%59%Robots will look like,think like and speak like humans36%50%50%48%Strict rules for large technology

95、 companies will be introduced by the Government in COUNTRY38%47%Self-driving cars will become a usual sight on the streets of my town/city36%40%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report34Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Artificial intel

96、ligence will lead to many new jobs being lost in my countryMarket65%85%81%74%73%72%71%68%68%68%67%67%66%66%65%65%65%65%64%63%62%62%61%60%60%59%59%59%59%59%58%58%58%42%27%13%16%20%21%24%22%23%27%25%25%26%25%26%26%26%30%29%32%24%27%30%25%30%27%29%34%31%33%31%31%28%31%43%Global Country AverageIndonesia

97、PhilippinesColombiaMalaysiaTrkiyePeruChileSouth AfricaBrazilBelgiumSingaporeArgentinaAustraliaFranceItalyMexicoRomaniaChinaCanadaSpainSouth KoreaUnited StatesIrelandGreat BritainSwedenThailandSwitzerlandNetherlandsIndiaHungaryGermanyPolandJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-7

98、4 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change likely vs 20231%2%8%5%-1%2%-1%-4%-1%2%3%-2%7%5%1%5%-3%6%-6%1%-2%-2%-1%

99、N/A-5%1%2%1%5%-2%6%4%4%-8%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report35Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Many more people will live their lives in virtual worldsMarket59%94%79%75%74%74%73%70%68%67%65%64%62%61%60%59%59%58%57%56%54%53%53%52%

100、51%51%49%48%47%47%46%46%45%20%31%5%17%21%19%17%19%18%22%20%24%25%30%32%33%29%31%29%31%34%42%34%37%34%37%35%37%42%39%43%39%40%40%63%Global Country AverageIndonesiaTrkiyePhilippinesBrazilPolandMalaysiaHungaryRomaniaColombiaPeruItalyThailandMexicoSouth AfricaChileIndiaArgentinaSingaporeSouth KoreaChina

101、BelgiumSwitzerlandGermanyFranceSpainCanadaNetherlandsAustraliaIrelandGreat BritainSwedenUnited StatesJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia an

102、d Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report36Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?My personal data will be leaked on the internet Market57%77%71%69%68%68%68

103、%66%63%60%60%59%59%58%58%57%57%57%56%55%55%54%53%51%51%50%50%49%48%47%47%46%43%40%30%16%24%24%29%25%23%24%27%35%31%25%28%27%28%28%28%26%32%26%33%31%32%33%40%31%31%32%35%34%35%36%40%33%Global Country AverageTrkiyeIndonesiaPhilippinesThailandMalaysiaChileColombiaNetherlandsChinaSouth KoreaSpainFranceP

104、eruUnited StatesSingaporeAustraliaArgentinaIndiaBelgiumMexicoSwedenItalyPolandSouth AfricaCanadaHungaryGreat BritainSwitzerlandJapanIrelandBrazilRomaniaGermanyBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the

105、United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change likely vs 20232%9%5%5%8%-4%4%7%12%-9%-5%-1%8%-1%4%-2%-2%5%0%8%-5%3%6%1%0%-1%10%-4%3%4%N/A1%2%-1%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report37Q.LikelyFor each of the foll

106、owing,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Robots will look like,think like and speak like humansMarket48%81%72%68%60%59%58%57%56%56%56%54%54%54%52%51%48%47%44%42%42%41%41%40%39%38%37%36%36%35%34%33%31%29%43%17%24%27%34%36%34%32%34%38%34%40%42%36%37%34%43%42%45%48%47%51

107、%52%50%55%52%54%52%56%57%55%57%57%56%Global Country AverageIndonesiaMalaysiaThailandSouth AfricaTrkiyeSingaporeColombiaPeruMexicoIndiaPhilippinesChinaBrazilChileArgentinaRomaniaItalySpainBelgiumUnited StatesSouth KoreaIrelandAustraliaNetherlandsCanadaSwitzerlandGermanyFranceSwedenPolandHungaryGreat

108、BritainJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024UnlikelyC

109、hange likely vs 2023-2%1%1%0%4%-8%-2%0%0%0%-5%1%-10%-1%-3%8%0%0%-1%4%-4%-13%N/A-4%-1%0%-3%1%-1%0%-9%1%-9%-9%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report38Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Strict rules for large technology companies will be

110、introduced by the Government in COUNTRYMarket47%85%75%73%70%61%58%56%54%53%51%49%48%48%47%46%45%44%42%41%41%40%39%39%39%38%38%36%35%34%32%31%29%24%40%11%18%21%25%26%31%35%36%37%32%42%36%39%37%37%44%38%43%41%47%46%47%49%44%47%46%51%47%49%48%51%52%53%Global Country AverageIndonesiaMalaysiaPhilippinesC

111、hinaSingaporeIndiaThailandSouth AfricaMexicoColombiaTrkiyeSpainAustraliaBrazilUnited StatesIrelandGreat BritainBelgiumCanadaNetherlandsPeruFranceRomaniaArgentinaSouth KoreaSwitzerlandChileHungaryItalyGermanyPolandSwedenJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic

112、 of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report39Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how like

113、ly or unlikely you think they are to happen?Smartphones will be banned from schools in COUNTRYMarket44%74%71%71%58%58%57%55%55%55%55%51%49%47%46%43%43%42%40%39%38%38%37%37%36%36%34%33%29%28%27%27%23%15%47%22%22%21%36%34%35%35%35%37%35%40%43%43%50%46%50%54%51%49%53%53%55%51%50%61%55%53%64%63%64%59%69

114、%67%Global Country AverageNetherlandsBelgiumHungaryIrelandAustraliaFranceIndiaSpainSwedenCanadaGreat BritainMalaysiaItalyPhilippinesBrazilRomaniaIndonesiaTrkiyePolandSwitzerlandMexicoChilePeruUnited StatesChinaColombiaArgentinaSouth AfricaSouth KoreaThailandGermanySingaporeJapanBase:23,721 adults ag

115、ed 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report40Q.LikelyUn

116、likelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Artificial intelligence will lead to many new jobs being created in my countryMarket43%77%74%71%67%65%58%57%52%47%46%43%40%40%40%38%38%38%37%37%36%36%34%34%33%33%33%33%32%31%30%29%29%24%46%20%23%24%27%

117、29%31%32%42%44%44%51%47%49%46%49%48%48%54%54%54%49%53%55%56%47%52%54%54%58%58%58%59%65%Global Country AverageChinaIndonesiaThailandTrkiyeMalaysiaIndiaSingaporeSouth AfricaMexicoBrazilPhilippinesIrelandColombiaPeruAustraliaArgentinaSpainSouth KoreaRomaniaNetherlandsUnited StatesChileSwitzerlandFrance

118、JapanCanadaSwedenGreat BritainBelgiumItalyPolandGermanyHungaryBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries

119、.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change likely vs 2023-1%3%-1%4%2%2%-8%-7%11%0%-1%-2%N/A4%0%-3%0%-3%1%7%0%-2%-4%-1%0%-9%-5%1%-3%-1%-7%-3%-7%-2%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report41Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Self-driv

120、ing cars will become a usual sight on the streets of my town/cityMarket40%75%65%65%59%58%54%52%51%47%46%46%46%46%44%43%42%41%39%39%31%31%31%29%29%26%25%25%24%23%23%22%21%20%51%21%32%29%37%36%35%41%38%46%43%38%47%42%49%52%44%50%47%51%61%62%61%62%62%63%63%67%66%70%73%70%71%66%Global Country AverageInd

121、onesiaChinaMalaysiaThailandPhilippinesIndiaMexicoSpainSouth AfricaChilePeruSingaporeColombiaSouth KoreaTrkiyeBrazilRomaniaArgentinaUnited StatesAustraliaIrelandSwitzerlandItalyCanadaPolandGermanyBelgiumGreat BritainSwedenNetherlandsHungaryFranceJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in Indi

122、a,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report42Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the followi

123、ng,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?We will find a cure for cancerMarket40%84%74%72%63%59%56%50%50%46%44%44%44%43%42%42%39%37%36%34%34%33%32%31%31%29%28%27%26%25%20%20%18%18%48%11%22%20%31%31%39%38%42%41%45%43%48%47%47%44%48%51%45%53%52%48%57%58%58%58%62%58%61%60%69

124、%66%72%70%Global Country AverageIndonesiaPhilippinesMalaysiaThailandIndiaChinaColombiaSouth KoreaBrazilSouth AfricaSingaporeRomaniaTrkiyeMexicoPeruChileSwitzerlandArgentinaItalySpainJapanBelgiumNetherlandsPolandFranceIrelandGermanyAustraliaUnited StatesCanadaHungarySwedenGreat BritainBase:23,721 adu

125、lts aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report43Q.Li

126、kelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?I will use social media lessMarket37%54%51%45%45%44%44%42%42%41%41%41%41%39%38%38%37%37%36%36%36%36%35%34%34%33%33%32%31%29%27%25%22%18%55%36%47%50%46%47%45%51%57%50%46%47%52%56%48%51%50%59%56%56

127、%62%56%54%56%59%57%62%57%59%65%64%61%76%64%Global Country AverageIndiaPhilippinesMalaysiaUnited StatesAustraliaFranceIrelandIndonesiaSwedenItalyGreat BritainNetherlandsTrkiyeSpainCanadaGermanySouth AfricaBelgiumSwitzerlandThailandSouth KoreaPolandBrazilRomaniaColombiaSingaporeHungaryPeruMexicoChileA

128、rgentinaChinaJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Cha

129、nge likely vs 2023-4%-3%-5%-4%0%-1%-3%N/A2%1%-3%-7%1%-5%-3%-10%-7%-3%-5%-8%-4%-3%1%0%-2%-6%-10%-4%-4%-6%-4%-6%-18%-7%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report44Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?We will find life on other planetsMarket34%

130、59%57%50%48%47%46%45%45%45%45%40%39%37%34%33%30%29%28%28%28%27%27%27%25%24%24%23%21%21%21%20%20%16%51%33%31%37%38%38%43%38%47%37%33%51%38%47%52%52%53%55%57%51%56%57%59%54%60%58%58%66%67%64%69%64%67%59%Global Country AverageIndonesiaIndiaMalaysiaThailandMexicoTrkiyeChileChinaColombiaPeruPhilippinesAr

131、gentinaBrazilRomaniaSouth AfricaCanadaSpainIrelandSingaporeBelgiumItalySwitzerlandUnited StatesAustraliaFranceHungaryNetherlandsPolandGermanySouth KoreaGreat BritainSwedenJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Afric

132、a,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report45Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Chil

133、dren under 14 in COUNTRY will be banned from using social mediaMarket28%57%53%52%51%47%37%32%32%31%29%26%26%26%26%26%26%26%26%25%24%24%23%22%22%21%20%20%20%19%18%16%16%14%62%34%40%44%41%49%57%57%58%58%63%66%63%63%60%64%66%64%64%66%66%73%67%63%67%64%71%71%74%69%73%65%70%77%Global Country AverageIndia

134、MalaysiaIndonesiaAustraliaPhilippinesTrkiyeItalyIrelandSpainSouth KoreaSwedenThailandBelgiumPeruGreat BritainMexicoFranceSingaporeSouth AfricaChileChinaBrazilUnited StatesColombiaHungaryRomaniaSwitzerlandNetherlandsCanadaPolandJapanArgentinaGermanyBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,

135、18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report46Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following

136、,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Aliens will visit earthMarket18%53%29%27%25%25%24%24%22%22%22%21%20%19%18%17%17%17%16%16%16%15%14%13%13%11%10%10%9%9%9%9%7%7%67%33%51%60%64%64%54%45%60%64%61%53%60%65%72%63%66%76%56%67%72%70%76%74%71%72%79%78%70%77%84%78%83%81%Globa

137、l Country AverageIndiaThailandMalaysiaTrkiyeIndonesiaChilePeruMexicoPhilippinesBrazilColombiaRomaniaSouth AfricaSwitzerlandSingaporeUnited StatesChinaArgentinaSpainItalyAustraliaSouth KoreaIrelandCanadaHungaryBelgiumGermanyJapanFranceNetherlandsPolandSwedenGreat BritainBase:23,721 adults aged 18 yea

138、rs and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 ReportExpectations for Expe

139、ctations for World SecurityWorld Securityin 2025in 202547 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report48Q.49%47%35%27%22%21%36%36%48%54%62%58%Nuclear weapons will be used in a conflictsomewhere in the worldThere will be a new global pandemic caused bya new virusA rogue artificial intelligence program that cant be

140、shut down will cause significant havoc in COUNTRY The war in Ukraine will end in 2025The conflicts in the Middle East will end in 2025An asteroid will hit the EarthLikelyUnlikelyWorld SecurityFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Global averages

141、%Likely 2023Base:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024No change

142、22%-1 ppN/A35%31%-4 ppN/A48%-1 pp Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report49Q.Base:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other coun

143、tries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Expectations for world security in 2024 in an historical contextPlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with thefollowing statements?Global averages-%agree27%27%35%35%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%

144、1234A rogue artificial intelligence program that cant be shut down will cause significant havoc globally2021202220232024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report50Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Nuclear weapons will be used in a confl

145、ict somewhere in the world in 2025MarketBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Fri

146、day November 8,202449%79%67%65%65%63%60%58%58%58%57%55%55%51%50%49%46%46%44%43%42%41%40%40%40%40%39%39%38%37%37%35%34%29%36%16%24%25%27%26%30%29%27%27%29%33%28%26%36%41%39%39%40%42%37%38%41%41%43%47%42%42%46%55%43%43%43%45%Global Country AverageIndonesiaMalaysiaSouth AfricaTrkiyePhilippinesThailandM

147、exicoChilePeruBrazilIndiaColombiaArgentinaSingaporeNetherlandsBelgiumAustraliaIrelandSwedenCanadaSpainPolandSwitzerlandItalySouth KoreaFranceGermanyRomaniaChinaUnited StatesGreat BritainJapanHungary Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report51Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or

148、 unlikely you think they are to happen?There will be a new global pandemic caused by a new virusMarket47%68%68%65%61%61%61%56%55%54%53%50%50%49%49%48%45%45%44%43%42%42%40%40%40%40%40%39%39%38%36%36%35%32%36%20%24%25%27%26%25%32%27%32%34%29%29%34%33%38%35%40%30%45%41%37%39%37%48%39%42%42%38%54%46%43%

149、44%41%Global Country AverageMalaysiaTrkiyeIndonesiaThailandPhilippinesMexicoSouth KoreaPeruIndiaSouth AfricaChileColombiaSingaporePolandRomaniaBrazilSwitzerlandArgentinaSwedenBelgiumSpainGermanyHungaryNetherlandsFranceAustraliaCanadaUnited StatesChinaIrelandItalyGreat BritainJapanBase:23,721 adults

150、aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change likely vs 2023-1%0%3%1%1%-2%0%-4%

151、1%2%1%1%0%-6%-1%8%-4%1%3%-3%2%-1%0%-2%7%0%-2%-4%-5%-12%N/A1%-5%0%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report52Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?A rogue artificial intelligence program that cant be shut down will cause significant havoc glo

152、ballyMarketChange likely vs 202335%64%54%53%51%49%44%40%39%38%37%36%35%35%35%35%34%34%33%32%32%32%31%31%30%29%28%27%27%25%25%21%20%17%48%25%37%35%39%41%42%42%43%47%39%47%45%47%51%48%43%46%47%61%45%49%49%53%47%56%57%51%51%50%59%52%64%64%Global Country AverageMalaysiaIndonesiaIndiaPhilippinesTrkiyeTha

153、ilandSouth AfricaBrazilMexicoPeruSingaporeFranceBelgiumSouth KoreaItalyGermanyUnited StatesChileChinaColombiaSwitzerlandAustraliaIrelandSpainRomaniaNetherlandsGreat BritainCanadaArgentinaSwedenJapanPolandHungaryBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,M

154、alaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,20240%6%3%1%-1%6%4%-2%0%3%7%-7%0%4%-3%6%3%-1%1%-16%2%-1%0%N/A-2%3%-1%-4%-6%2%-2%-2%-2%-2%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Re

155、port53Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?The war in Ukraine will end in 2025MarketBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the Uni

156、ted States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,202427%59%56%51%48%47%36%34%30%29%29%27%26%26%26%26%26%25%24%23%23%23%22%22%21%19%19%17%17%15%15%15%15%14%54%29%32%35%32%38%47%55%46%52%52%58%46%50%57%49%52%55%59%55%56%

157、52%65%64%51%59%46%69%65%68%67%75%72%62%Global Country AverageChinaIndonesiaIndiaMalaysiaPhilippinesThailandTrkiyeSouth AfricaSouth KoreaMexicoIrelandPeruBrazilPolandChileUnited StatesSingaporeRomaniaItalySpainHungarySwedenSwitzerlandColombiaCanadaArgentinaGermanyAustraliaGreat BritainFranceNetherlan

158、dsBelgiumJapanChange likely vs 2023-4%1%1%-4%7%-9%-6%-6%-1%-9%-5%N/A-6%-8%2%-7%0%-7%1%-4%-2%-4%3%-1%-11%-3%-9%-1%-10%-5%-2%-4%-8%1%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report54Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?The conflicts in the Middle E

159、ast will end in 2025MarketBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8

160、,202422%55%50%46%42%35%34%29%27%25%22%21%21%20%19%19%19%19%18%17%17%16%16%14%14%14%13%12%12%12%11%11%11%9%62%32%39%43%38%49%51%52%55%60%54%67%61%59%64%64%67%65%73%66%63%71%63%59%72%75%69%68%75%75%80%61%81%67%Global Country AverageIndiaChinaIndonesiaMalaysiaThailandPhilippinesSouth AfricaSingaporeMex

161、icoPeruIrelandSouth KoreaBrazilRomaniaItalySwitzerlandUnited StatesTrkiyeSpainChileGermanyHungaryColombiaAustraliaBelgiumPolandCanadaFranceGreat BritainNetherlandsArgentinaSwedenJapan Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report55Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you t

162、hink they are to happen?An asteroid will hit the EarthMarketChange likely vs 202321%51%48%45%45%30%29%25%25%25%23%22%21%20%19%19%19%17%17%17%16%16%16%16%15%15%15%14%13%12%11%10%9%9%58%34%38%35%38%49%54%53%48%43%51%54%52%61%48%61%64%62%59%74%65%68%69%66%65%63%65%54%73%72%71%70%64%65%Global Country Av

163、erageIndiaIndonesiaMalaysiaPhilippinesTrkiyeThailandSouth AfricaChilePeruMexicoSingaporeBrazilSwitzerlandColombiaUnited StatesIrelandCanadaSpainChinaRomaniaBelgiumSouth KoreaItalyAustraliaFranceGermanyArgentinaSwedenNetherlandsPolandGreat BritainHungaryJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older

164、 in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024-1%5%5%3%5%0%-1%3%5%8%0%-6%-1%1%-1%1%N/A0%-1%-19%2%-2%-1%0%-5%0

165、%2%0%-4%0%-5%-5%-5%-1%Ipsos Predictions 2025 ReportExpectations for Expectations for the Environment the Environment in 2025in 202556 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report57Q.80%72%52%47%42%32%13%19%37%42%47%56%Average global temperatures will increaseThere will be more extreme weather events inCOUNTRY in 2

166、025 than there were in 2024The government in COUNTRY will introducemore demanding targets to reduce carbonemissions more quicklyThere will be more restrictions introduced toreduce the amount people drive in their cars inCOUNTRYParts of my country will become unliveablebecause of an extreme weather e

167、ventThere will be a breakthrough technologydeveloped which will halt climate changeLikelyUnlikelyEnvironmentFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Global averages%Likely 2023Base:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Repu

168、blic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,202481%-1 pp71%+1 pp53%-6 ppN/AN/A55%-3 pp Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report58Q.Base:23,721 adults ag

169、ed 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Expectations for the environment in 2024 i

170、n an historical contextPlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with thefollowing statements?Global averages-%agree71%78%77%75%81%80%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%12345678The average global temperature will increase20172018201920202021202220232

171、024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report59Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Average global temperatures will increaseMarketBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippi

172、nes,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,202480%91%89%88%87%87%87%85%85%84%83%83%83%81%81%81%81%80%80%80%80%80%79%78%78%78%78%77%77%77%77%74%67%59%13%7%7%10%10%10%9%10%12%10%9

173、%11%13%13%13%11%11%13%18%16%11%14%14%14%13%17%14%13%15%17%14%15%20%31%Global Country AverageIndonesiaPhilippinesMalaysiaSingaporeChinaTrkiyeColombiaSouth KoreaFranceBelgiumRomaniaNetherlandsMexicoChileHungarySwedenBrazilThailandSouth AfricaJapanPeruArgentinaItalyGreat BritainIrelandPolandGermanySwit

174、zerlandAustraliaSpainCanadaUnited StatesIndiaChange likely vs 2023-1%-3%6%4%-1%3%3%1%-1%-1%1%10%3%-6%-4%1%5%1%3%0%2%-5%1%-2%-5%N/A0%2%1%1%-5%-1%-1%-11%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report60Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?There wil

175、l be more extreme weather events in my country in 2025 than there were in 2024MarketChange likely vs 202372%87%86%79%78%77%77%77%75%75%75%74%74%74%74%73%73%72%71%71%70%70%70%69%69%68%68%66%65%64%63%63%60%59%19%7%11%12%14%19%14%13%17%19%15%14%19%17%18%18%17%19%17%23%22%19%20%18%18%20%19%21%29%25%22%2

176、2%22%31%Global Country AveragePhilippinesIndonesiaFranceSingaporeSouth KoreaChileItalyMalaysiaSouth AfricaTrkiyeSpainNetherlandsBrazilMexicoBelgiumRomaniaAustraliaHungaryThailandIrelandGreat BritainSwedenPolandColombiaCanadaJapanUnited StatesChinaSwitzerlandPeruGermanyArgentinaIndiaBase:23,721 adult

177、s aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,20241%10%1%1%2%4%-2%6%2%2%-2%0%5%5%-1%1%11

178、%-3%2%7%N/A-8%0%3%3%-3%1%1%-2%4%-9%3%-2%-6%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report61Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?The government in my country will introduce more demanding targets to reduce carbon emissions more quicklyMarketBase:

179、23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,202452%84%84%75%74%67%66%60%59

180、%58%56%56%55%55%53%52%50%50%48%47%47%46%46%44%43%43%42%42%39%38%37%36%32%31%37%13%12%18%17%25%26%31%34%29%30%29%32%29%34%38%42%41%43%36%40%44%44%50%43%46%43%46%49%43%50%50%53%45%Global Country AverageChinaIndonesiaMalaysiaSingaporeIrelandPhilippinesIndiaThailandPolandSpainGreat BritainColombiaCanada

181、AustraliaSouth KoreaBelgiumMexicoSouth AfricaUnited StatesSwitzerlandFranceRomaniaNetherlandsChileTrkiyeGermanyBrazilSwedenJapanItalyHungaryPeruArgentinaChange likely vs 2023-3%1%-1%9%-6%N/A-6%-8%0%-8%-4%4%-1%-6%-8%-1%-5%0%3%-4%-3%-7%7%-20%-11%-10%-7%-7%-1%-5%-11%-5%3%6%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report

182、62Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?There will be more restrictions introduced to reduce the amount people drive in their cars in my countryMarket47%81%65%64%61%59%58%57%56%55%54%53%52%52%50%47%47%45%45%44%42%40%40%39%37%37%3

183、6%36%35%35%35%34%27%26%42%17%26%32%31%37%32%29%35%33%33%41%34%40%39%43%46%46%45%40%49%44%46%46%49%54%48%51%51%53%54%52%51%53%Global Country AverageIndonesiaSingaporePhilippinesMalaysiaChinaIndiaSpainBelgiumFranceGermanyThailandGreat BritainIrelandColombiaMexicoNetherlandsSwitzerlandChileItalyTrkiyeC

184、anadaHungaryBrazilPolandSouth AfricaUnited StatesRomaniaPeruSwedenSouth KoreaAustraliaArgentinaJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Sing

185、apore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change likely vs 2023-6%-1%-10%-3%7%-10%-5%-10%-5%-3%-8%1%-14%N/A-7%-2%-19%-9%-9%-15%-7%-7%-2%-2%-8%1%-8%-4%-6%-15%0%-7%-2%-7%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report63Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how lik

186、ely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Parts of my country will become unliveable because of an extreme weather eventMarket42%78%66%58%57%56%56%54%51%50%49%49%47%47%44%43%43%42%42%41%39%36%33%33%29%29%27%27%26%26%25%25%23%21%47%17%28%34%30%34%35%36%37%46%36%38%38%37%36%39%43%47%53%47%51%54%54%

187、57%43%60%63%64%60%57%59%63%70%69%Global Country AveragePhilippinesIndonesiaMalaysiaBrazilIndiaTrkiyeSouth AfricaFranceThailandMexicoItalySpainChilePeruColombiaUnited StatesHungaryChinaAustraliaSouth KoreaSingaporeCanadaBelgiumArgentinaPolandSwitzerlandIrelandGermanyJapanRomaniaGreat BritainNetherlan

188、dsSwedenBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predic

189、tions 2025 Report64Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?There will be a breakthrough technology developed which will halt climate changeMarket32%75%65%61%57%57%55%44%41%37%37%35%33%32%30%28%27%27%26%24%24%22%21%21%21%20%20%19%19

190、%18%17%17%16%16%56%19%29%31%33%37%37%45%46%51%48%54%57%59%56%61%58%60%56%62%68%67%66%68%66%63%68%63%70%69%71%73%71%69%Global Country AverageIndonesiaChinaMalaysiaIndiaThailandPhilippinesSouth AfricaSingaporeMexicoPeruColombiaSouth KoreaTrkiyeRomaniaIrelandChileBrazilArgentinaSpainNetherlandsSwitzerl

191、andPolandAustraliaCanadaUnited StatesItalyJapanBelgiumGreat BritainSwedenFranceGermanyHungaryBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,a

192、nd 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 ReportExpectations for Expectations for SocietySocietyin 2025in 202565 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report66Q.67%49%39%33%32%23%43%51%59%59%The level of immigration into COUNTRY willincreaseWomen will be paid t

193、he same as men for thesame workThe total population size of COUNTRY will fallPeople in COUNTRY will become moretolerant of each otherIt will become normal for businesses in mycountry to implement a four-day working weekLikelyUnlikelySocietyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlik

194、ely you think they are to happen?Global averages%Likely 2023Base:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.F

195、riday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024No change39%71%-4 pp48%+1 pp35%-2 ppN/A Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report67Q.Base:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indone

196、sia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Expectations for society in 2024 in an historical contextPlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with thefollowing statements?Global averages-%agree29%28%3

197、4%35%33%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%12345People in my country will become more tolerant of each other20202021202220232024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report68Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?The level of immigration into my

198、country will increaseMarket67%84%80%79%78%77%77%76%76%76%75%75%75%74%74%74%73%73%73%71%65%63%63%62%62%58%58%56%56%55%53%46%39%35%23%11%12%15%15%19%16%19%19%17%19%14%14%15%19%19%17%19%18%18%26%26%30%25%23%33%34%28%37%37%30%38%48%42%Global Country AverageTrkiyeSpainMalaysiaSingaporeSouth AfricaChileTh

199、ailandIndonesiaIrelandColombiaBelgiumGreat BritainPolandRomaniaMexicoItalyGermanyPeruSwitzerlandSouth KoreaAustraliaPhilippinesBrazilFranceIndiaNetherlandsUnited StatesChinaCanadaArgentinaHungarySwedenJapanBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malays

200、ia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change likely vs 2023-4%2%1%1%-4%-2%5%12%-3%N/A-4%-3%0%6%8%-5%-6%-5%-3%-2%0%-11%-4%-3%-7%-5%-19%-15%-13%-22%-2%-11%

201、1%1%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report69ArgentinaAustraliaBelgiumBrazilCanadaChileChinaColombiaFranceGermanyGreat BritainHungaryIndiaIndonesiaIrelandItalyJapanMalaysiaMexicoNetherlandsPeruPhilippinesPolandRomaniaSingaporeSouth AfricaSouth KoreaSpainSwedenSwitzerlandThailandTrkiyeUnited States010203040506

202、030%40%50%60%70%80%90%In most markets the fear that immigration into their market will increase is NOT based on an empirical reality of high historical immigration levels.Source:UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs via Our World in Data Base:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-

203、74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024%who feel that the level of immigration into their country will increase%of

204、population who are immigrants(2020)Markets with high immigration but lower expectations of future increases Markets with lower immigration and lower expectations of future increases Markets with high immigration and higher expectations of future increases Markets with lower higher but higher expecta

205、tions of future increases Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report70Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Women will be paid the same as men for the same workMarket49%87%78%77%72%71%65%60%58%58%57%56%51%50%48%46%45%45%45%44%43%42%42%40%40%3

206、8%37%34%33%32%32%29%28%27%43%12%18%17%24%26%30%32%36%35%38%34%39%40%45%49%44%47%49%44%45%47%47%49%51%56%57%59%61%50%60%65%62%61%Global Country AverageIndonesiaPhilippinesMalaysiaThailandChinaMexicoIndiaColombiaRomaniaSouth AfricaSingaporePeruSpainIrelandTrkiyeArgentinaAustraliaChileCanadaUnited Stat

207、esGreat BritainPolandSouth KoreaBrazilSwitzerlandNetherlandsItalySwedenJapanBelgiumFranceGermanyHungaryBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and S

208、ingapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change likely vs 20231%0%-1%0%5%-7%3%-11%5%11%4%-2%2%3%N/A0%-2%1%0%4%1%0%-4%1%-4%3%5%-6%4%1%-6%4%2%-1%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report71Perceptions of whether the gender gap it will close in 2025 or not dont seem to bear

209、a particularly close relationship with the actual gender gap in each country.Source:WEFBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-

210、74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024%who agree that women will be paid the same as men in my country in 2025WEFs Gender Gap Index(%gender gap is closed)i.e.,min=0%;max=0%)ArgentinaAustraliaBelgiumBrazilCanadaChileChinaColombiaFranceGermanyGBHungaryIndiaIndonesiaIrelandI

211、talyJapanMalaysiaMexicoNetherlandsPeruPhilippinesPolandRomaniaSingaporeSouth AfricaSouth KoreaSpainSwedenSwitzerlandThailandTrkiyeUnited States60%65%70%75%80%85%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Markets with more equal gender pay and lower expectations of further closing of the gapMarkets with less e

212、qual gender pay and lower expectations of further closing of the gapMarkets with more equal gender pay and higher expectations of further closing of the gapMarkets with less equal gender pay but higher expectations of closing the gap Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report72Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the fol

213、lowing,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?The total population size of my country will fallMarket39%77%76%75%73%72%71%63%54%53%47%44%37%35%34%34%33%32%32%31%30%29%28%26%25%25%24%23%22%21%21%19%14%14%51%17%15%16%19%25%19%27%36%41%46%53%50%52%58%54%55%61%57%63%59%63%57%

214、64%68%56%62%65%71%68%71%74%74%81%Global Country AverageSouth KoreaJapanHungaryRomaniaChinaPolandItalyIndiaThailandMalaysiaIndonesiaFranceSpainSingaporeGermanyColombiaTrkiyeBrazilPhilippinesChileMexicoUnited StatesSwedenSouth AfricaArgentinaPeruBelgiumIrelandCanadaAustraliaSwitzerlandGreat BritainNet

215、herlandsBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change likely

216、 vs 20230%-5%2%2%3%-2%3%-4%1%1%2%12%4%-9%-6%6%5%-2%3%-5%2%2%0%6%3%3%0%2%N/A5%1%-3%-8%2%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report73Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?People in my country will become more tolerant of each otherMarket33%81%7

217、9%71%58%56%56%44%42%34%34%32%31%28%28%27%27%26%26%25%25%25%24%22%22%21%21%21%19%17%15%13%13%12%59%16%18%24%37%41%34%49%48%56%60%61%61%62%60%63%63%64%63%63%65%63%73%69%69%70%70%73%71%64%78%80%79%84%Global Country AverageIndonesiaChinaMalaysiaPhilippinesThailandIndiaSouth AfricaSingaporeIrelandMexicoR

218、omaniaAustraliaBrazilPeruSwitzerlandSpainPolandUnited StatesCanadaColombiaArgentinaTrkiyeChileSwedenGermanyItalySouth KoreaGreat BritainJapanHungaryFranceBelgiumNetherlandsBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Tu

219、rkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024Change likelyvs 2023-2%-1%-1%0%-12%-7%-10%4%-15%N/A-3%7%-4%-7%-1%-2%0%-7%-1%-2%0%4%-12%0%5%0%-6%0%-4%-1%-1%-1%-7%-6%Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report74Q.

220、LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?It will become normal for businesses in my country to implement a four-day working weekMarket32%55%55%53%48%41%38%38%37%37%36%36%35%32%31%31%31%31%30%30%30%29%26%26%26%26%26%23%22%21%19%18%18%1

221、4%59%39%35%42%49%51%53%54%56%52%52%61%59%60%62%54%64%61%56%57%58%64%62%62%65%63%63%68%68%61%73%67%67%74%Global Country AverageMalaysiaIndiaPhilippinesIndonesiaThailandSouth AfricaIrelandSingaporeSpainAustraliaChinaMexicoSouth KoreaRomaniaGreat BritainTrkiyeChileUnited StatesCanadaFranceNetherlandsBr

222、azilPolandSwitzerlandBelgiumColombiaItalyGermanyPeruSwedenArgentinaJapanHungaryBase:23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in al

223、l other countries.Friday,October 25 Friday November 8,2024 Ipsos Predictions 2025 ReportMethodologyMethodology Ipsos Predictions 2025 Report76METHODOLOGYThese are the results of a 33-country survey conducted by Ipsos on its Global Advisor online platform and,in India,on its IndiaBusplatform,between

224、Friday,October 25 and Friday,November 8,2024.For this survey,Ipsos interviewed a total of 23,721 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Republic of Ireland,Malaysia,the Philippines,South Africa,Trkiye,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74

225、 in all other countries.The sample consists of approximately 1,000 individuals each in Australia,Brazil,Canada,mainland China,France,Germany,Great Britain,Italy,Japan,Spain,and the U.S.,and 500 individuals each in Argentina,Belgium,Chile,Colombia,Hungary,Indonesia,Ireland,Malaysia,Mexico,the Netherl

226、ands,Peru,the Philippines,Poland,Romania,Singapore,South Africa,South Korea,Sweden,Switzerland,Thailand,and Trkiye.The sample in India consists of approximately 2,200 individuals,of whom approximately 1,800 were interviewed face-to-face and 400 were interviewed online.Samples in Argentina,Australia,

227、Belgium,Canada,France,Germany,Great Britain,Hungary,Italy,Japan,the Netherlands,Poland,South Korea,Spain,Sweden,Switzerland,and the U.S.can be considered representative of their general adult populations under the age of 75.Samples in Brazil,Chile,China,Colombia,Indonesia,Ireland,Malaysia,Mexico,Per

228、u,Philippines,Romania,Singapore,South Africa,Thailand,and Trkiye are more urban,more educated,and/or more affluent than the general population.The survey results for these countries should be viewed as reflecting the views of the more“connected”segment of their population.Indias sample represents a

229、large subset of its urban population social economic classes A,B and C in metros and tier 1-3 town classes across all four zones.The data is weighted so that the composition of each countrys sample best reflects the demographic profile of the adult population according to the most recent census data

230、.“The Global Country Average”reflects the average result for all the countries and markets in which the survey was conducted.It has not been adjusted to the population size of each country or market and is not intended to suggest a total result.When percentages do not sum up to 100 or the difference

231、 appears to be+/-1 percentage point more/less than the actual result,this may be due to rounding,multiple responses,or the exclusion of“dont know”or not stated responses.The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval with a poll where N=1,000 being accurate to+/-3.5 p

232、ercentage points and of where N=500 being accurate to+/-5.0 percentage points.For more information on Ipsos use of credibility intervals,please visit the Ipsos website.Nick ChiarelliUK Practice LeadIpsos Trends&ForesightNick.ChiarelliIFor more information Ipsos Predictions 2025 ReportFreddie DaleGraduate AnalystIpsos Trends&ForesightFreddie.DaleI