1、Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 2024 Staying the course amid upheavalThis work is based on secondary market research,analysis of financial information available or provided to Bain&Company and a range of interviews with industry participants.Bain&Company has not independently verified any such in
2、formation provided or available to Bain and makes no representation or warranty,express or implied,that such information is accurate or complete.Projected market and financial information,analyses and conclusions contained herein are based on the information described above and on Bain&Companys judg
3、ment,and should not be construed as definitive forecasts or guarantees of future performance or results.The information and analysis herein does not constitute advice of any kind,is not intended to be used for investment purposes,and neither Bain&Company nor any of its subsidiaries or their respecti
4、ve officers,directors,shareholders,employees or agents accept any responsibility or liability with respect to the use of or reliance on any information or analysis contained in this document.This work is copyright Bain&Company and may not be published,transmitted,broadcast,copied,reproduced or repri
5、nted in whole or in part without the explicit written permission of Bain&Company.Copyright 2024 Bain&Company,Inc.All rights reserved.Authors and acknowledgmentsThis report was prepared by:Sebastien Lamy,a Bain&Company partner based in Tokyo and coleader of the firms Asia-Pacific Private Equity pract
6、ice;Lachlan McMurdo,a partner based in Melbourne and a member of Bains Australia Private Equity practice;andElsa Sit,practice vice president with Bains Asia-Pacific Private Equity practice.The authors wish to thank Kiki Yang,coleader of Bains Asia-Pacific Private Equity practice,for her overall guid
7、ance;Wonpyo Choi,Kukhyoe Koo,Ben MacTiernan,Alex Boulton,and David Zehner for their perspectives on improving portfolio exit value;Brenda Rainey and Johanne Dessard for their perspectives on asset class diversification;Usman Akhtar,Alex Boulton,Andrea Campagnoli,Meng-Yang Lee,Mai Nguyen,Hao Zhou,Won
8、pyo Choi,Sungwon Yoon,Sriwatsan Krishnan,A Prabhav Kashyap,Aditya Muralidhar,James Viles,Ben MacTiernan,and Jim Verbeeten for their input on regional dynamics;Joy McConnochie and Owain Palmer for their contributions;Echo Han,Dhawal Pandey,Sanyam Sharma,Shilpi Bansal,and the team from the Bain Capabi
9、lity Network(Ira Kaur,Munish Basrar,Vikas Sharma,Deepak Bhawani,Shalini De,Siddhant Banerjee,Saloni Singh,and Kabir Singh Kochar)for their analytic support and research assistance;and Gail Edmondson for her editorial support.We are grateful to Preqin and Asia Venture Capital Journal(AVCJ)for the val
10、uable data they provided and for their responsiveness.Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 20241ContentsAsia-Pacific Private Equity:Investors pulled back,and deal activity plunged .2What happened in 2023?.5Deals all but stopped .5Spotlight on energy and natural resources .9Competition shrinks .11Multi
11、ples plunge.13Exits drop again .14Fund-raising plummets .16Returns remain attractive .21Improving portfolio exit value.24Finding a good fit .26A smart approach to asset class diversification .29Private credit and infrastructure.30Aim to outperform .33Market definition.36Asia-Pacific Private Equity R
12、eport 20242Asia-Pacific Private Equity:Investors pulled back,and deal activity plunged The number of private equity deals and exits fell sharply in most markets amid ongoing uncertainty.Asia-Pacific PE funds raised just$100 billion in 2023,the lowest level in a decade.Faced with a tough market,GPs d
13、eveloped new strategies to find buyers and improve exit value.Alternative asset classes such as infrastructure and private credit offer a growth opportunity for Asia-Pacific-focused funds.For the second year in a row,uncertainty hovered over Asia-Pacific private equity(PE)markets.Many investors put
14、dealmaking on hold in 2023,worried about slowing economic growth across much of the region,persistently high interest rates that raise the cost of PE debt,and volatile public stock markets.Ongoing geopolitical tensions and global conflicts reinforced investors concerns.Unable to fathom what was ahea
15、d,funds retrenched to wait out the storm.The unsettling mix of macroeconomic conditions was investors key concern,according to Bains 2024 Asia-Pacific Private Equity survey.Deal value fell to$147 billion,extending the dealmaking slump that began in 2022.Exits plunged,and fund-raising declined to its
16、 lowest level in 10 years(see Figure 1).Investors remained especially cautious of buying companies in Greater China,and a murky economic outlook affected the entire region.Global general partners(GPs)reduced their investments in Asia-Pacific countries,and deals and exits declined.Japan was the only
17、market to buck the trend,with a rise in deal activity.Investors found comfort in Japans deep pool of target companies with performance improvement potential,its stable regulatory environment,and persistently low interest rates.Technology was again the largest industry sector in terms of deals and ex
18、its.The energy and natural resources sector was the only investment area in which deal value and volume grewa sign that investors are increasingly betting on assets related to the energy transition.Greater Chinas exits via initial public offerings(IPOs)were by far the biggest source of exit activity
19、,mostly in technology-related sectors(such as semiconductors)that are typically the domain of government-affiliated funds.Excluding IPOs in Greater China,exit value fell to$65 billion,down 30%from the previous five-year average.Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 20243Grappling with the sixth year in
20、 a row of low or negative net cash flow,limited partners(LPs)put new allocations largely on hold.Many limited fund-raising to funds with demonstrated success,exposure to preferred markets,and differentiated strategies.Asia-Pacific PE assets under management(AUM)dropped to 27%of global AUM,a second y
21、ear of decline following more than a decade of steady share growth(see Figure 2).By year-end,several signs of market improvement began to appear,but the timing of a recovery remains unclear.Inflation rates began falling in most markets after spiking in 2022.Interest rates in most Asia-Pacific market
22、s are forecast to decline in late 2024 or 2025.And some currencies that depreciated against the US dollar in 2022 and 2023 started to recover.Finally,stocks ended the year with strong performance in most markets,except China and Southeast Asia.PE returns were a bright spot in 2023,reconfirming that
23、PE is still an attractive investment class,far outperforming public markets over 5-,10-,and 20-year horizons.And at year-end,industry data pointed to consistently high levels of dry powder in the region,ensuring funds have ample capital to do more deals.New sectors hold promise once a recovery takes
24、 off.Disruptive innovations like generative AI are creating fresh opportunities.Our research shows most GPs are using generative AI to mitigate risk,Figure 1:Asia-Pacific deal value,exit value,and fund-raising plunged further in 20232018$298B192992025821253221342310001,0002,0003,0002018$190B20203213
25、5922208231471916701,0002,0002018$158B19922120522133231012092Note:Excludes real estateSources:AVCJ;Preqin;Bain analysisAsia-Pacific private equityinvestments($B)Deal countExit countAsia-Pacific private equityexits($B)Asia-Pacific-focused closedfunds,by close year($B)Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report
26、 20244enhance operations,and improve the performance of portfolio companies.GPs already are scouting for generative AI assets coming to market and are assessing how generative AI can be useful during diligence on potential targets.LPs are still optimistic about some countries within the region.Accor
27、ding to Preqins 2023 investor survey,those investing in private equity ranked Japan as one of the top three developed markets for PE investment opportunities over the next 12 months,and India and Southeast Asia as the two best emerging markets for investment opportunities.As GPs faced pressure to ex
28、it their investments,return cash to LPs,and raise additional funds,many shifted their focus to portfolio management and exit planning.With multiples declining,successful funds are betting on top-line growth and margin improvement to improve returns.Despite difficult exit conditions,PE funds that dev
29、eloped a pre-sales strategy and compelling equity story for their portfolio companies were able to attract buyers and exit successfully,according to our survey.In a turbulent year for private equity,many leading funds started to explore alternative asset classes,including infrastructure and private
30、credit,as a key source of growth.Both of these asset classes have room to grow in the Asia-Pacific region.In our experience,diversification is challenging.Those who get it right build needed capabilities and invest close to their core business.Figure 2:Asia-Pacifics share of global assets under mana
31、gement fell to 27%Note:2023 AUM data as of June 2023Source:PreqinPercentage of Asia-Pacific private equity AUM vs.globalAsia-Pacific PE AUM($T)0102030%0123$4T201821%1923%2027%2129%2327%2228%Asia-Pacific PE AUMShare of Asia-Pacific PE AUM vs.global5What happened in 2023?Deals all but stopped If inves
32、tors hoped the downturn in dealmaking in 2022 would be a short-term reversal,2023 dashed those ideas.Despite brief flurries of activity,the market continued to decline.Asia-Pacific deal value fell to$147 billion,35%below the previous five-year average and 59%below the 2021 high of$359 billion.Deal v
33、alue slid to the lowest annual level since 2014,and the number of deals dropped under 1,300,30%lower than the previous five-year average of 1,849 deals.The development in Asia-Pacifics PE market mirrored global trends.Global buyout deal value dropped 34%vs.the previous five-year average.In China,inv
34、estors remained cautious.Deal value fell 58%compared with the previous five-year average,reducing Chinas share of total Asia-Pacific deal value to 28%,down sharply from the previous five-year average of 43%(see Figure 3).Economic uncertainty also affected investors in AustraliaNew Zealand,Southeast
35、Asia,and India,where deal value fell 63%,47%,and 41%,respectively,vs.the previous five years.Each countrys share of the regions total deal value declined,and all three reported fewer megadeals than in prior years.South Korea fared slightly better than other Asia-Pacific countries.Deal value fell by
36、only 20%compared with the prior five-year average,increasing the countrys share of deal value.The bright spot in the Asia-Pacific PE market was Japan,where deal value rose 183%over the prior five-year average,making it the regions No.1 deal market for the first time(see Figure 4).Deals over$1 billio
37、n in value(megadeals)were the largest factor behind Japans surge in deal value,helping boost the countrys share of total Asia-Pacific deal value to 30%,up from the previous five-year average of 7%.By contrast,Japans share of deal count was just 10%,and its number of deals increased only 9%over the p
38、revious five-year-average.Several factors make Japan an attractive market for investors.An important one is the countrys deep pool of target companies with significant potential for performance improvement.Another is corporate governance pressure on leadership teams to dispose of non-core assets,enc
39、ouraging spin-offs and divestitures.Given its aging population,Japan is also grappling with a lack of succession candidates to lead a growing number of companies,and selling to private equity funds is increasingly seen as an Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 20246Figure 3:Japans share of deal activ
40、ity grew;Chinas continued to recedeFigure 4:Japan is the only Asia-Pacific private equity market that grew in 2023Notes:Greater China includes China,Hong Kong,and Taiwan;excludes real estate Source:AVCJShare of Asia-Pacific private equity deal value,by region020406080100%201317 averageGreater ChinaJ
41、apanIndiaKoreaAustraliaNew ZealandSoutheast Asia$128B201822 average2252023147Note:Excludes real estate Source:AVCJAsia-Pacific private equity investment value,by market($B)050100$150B41%18%67%44%37%58%44%20%63%47%+80%+183%20222023201822 averageJapanSoutheastAsiaGreater ChinaIndiaSouth KoreaAustralia
42、New ZealandAsia-Pacific Private Equity Report 20247acceptable solution.Finally,Japan boasts a relatively stable regulatory environment and persistently low interest rates.Despite these advantages,Japan is a complex market that requires dedicated local teams.Almost 60%of GPs we surveyed in Japan said
43、 that recruiting and retaining talent was their biggest concern.In addition,Japans currency is volatile,and the countrys PE industry is relatively small.Historically,Japan has produced only a limited number of deal opportunities.For the first time since 2017,buyouts represented the largest proportio
44、n of Asia-Pacific deal value,pushing growth deals to second place.Buyouts accounted for 48%of deal value,up from the prior five-year average of 32%(see Figure 5).Growth deals represented 41%of deal value.This shift was mainly due to a sharp decline in the value of growth deals,which fell 50%from the
45、 prior five-year average.The total share of growth deals dipped only 13%compared with the previous five-year average.Several market factors underpinned this trend,including the geographical mix of deals.The region produced fewer deals in Greater China,India,and Southeast Asia,markets where growth de
46、als are dominant historically.The region also produced fewer technology deals,which typically are growth deals.Another key factor was the decline in the number of growth deals relative to buyouts.A climate of economic uncertainty means GPs can no longer rely on multiple expansion to increase the val
47、ue of Figure 5:The share of buyout deals increased as investors opted for more control and less riskNotes:Excludes real estate;PIPE is private investment in public equity;start-up/early-stage investments use financing for product development and initialmarketing;the company may be in the process of
48、being organized or may have been in business for a short time,but hasnt sold its product commercially;growth includes expansion,growth,mezzanine,and pre-IPO capital dealsSource:AVCJShare of Asia-Pacific investment value,by deal type201317 average$353M$87M201822 average4411022023$128B2251476267402040
49、6080100%43%32%48%Share of buyout deal valueAverage buyout deal size($M)Average growth deal size($M)BuyoutsGrowthStart-up/early-stagePIPETurnaround/restructuringOtherAsia-Pacific Private Equity Report 20248their portfolio companies.Instead,they are betting on operational improvement.That means taking
50、 a more active role in portfolio management to ensure successful exits and limit downside risk.Our research shows that when investors select deals,26%are seeking to exercise more control than they did five years ago.And 36%are actively adjusting their portfolio ownership approach or target structure
51、 to increase ownership and control.A climate of economic uncertainty means GPs can no longer rely on multiple expansion to increase the value of their portfolio companies.Instead,they are betting on operational improvement.As LPs strive to mitigate risk,they are allocating more capital to larger fun
52、ds with established track records,and those tend to be buyout funds.Larger megadeals tended to be buyouts,increasing the share of buyout deal value.Growth deals were smaller on average than in previous years.A higher share of buyout deals helped boost the average deal size 14%compared with 2022.Howe
53、ver,the average deal in 2023 was 7%smaller than the prior five-year average.While there were far fewer megadeals,the average was 30%larger than the previous five-year average,and 41%larger than 2022.Japan,buoyed by lower interest rates and a lower cost of capital,generated 63%of the regions megadeal
54、s by value.These megadeals included Japan Industrial Partners$16 billion(2.1 trillion Japanese yen)purchase of Toshiba,JIC Capitals$6.9 billion purchase of JSR,and a JIC Capitalled consortiums$4.7 billion acquisition of Shinko Electric Industries.Greater China generated four megadeals in 2023,a shar
55、p drop from the 14 megadeals it averaged in the previous five years.Two of the largest were Bain Capitals acquisition of Qinhuai Data for$3.2 billion,and General Atlantic,Mubadala Investment Company,and HongShans$2 billion investment in fashion company Shein.South Korea produced three megadeals,incl
56、uding EQTs$2.3 billion purchase of a majority stake in SK Shieldus;UCK Partners and MBK Partners$1.9 billion acquisition of Osstem Implant;and the$1.2 billion sale of a stake in SK On Co to a consortium including MBK Partners,Hillhouse Capital,Qatar Investment Authority,and BlackRock.For the first t
57、ime since 2016,India generated no megadeals in the technology sector and only three in total,compared with a prior five-year average of seven.Indias 2023 megadeals included Temaseks Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 20249$2 billion purchase of Manipal Health Enterprises;EQT and ChrysCapitals$1.1 bi
58、llion acquisition of HDFC Credila Financial Services;and Brookfield Renewable and Global Power Synergys$1.1 billion investment in Avaada Energy.AustraliaNew Zealand produced only two megadeals,compared with nine in 2022.These were Advent Internationals$1.2 billion acquisition of luxury fashion brand
59、 Zimmermann and TPG Capitals$1.2 billion buyout of InvoCare.For the first time since 2008,Southeast Asia had no megadeals.Spotlight on energy and natural resourcesThe technology revolution had dominated private equity deals for the better part of a decade.But in 2021,investors began shifting away fr
60、om riskier,more speculative assets to defensive assets,including manufacturing companies and firms linked to the energy transition.The trend accelerated in 2023,resulting in a more balanced mix of deals by sector.While the technology sector still represented the largest share of deals in the Asia-Pa
61、cific region in 2023,it made up only 27%of deals,down from the prior five-year average of 41%(see Figure 6).GPs perceive technology companies as riskier than other industries and worry that valuations are likely to fall further.Figure 6:The share of technology deals fell to 27%;the share of energy a
62、nd natural resources and advanced manufacturing deals grewNotes:Other includes deals tagged under government/public sector,private equity,conglomerate,other industry,and no industry;excludes real estate andtransactions with a deal value less than$10 millionSource:AVCJPercentage of Asia-Pacific priva
63、te equity deal value,by sector 020406080100%20181920212223Technology and cloud servicesAdvanced manufacturing and servicesHealthcareEnergy and natural resourcesCommunications and mediaConsumer productsServicesRetailFinancial servicesOtherHigher education and trainingAsia-Pacific Private Equity Repor
64、t 202410Energy and natural resources was the only sector to record an increase in deal value and deal count.Deal value rose to$22 billion,up 7%vs.the prior five-year average.Energy and natural resources accounted for a 15%share of deal value,up 6%over the previous five-year average.JICs$6.9 billion
65、buyout of JSR contributed to that growth.Deal count rose 46%vs.the previous five-year average.LPs and GPs are increasingly focused on energy-transition-related assets as a growing number of organizations make net zero commitments and regulations encourage sustainable practices.GPs also are betting t
66、hat the energy transition will create a lucrative investment opportunity.LPs and GPs are increasingly focused on energy-transition-related assets as a growing number of organizations make net zero commitments and regulations encourage sustainable practices.Advanced manufacturing and services account
67、ed for 26%of total deal value,up 8%over the previous five-year average.This increase stemmed primarily from the$16 billion(2.1 trillion Japanese yen)buyout of Toshiba.Three megadeals propelled the services sector to a gain in deal value.It was an unusual number of megadeals,given the sector historic
68、ally has produced only one or two every few years.The largest of these deals was EQTs$2.3 billion purchase of a majority stake in SK Shieldus in South Korea.The definition of private equity has blurred in recent years as PE funds pursue infrastructure deals and infrastructure funds vie for PE target
69、s.The areas of overlap where both types of funds invest typically exclude the core infrastructure segment,which consists of more traditional assets such as ports and roads that are regulated,low risk,and provide stable returns.The businesses of interest to both types of investors include infrastruct
70、ure operations that could be defined as“core plus”somewhat regulated,low cyclicality,medium risk with moderate returns,such as airports,or value-added businesses.PE and infrastructure funds are also interested in medium-to-high-risk businesses with moderate to high returns,such as renewable energy s
71、torage or data centers.Both types of funds may go after opportunistic investments that are higher risk and have the potential to generate higher returns.As in past recessions,investors are betting on more resilient sectors,including those historically dominated by non-core infrastructure funds,such
72、as healthcare and services sectors.Deals in these sectors also gained a small amount of share as investors turn away from less resilient sectors such as retail,financial services,and consumer products.Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202411Competition shrinks Competition for PE deals peaked in 202
73、1.The number of active investors in the Asia-Pacific region has now fallen to 2,535,down 25%compared with 2022(see Figure 7).This trend affected every country,with the drop in active investors ranging from 13%to 45%.Despite the decline in active investors,nearly 30%of survey participants said they s
74、truggled to find enough deal opportunities,compared with 14%a year ago.Fewer deals and a slowdown in fund-raising left a number of underperforming funds unable to compete.By contrast,the largest,most active funds benefited from less competition.The regions top 20 funds share of deal value increased
75、to 47%,up significantly over the prior five-year average of 31%.As in previous years,most of these funds were global GPs.However,their prominence in the top 20 was diluted in 2023 by a handful of government-affiliated funds and domestic GPs that were more active in larger deals than in previous year
76、s.Another factor contributing to reduced competition for deals is GPs reluctance to invest in a climate of macroeconomic uncertainty.Many are sitting on the sidelines and waiting for improved market conditions to deploy capital.Investors continued teaming up to make the most of their complementary e
77、xpertise and resources,while reducing risk.The average number of investors per deal was 3.8,similar to the previous two years,but an increase from pre-2021 levels.Figure 7:The number of active investors declined 25%;the top 20 funds increased their share of deal value Note:Excludes real estateSource
78、:AVCJNumber of active firms investing in the Asia-Pacific PE market16%25%202,38531%213,44629%223,37831%232,53547%20151,18829%161,44238%171,56237%181,85333%191,97735%Top 20 funds share 25%CAGR201822Change202223Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202412Global and domestic GPs were again the largest inv
79、estor groups based on share of deal value (see Figure 8).More than half of the GPs we surveyed expect local and regional firms and large global PE firms to be the biggest competitive threat over the next 12 months.Nearly 20%said that alternative asset classes such as infrastructure and credit were a
80、 big competitive threat.Investor activity largely declined across the region,with global GPs experiencing the sharpest drop in share of total deal value.However,the trend varied in each individual market.In Greater China,domestic GPs participated in deals totaling 72%of deal value,roughly consistent
81、 with the previous five-year average.Global GPs,historically one of the most active groups in Greater China,turned cautious.Their share of deal value fell to 30%less than half the level of 2018 and down from a previous five-year average of 52%.Similarly,dealmaking by regional GPs fell to its lowest
82、level of activity in recent years.Government affiliates stepped in to fill some of the gap,increasing their share of deal value to 47%from an average of 25%over the last five years.Domestic GPs dominated deal activity in Japan.Buoyed by the Toshiba deal,domestic GPs share of deal value rose to 56%,u
83、p from a prior five-year average of 37%.By count,domestic GPs share was on par with previous years.Government affiliates share of deal value and deal count rose sharply from typically low levels.Most of their activity involved coinvestments in smaller deals and a few investments in megadeals.Global
84、GPs were relatively inactive in Japan,given they did not participate in most of the megadeals.Figure 8:Global GPs share of deals declined;domestic GPs and government affiliates were more active Note:The sum of percentages for each year is greater than 100%because many deals have more than one invest
85、or groupSource:AVCJPercentage of Asia-Pacific deals involving specific investor groups,weighted by valueThree-year rolling average2019202020212022202320180255075%60%Global GPsRegional GPsDomestic GPsGovernment affiliatesInstitutional investorsCorporateinvestorsAsia-Pacific Private Equity Report 2024
86、13Global GPs also were less active in India,where their share of deal value dropped 19%compared with the previous five-year average.Dealmaking by other types of investors was roughly consistent with previous years.Global GPs were more active in Southeast Asia during the last two years,while all othe
87、r types of investors reduced their share of activity.South Korea experienced no dramatic shifts;however,government affiliates were more active than usual.In Australia and New Zealand,regional and domestic GPs share of deal activity rose;government-affiliated funds were nearly absent from the market.
88、Multiples plungeDeal multiplesthe ratio of enterprise value to EBIDTAfell sharply in 2023 to 10.1 from 14.8 a year earlier,according to data reported at year-end(see Figure 9).Key factors contributing to lower multiples include general market uncertainty,the unpredictable business outlook for potent
89、ial target companies,and the declining valuation of comparable companies sold on public markets.Also,the share of technology deals,with their historically high multiples,was lower.Finally,buyers are pushing harder for better prices.Our survey showed 41%of GPs are now seeking attractive entry multipl
90、es more than they were five years ago.Most investors(62%)believe valuations will fall further over the next two years.Fewer tech transactions may prompt additional reductions in deal valuations.However,as demand for other types of assets picks up,selected valuations in real estate,resilient sectors,
91、or energy transition assets may spike.Figure 9:Asia-Pacific deal multiples declined sharply in 2023Notes:EV is enterprise value;equity contribution includes contributed equity and rollover equity;based on pro forma trailing EBITDA;excludes multiples lessthan 1 or greater than 100Source:S&P Capital I
92、Q as of January 15,2024Median EV/EBITDA multiple on Asia-Pacific private equity-backed M&A transactions201814.5x18.7x1910.212.62011.718.82113.120.22214.817.22310.117.1Average Asia-Pacific purchase price multipleMedian purchase price multipleAsia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202414Exits drop againEx
93、its plunged to$101 billion,falling 26%vs.the previous five-year average,and declining 51%from the record-breaking level in 2021.Nearly 80%of GPs said conditions were somewhat or far more challenging than 2022,and only 22%made successful exits as planned.Thirty percent made no exits at all.Three-quar
94、ters of GPs blamed troubled macroeconomic conditions for the tough exit environment.A second factor was underperforming and unpredictable IPO markets,according to 62%of GPs.In most countries,public markets had a limited appetite for IPOs.Overall,the channel accounted for 40%of exit value,roughly on
95、a par with the previous five-year average.Greater China accounted for 89%of exit value by IPO,up from the previous five-year average of 77%(see Figure 10).Eighty percent of Greater China IPOs by count were done on the Shanghai Stock Exchange or the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.And the majority of these I
96、POs were owned or invested in by government-affiliated funds and RMB funds.Excluding Greater China IPOs,the total exit value for the region was$65 billion,a 30%decline from the previous five-year average(also excluding IPOs in Greater China).The IPO channel(without China)accounted for only 7%,or$4.5
97、 billion,of total exit value,down 65%from the previous five-year average of$13 billion.IPOs declined in the rest of the Asia-Pacific region for several reasons.Lackluster public market performance and low valuations convinced many GPs to put IPOs on hold.Figure 10:China-based initial public offering
98、s made up 36%of Asia-Pacific exit value Note:Excludes real estate and transactions with an exit value less than$10M Sources:AVCJ;Bain analysisShare of Asia-Pacific private equity exit value020406080100%201822 average1362023101Trade201317 averageIPOGreater ChinaIPORest of APACSecondary$108B73%77%89%C
99、hinas shareof IPOsAsia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202415Given the limited opportunity for IPOs,GPs turned to secondary exits,which made up 27%of exit value,up 10%vs.the previous five-year average.The large number of megaexits and large exits fueled the rise in secondary exits share of exit value.
100、Trade exits share fell to 33%(down 9%vs.the previous five-year average)as trade buyers focused more on their core business.Exit performance was mixed across markets(see Figure 11).Japans exit value rose 144%over the previous year,buoyed by megaexits,including three by Bain Capital:the$2.7 billion sa
101、le of a 50%stake in Works Human Intelligence to GIC,the$1.4 billion acquisition of Nichii Holdings by Nippon Life Insurance,and the$1.4 billion purchase of Japan Wind Development by Infroneer Holdings.Indias exit value rose 12%compared with the previous year,spurred predominantly by open market sale
102、s after a spike in IPOs in recent years.Koreas exit value increased slightly in 2023 but was down 41%compared with the previous five-year average.Greater China remained the regions largest exit market,accounting for 45%of 2023 exits;however,exit value fell 22%compared with the previous year.Exit val
103、ue in AustraliaNew Zealand and Southeast Asia fell sharply from 2022 levels(77%and 58%,respectively).More than half of GPs surveyed in these markets believe that exit conditions will improve if they wait to sell companies in their portfolios.Figure 11:Exit value in 2023 declined across the region,wi
104、th the exception of India,Japan,and South KoreaNotes:Exits tagged to“other APAC”have not been included on this slide;excludes transactions with exit value under$10 million and real estate Sources:AVCJ;Bain analysisAsia-Pacific private equity exit value,by market($B)0406020$80B20222023201822 averageG
105、reater ChinaSoutheastAsiaIndiaJapanSouth KoreaAustraliaNew Zealand22%33%+12%+10%+144%+62%+2%41%77%53%58%62%Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202416Technology and industrial-related companies again dominated the exit market,increasing their share of the regions total exit value(see Figure 12).IPOs i
106、n Greater China accounted for 42%of the technology sectors exit value,and most of those sales were semiconductor firms.Megaexits included Bain Capitals$2.7 billion sale of a 50%stake in Works Human Intelligence to GIC(Japan)and Tiger Global and Accels$1.8 billion sales of their stakes in Indian e-co
107、mmerce firm Flipkart to Walmart.IPOs in China also made up the bulk of industrial-related exits.Exits were smaller as average exit value declined for the second year in a row to$182 million,down 25%from 2022.Fewer large exits dominated the market in 2023.There were only 16 megaexits,down from a five
108、-year average of 26,as many investors held out for better exit conditions and higher valuations.Nearly half(46%)of GPs we surveyed said successful exits were characterized by very strong management,while 44%and 34%cited strong market growth and keen buyers,respectively.Fund-raising plummetsInvestors
109、 raising new funds continued to shift their focus away from the Asia-Pacific region.The global share of Asia-Pacific-focused private capital funds fell to 9%,down sharply from an average 23%over the last decade(see Figure 13).Figure 12:Technology and industrial-related assets both increased their sh
110、are of exit value020406080100%20181920212223Technology and cloud servicesHigher education and trainingOtherAdvanced manufacturing and servicesHealthcareEnergy and natural resourcesRetailFinancial servicesServicesCommunications and mediaConsumer productsNotes:Other includes exits tagged under governm
111、ent/public sector,private equity,conglomerate,other industry,and no industry;excludes real estate andtransactions with an exit value less than$10 million Sources:AVCJ;Bain analysisPercentage of Asia-Pacific private equity exit value,by sector Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202417Global fund-rais
112、ing fared better than Asia-Pacific-focused funds.Global capital raised was down just 17%over 2022.Asia-Pacific-focused funds raised$100 billion,a 26%fall vs.2022 and a 60%drop vs.the prior five-year average of$248 billion.Investors continued to shift capital raised to pan-Asia-Pacific funds,as LPs s
113、ought exposure to a wider range of markets in an effort to limit risk(see Figure 14).In terms of value,27%of Asia-Pacific-focused funds raised were regional,up significantly from the previous five-year average of 13%.At the country level,Japan and Korea buyout funds were popular.Of the 34 buyout fun
114、ds raised,15 were Japan-focused and nine were Korea-focused funds.RMB funds accounted for a larger share of the market at 43%,up from a 27%share in 2022 but still well below the previous five-year average share of 59%.Several mega government-affiliated funds closed,contributing to the increase.These
115、 included the$22 billion Guangzhou Industry Fund of Funds and$7 billion Guangzhou Venture Capital Fund of Funds.The number of non-government-affiliated RMB funds closed continued to decline.The number of funds closed in the Asia-Pacific region fell to 308,the lowest level since 2009 and a sharp cont
116、rast to 2017 when well over 2,000 funds closed(see Figure 15).The vast majority of GPs we Figure 13:Global fund-raising declined 17%;the share of Asia-Pacific-focused funds fell to 9%Notes:Includes closed-ended and commingled funds only;excludes real estate;data includes funds with final close and r
117、epresents the year in which theyheld their final closeSource:PreqinGlobal private capital closed funds,by final size and year of final close($B)(17%)2018$1,087B27%191,21425%201,24221%211,47617%221,35510%231,1259%Share of Asia-Pacific-focused fundsAsia-Pacific-focusedRest of the worldAsia-Pacific Pri
118、vate Equity Report 202418Figure 14:The share of pan-Asia-Pacific funds held steady at 27%,up over previous years Note:Excludes real estateSource:PreqinAsia-Pacific-focused PE capital raised,by final year of close($B)Pan-Asia-PacificGreater China(renminbi-denominated)IndiaOther country-specificGreate
119、r China(other currency)(26%)2018$298B13%1929910%202588%2125317%2213427%2310027%Share of pan-Asia-Pacific fundsFigure 15:Significantly fewer funds closed in 2023,but the average size grew,and GPs largely met their targetsNotes:Funds closed include those focused only on Asia-Pacific;excludes real esta
120、teSource:PreqinNumber of Asia-Pacific-focusedfunds closedAverage fund size of closedAsia-Pacific-focused fundsFinal size vs.target sizefor closed Asia-Pacific-focusedfunds201815.3%195.8%2022.1%211.5%224.6%230.3%20181,808191,538201,629211,533226882330819194201582116522195233242018$165MOtherPan-Asia-P
121、acificIndiaGreater ChinaAsia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202419surveyed(86%)said that 2023 was more challenging than 2022,and 89%believe 2024 will be the same or worse.The average size of closed funds was$324 million,up sharply from the previous five-year average of$173 million.The increase was fu
122、eled by a shift to buyout funds:The share of buyout funds rose to 41%vs.a 14%average over the last five years.Buyout funds were also larger in size,on average.The move toward larger funds underscores investors flight to quality,a trend that emerged several years ago but became particularly important
123、 in 2023 as LPs sought to diversify their exposure and selected funds with a proven ability to generate strong returns and control risk.Despite the shift to larger buyout funds,only 10 funds over$1 billion closed,compared with 26 in 2022.The largest non-RMB funds included Bain Capitals$7.1 billion A
124、sia Fund V and Primaveras$4.1 billion Capital Fund IV.It took longer to close funds regardless of fund size and experience.The average time was 24 months,up from 17 months between 2020 and 2022.The few funds that managed to close were at or near target size.A key reason for the difficulty in raising
125、 funds is that LPs have tightened their purse strings.Forty percent of GPs say LPs are reducing their allocation of capital to the Asia-Pacific region,and 39%say theyre allocating more to other non-PE asset classes.At the same time,LPs are raising the bar for performance.More than one-third of GPs s
126、ay as competition increases for capital,LPs are requiring a stronger fund track record.Several additional factors depressed fund-raising.A dearth of exits and limited distribution of capital back to LPs have stemmed the flow of fresh capital to PE funds.LPs are overallocated,and distributed-to-paid-
127、in capital(DPI)ratios are low after six years of low or negative net cash flow.Most will only start to allocate capital on a broader basis when net cash flow turns positive.Contributing to the shortfall,foreign LPs have continued to pull away from China,deterred by ongoing tensions and economic unce
128、rtainties.Currency fluctuations in some markets have added to LPs reluctance to invest.The denominator effecta situation in which the public holdings portion of a portfolio decline in value while private asset values remain stablepartly subsided as public markets around the world began to recover.Bu
129、t LPs allocation restrictions are still limiting their ability to channel capital to private equity.Its also important to consider that fund-raising data is a lagging indicator.The situation today may be even worse than it looks,since many funds that closed recently were launched(and committed Asia-
130、Pacific Private Equity Report 202420to)under better market conditions in 2021 or 2022.A more forward-looking data set supports that assessment.Asia-Pacific private capital funds on the road were seeking$400 billion in new capital in 2023,but only$68 billion in LP allocations was available,according
131、to Preqin.In other words,for every$6 of capital that funds were seeking to raise,there was just$1 of supply available from LPs.This imbalance has intensified since 2022,when there was a 2-to-1 ratio of demand vs.supply.And it contrasts sharply with the 10-year trend of LPs having more capital availa
132、ble on aggregate than demanded by funds.More than one-third of GPs said the competition for funding was fierce.PE funds that have successfully closed new funds typically have a strong track record of generating returns.Bain Capital delivered strong returns and cash flow back to LPs with its earlier
133、funds Asia III(vintage 2016,20%IRR)and Asia IV(vintage 2018,42%IRR),according to Preqin.Those results helped Bain Capitals$7 billion Asia Fund V exceed its fund-raising goal by$2 billion.GPs that led in closing new funds also tended to have differentiated strategies,including exposure to favorable g
134、eographies,attractive sectors,and less competitive market segments.Based on Preqins 2023 global LP survey,Japan ranked No.3 among the top developed markets for PE investment opportunities,after the US and Western Europe(excluding the UK),and AustraliaNew Zealand ranked No.6.Among emerging markets,In
135、dia ranked No.1 for investment opportunities,and Southeast Asia ranked No.2.GPs that led in closing new funds also tended to have differentiated strategies,including exposure to favorable geographies,attractive sectors,and less competitive market segments.With the benefit of an experienced team on t
136、he ground in Japan,Advantage Partners closed its Japan-only buyout fund,Fund VII,at 130 billion Japanese yen,above its target of 120 billion Japanese yen.Five V Capital,based in Australia and New Zealand,raised its A$770 million buyout fund,Fund V,after just three months of fund-raising.The fund wil
137、l focus on mid-market growth investments,including minority transactions,which draw fewer bidders.Despite the difficulty in fund-raising,the estimated level of dry powder,or total unspent private equity capital,remained consistently high(see Figure 16).However,the total for confirmed funds raised in
138、 2022 declined from an almost uninterrupted growth streak,including 2021s new high.About one-third of undeployed capital in the region has been committed for four years or longer,putting GPs under pressure to deploy it.Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202421Returns remain attractiveFor vintages in
139、 which most portfolio companies have been sold(20152017),top-quartile funds have achieved attractive returns,with IRR ranging from 19.9%to 26.5%(see Figure 17).The strong returns of top-quartile funds,roughly on par with the performance of older vintages,underscores the multi-year trend of LPs prefe
140、rring the larger,more experienced funds.The performance gap between top quartile and third-quartile funds has largely widened for vintages since 2013.Median returns remained stable,with an overall median IRR for 201517 vintages ranging from 13%to 17.5%.Despite economic turmoil and uncertainty,this l
141、evel of return is roughly aligned with that of previous years.According to Burgisss proprietary market index MSCI All Country Asia ICM,private equity continued to outperform public markets by 4%to 6%across 5-,10-,and 20-year time periods.GPs had mixed expectations for returns in the next three to fi
142、ve years,with no clear consensus.However,39%expect worse returnsa noticeable increase over 27%last year.Given PE funds dismal exit performance,Asia-Pacific funds net distribution to LPs dipped back into the red.Over the last six years,LPs have only seen two years of positive net cash flow from priva
143、te equity investments in the Asia-Pacific region,both of which were relatively low(see Figure 18).That result steps up pressure on GPs to get cash distributed and moving again.Figure 16:After a decline in 2022,dry powder is expected to remain at a high levelNotes:2023 range is estimated based on Pre
144、qins full database of fund-raising and Bain analysis;other includes distressed and mezzanine funds and excludesreal estate fundsSources:Preqin;Bain&CompanyUnspent private equity capital at Asia-Pacific-focused funds at year-end($B)2015$147B16181172681832819369205112155222490CAGR201822BuyoutGrowthVen
145、tureFund of fundsInfrastructure10.6%0.3%3.8%21.0%48.2%0.1%31.3%Other23670540(Estimated range)Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202422Figure 17:Asia-Pacific returns remain steady across vintages,with the gap between top and bottom quartiles wideningFigure 18:LPs have had six years of low or negative
146、 net cash flow;private equity continues to outperform public marketsNotes:Includes latest performance data available on Preqin(including December 2023);vintage year refers to year of initial investment;excludes real estate,infrastructure,and funds with no value or no available IRR;the chart for net
147、IRR by vintage is as of January 2024Source:PreqinNet internal rate of return for Asia-Pacific-focused funds,by vintage0102030%2008091011121314151617Vintage year5161116151213121211Gap between top andthird-quartile funds(percentage points)Top-quartile fundsMedian fundsThird-quartile fundsNotes:Data fo
148、r Asia-Pacific calculated in US dollars;MSCI All Country Asia ICM IRR is a proprietary private-to-public comparison from Burgiss that evaluates whatperformance would have been had the dollars invested in private equity been invested in public markets insteadSource:Burgiss(as of September 30,2023)Cas
149、h flow for Asia-Pacific buyout andgrowth funds($B)Asia-Pacific private equity vs.public marketNet cash flowsDistributionsContributionsMSCI All Country Asia ICM IRRAsia-Pacific buyout and growth funds 55152520141516171819202122 Q1Q320233525$35B15510%5%1011%7%2011%6%Investment horizon(years)End-to-end
150、 pooled net internal rate of return(as of September 2023)Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202423To adapt to a challenging market,GPs are changing how they work.More than two-thirds of the GPs we surveyed said theyve been increasing their focus on portfolio management,and more than half are working
151、 harder on exit planning.More than two-thirds of the GPs we surveyed said theyve been increasing their focus on portfolio management,and more than half are working harder on exit planning.Its a smart approach,since top-line growth has been the most important factor fueling returns on deals exited,ac
152、cording to 71%of GPs we surveyed,followed by cost improvement and capital efficiency(70%)and M&A(48%).All three will be critical to deal success in the coming five years.24Improving portfolio exit valueAchieving exits in 2023 was a serious problem for Asia-Pacific PE funds.A sharp drop in the number
153、 of exits after years of vigorous dealmaking has left portfolios with an unprecedented number of aging investments(see Figure 19).Longer holding periods present two challenges for PE fund managers.The first is a declining internal rate of return(IRR).Global and Asia-Pacific data show the longer the
154、holding period,the lower the IRR(see Figure 20).But even more critical is the sharply reduced distributed to paid-in capital ratio(DPI)the level of total cash distributed to investors relative to the level of capital contributed.LPs are becoming more cautious about allocating capital to private equi
155、ty.GPs that have returned lower levels of capital to investors from older funds in recent years are finding it difficult to raise new funds,even if their aging funds show strong unrealized returns.The average holding period for private equity portfolios has increased since 2015 despite GPs best effo
156、rts to pursue exits.According to our survey,investors tried to sell half of the assets they have held for more than five years.The most common reason these efforts failed was that the buyer and the seller could not agree on the valuation(see Figure 21).In this changed landscape,the ability to exit s
157、uccessfully has become a key factor distinguishing winning funds.Top-performing GPs have found exit opportunities for assets with distinct characteristics in specific geographies.IPO markets in Japan and India began to rebound in 2023,and PE-backed companies in both countries pursued successful publ
158、ic listings,especially in the second half of the year.Many corporate acquirers may have tightened their M&A purse strings,but GPs that position their companies to appeal to a wider range of bidders,especially international buyers,have had more success.And while macroeconomic uncertainty has made it
159、more difficult for private equity funds to sell to one another,core-plus infrastructure funds,which have a lower cost of capital than traditional private equity but accept somewhat greater risk than classic infrastructure funds,have stepped in to fill the gap.The number of Asia-focused infrastructur
160、e funds has grown in recent years,creating a broader group of potential buyers for PE firms.Some GPs have helped clinch deals by agreeing to maintain a minority stake in the company they are selling to demonstrate confidence in the value of the company.Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202425Figure
161、 19:PE portfolios are aging as the number of early exits declines and holds growNote:Only includes buyouts with a deal size greater than$100 million and a completion date of 2010 or laterSources:AVCJ;Secondary research;Bain&Company analysisPercentage of Asia-Pacific buyout deals exited by end of fif
162、th year of ownership020406080100%20101253%20131543%20161828%Deal vintagesFigure 20:Average PE returns drop for companies held five years or longerNote:Reflects fully realized buyout deals with a first investment date of 2010 or laterSource:DealEdgeGlobalAsia-PacificBottom quartileMedianTop quartileL
163、ess than3 years 35 years57 yearsMore than7 years 3020100102030405060%17%27%18%14%PE buyout internal rate of return by holding period Less than3 years 35 years57 yearsMore than7 years 3020100102030405060%18%18%15%10%PE buyout internal rate of return by holding period Asia-Pacific Private Equity Repor
164、t 202426Finding a good fitFunds that achieve successful exits in todays tough conditions share a few key characteristics.They plan their exit strategy carefully and refresh the plan when needed.They also articulate the sources of value for prospective new owners more effectively than their peers.Our
165、 survey shows that in 68%of sales,GPs conducted a new diligence effort or refreshed their pre-sales strategy to highlight the equity story for potential buyers.Those that conducted an in-depth review reported that their effort contributed most to the portfolio company managements confidence and conv
166、iction in their strategy.It also made the deal process smoother,broadened the range of interested investors,and increased the sale valuation(see Figure 22).Pre-sales strategies and diligence reviews are most effective when they help GPs highlight the growth opportunity and value creation potential f
167、or an investor.This effort may include identifying a strategic fit with the buyer,the ability to unlock value for a new investor,or defensive benefits and limited downside risk.To help spotlight future growth opportunities,the PE owners of an Asia-Pacific consumer pharmaceutical company initiated a
168、strategic review prior to launching the sales process.The review highlighted the specific product categories and regions within the companys diverse portfolio that were well positioned for rapid growth.The PE owners also took key actions to bolster Figure 21:The main obstacle to selling older portfo
169、lio companies is valuation mismatchSource:Bain&Company Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report survey,2024(n=130)Tried to exit:Reasons no deal concludedDid not try to exit:Reasons52%GPs have tried to exit 52%of the portfolio companies theyhave held for five years or longer020406080100%Valuation mismatchC
170、ompany unattractiveto buyerOther reason(s)020406080100%Want to hold longer;company is performing wellWant to hold longer to improvecompany performanceWould like to exit butenvironment is not rightAsia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202427the pharma companys product pipeline,introducing new offerings
171、of its strongest brands.At the same time,they conducted due diligence on a large potential acquisition so the company could be purchased quickly once the pharma sale closed.To affirm its confidence in the companys outlook,one of the funds agreed to reinvest in a substantial minority stake alongside
172、the new owners.These efforts helped attract a buyer and secure a multiple that was higher than that of most publicly traded peers.Identifying a good strategic fit with a potential buyer can also help GPs increase the chances of selling portfolio companies at a price that meets their return target.Ta
173、ke the case of an Asia-Pacific-focused PE fund that was looking to sell a manufacturer of clothing materials with a wide footprint across Asia following a period of strong growth.Several investors expressed interest in the portfolio company,but the fund realized the strongest strategic fit was a Eur
174、opean corporate buyer with a similar but mostly non-overlapping portfolio of products.The buyer identified more than$5 million in synergies and outbid the competition at a healthy multiple.In response to concerns about the firms ESG profile,the seller was able to point to a growing portfolio of eco-
175、friendly products as well as progress on plans to become a zero-waste business.PE fund managers can also attract potential buyers by demonstrating a deals limited downside risk.A PE fund that owned an industrial gases company in the Asia-Pacific region achieved a successful partial exit thanks to a
176、strategy review it initiated several months before launching a formal sales Source:Bain&Company Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report survey,2024(n=130)Exited deals that includedstrategy work prior to saleImpact of in-depth strategy refresh020406080100%No formal strategy refreshor diligence updateLight
177、-touch strategyrefresh or diligence update In-depth strategyrefresh ordiligence update020406080100%Typesof investorsattractedSignificantimpactSmall impactNo impactManagementconfidence instrategySmoothnessof deal anddiligence processFinal valuationrealized on exitFigure 22:PE funds that develop a pre
178、-sales strategy say it has a positive effect on exitsAsia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202428process.Its review included an assessment of business risks,which showed that although the customers end markets were relatively volatile,market swings were linked to price changes rather than a shift in vo
179、lume.The analysis also affirmed that the sale of industrial gases was unlikely to fall significantly in any future downturn.Finally,to help the buyer correctly evaluate the investment risk,the PE fund highlighted how the industrial gas market functioned in the companys domestic market compared with
180、industrial gas markets in the US and European markets.Interviews with customers and industry stakeholders revealed the high barriers to entry for new suppliers and provided confidence that the company would be able to maintain its market share.The companys strong market position helped attract inter
181、est from infrastructure funds both within the region and globally,even though these funds had not previously included the industrial gas sector in their mandate.The winning bid came from a US-based infrastructure fund,and provided the seller with a healthy multiple that met its target return.The PE
182、fund maintained a significant stake in the firm,demonstrating its confidence in the quality of the business.The outlook for exits in 2024 in the Asia-Pacific region remains uncertain,but successful funds are not waiting for markets to bounce back.They are paving the way for sales that meet their tar
183、get returns by using strategy reviews to highlight the potential value of deals to buyers.That approach can help reduce the inventory of aging assets and return cash to LPs through the coming year,even if the overall exit market remains depressed.29A smart approach to asset class diversification Pri
184、vate equity firms have an incentive to grow:Most charge management fees based on total assets under management(AUM).Alternative asset classes such as infrastructure funds and private credit offer an obvious path to growth,and many PE firms have begun to expand into these sectors.Rising interest rate
185、s and government policy changes have increased the allure of private credit and infrastructure funds,and LPs are planning to allocate more capital to these asset classes (see Figure 23).For investors,the opportunity in the Asia-Pacific region is particularly attractive since infrastructure funds and
186、 private credit have been slower to develop compared with other regions(see Figure 24).Figure 23:Many LPs plan to invest more in private credit and infrastructure than other alternative asset classesSource:Preqin Investor Survey,June 2023Over next 12 monthsOver the long term0102030405060%Percentage
187、of LPs who plan to invest more in alternative asset classes Privatecredit45%Infra-structure41%Privateequity34%Hedgefunds28%Realestate25%Venturecapital23%0204060%Percentage of LPs who plan to invest more in alternativeasset classesPrivatecredit 51%Infra-structure47%Privateequity44%Venturecapital40%Re
188、alestate25%Hedgefunds21%Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202430However,asset class expansion is often more difficult and riskier than many PE investors expect.Different asset classes require different capabilities from deal sourcing and structuring through exits.A Bain&Company analysis shows that
189、over 60%of firms that pursue asset class expansion will retreat from at least one of those pursuits over time.That doesnt mean GPs should avoid asset class diversification.But smart fund managers proceed with caution.In our experience,funds that move successfully into adjacent areas do the hard work
190、 in advance to make sure the asset class is as attractive as it seems.They also ensure that they have the talent,resources,and commitment to take on a new business.The best funds understand that they can only grow AUM sustainably by outperforming competitors in the asset classes they choose to enter
191、.Private credit and infrastructureMany large alternative asset managers,such as KKR and Bain Capital,that once focused primarily on PE have already expanded into alternative asset classes,raising sizable Asia-Pacific-focused funds(see Figure 25).Private credit,infrastructure funds,and special situat
192、ion funds(which seek to invest in companies that are undervalued due to special situations such as financial distress or restructuring)represent a growing share of alternative asset funds raised in the Asia-Pacific region.And leaders see additional room to expand in these asset classes.Figure 24:Inf
193、rastructure and private credit funds have room to grow in the Asia-Pacific regionSource:PreqinGlobal growthAsia-Pacific potentialGlobal infrastructure and private credit fund-raising aspercentage of total alternative asset fund-raising Infrastructure and private credit as percentage of totalalternat
194、ive assets under management0102025%20121420%20151720%20182021%20212324%05101520%Infrastructure5%18%7%Private credit4%16%15%Private creditInfrastructureGlobal averageEuropeNorth AmericaAsia-PacificAsia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202431Figure 25:PE-focused alternative asset managers have raised lar
195、ge Asia-Pacific-focused infrastructure and credit fundsNotes:Size reflects final close size for closed funds,and target size for funds still being raised,partially closed,or at first close.Source:PreqinLargest funds raised by alternative asset managers that have a significant focus on private equity
196、(vintage/inception year 20212023)InfrastructureFund nameCICC Infrastructure Fund IIKKR Asia Pacific Infrastructure Investors IIPacific Equity Partners Secure Assets Fund IIIMM Infra IX FundCITIC Capital Pan Eurasia FundSize$6.5B$6.4B$944M$525M$500MVintage20212022202320212021StatusFirst CloseClosedCl
197、osedClosedSecond ClosePrivate creditPAG Loan Fund VBain Capital Special Situations Asia IIMBK Partners Special Situations lIApollo Asia Pacific CreditKKR Asia Credit Opportunities Fund$2.6B$2.1B$1.8B$1.25B$1.2B20212021202120222022ClosedClosedClosedFirst CloseClosedFund nameSizeVintageStatusAsia-Paci
198、fic Private Equity Report 202432Higher interest rates have increased the appeal of private credit investments,while government funding and regulation have supported the growth of infrastructure funds.Both asset classes have historically provided attractive returnsnot as high as private equity but wi
199、th a lower level of risk and less variability between funds.The Asia-Pacific private credit market,though still nascent at$115 billion in 2022,has grown at 24%per annum in the past five years.Private credit now represents 4%of total alternative assets under management in the Asia-Pacific region vs.1
200、6%in Europe and 15%in the US.The private credit sector holds significant growth potential because banks are reluctant to lend to mid-market companies or businesses that are more complicated to evaluate,including those that lack traditional assets or have atypical free cash flow.As a result,many comp
201、anies face a serious funding gap.Private credit,infrastructure funds,and special situation funds represent a growing share of alternative asset funds raised in the Asia-Pacific region.And leaders see additional room to expand in these asset classes.However,PE fund managers need to take their time ev
202、aluating these opportunities.Asia-Pacific markets have different regulations,and competitive landscapes.For example,bankruptcy laws in Japan,Korea,and Singapore are more in line with international best practices,while those in some other Asia-Pacific markets are comparatively less rigorous and sophi
203、sticated.In Asia-Pacific countries with less developed financial markets,private credit funds focus primarily on direct lending.These markets are not yet mature enough for sophisticated strategies such as distressed debt and hybrid debt.Infrastructure accounts for only 5%of alternative assets under
204、management in the Asia-Pacific region,despite having an average annual growth rate of 20%from 2012 to 2022.Several factors are fueling infrastructure investing in the Asia-Pacific region,including government and policy initiatives such as Chinas Belt and Road Initiative,carbon neutral commitments,th
205、e energy transition,and plans to increase competition in sectors dominated by oligopolies,such as utilities.Upgrades to financial infrastructure,telecommunications,and IT connectivity are also boosting infrastructure spending.Finally,increasing urban density,especially in developing markets,and popu
206、lation movements are prompting the redesign and extension of existing infrastructure,including transportation,utilities,and healthcare facilities.In recent years,infrastructure investing has expanded to include value-added sectors such as transport and logistics services,facility management,and heal
207、thcare,which are closer to private equity investments but with infrastructure characteristics of predictable free cash flow and high Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202433barriers to entry.Given their lower target returns,infrastructure funds are often able to outbid PE funds in these sectors.For
208、 PE-focused GPs,expanding asset classes not only provides a strategic path to growth,but opens opportunities that would not otherwise be available within the investment mandates of their PE funds.For example,some infrastructure deals may be fundamentally attractive with limited downside,but a higher
209、 cost of capital makes it difficult for a PE fund to bid competitively.Infrastructure funds are more likely to be able to submit winning bids,given their target returns and risk profile.This is increasingly important as infrastructure funds start to expand the scope of their investments.Having both
210、PE and private credit funds under the same manager can also provide a competitive edge.When Bain Capital faced strong bidding competition for Virgin Australia during the pandemic,it was able to put together a deal with investments from both its private equity and credit funds.Without access to both
211、vehicles,it may have been impossible to structure such a large investment.Aim to outperformIn our experience,successful asset class expansion starts with two questions.First,is the asset class as attractive as it seems given the likely returns,fee economics,and competition?Second,does the fund have
212、a strong competitive position or“right to win”based on its talent,capabilities,operating model,and support from existing LPs(see Figure 26)?Figure 26:Successful asset class expansion starts with two questions:Is the asset class attractive,and do we have a right to win?Source:Bain&Company Attractiven
213、essLimited partner(LP)demand,competition,returns,economicsRight to winShared team,shared assets and capabilities,shared LPs,LP permission,operating modelHighLowLowHighNew businesses,with new teamsUnlikely movesPriority adjacenciesComplementary fundsFund type CFund type DFund type EFund type BFund ty
214、pe AAsia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202434These questions help frame several practical considerations for investing.For instance,each asset class requires a distinct set of relationships,and the basis of competition varies widely from one asset class to another.PE-focused GPs that have successful
215、ly expanded into other asset classes usually start by staying close to their core business.They target attractive niches where they can leverage their existing strengths and,if necessary,build new capabilities.But maintaining a long-term competitive edge in some asset classes requires enormous scale
216、.In our experience,successful asset class expansion starts with two questions.First,is the asset class as attractive as it seems given the likely returns,fee economics,and competition?Second,does the fund have a strong competitive position or“right to win”based on its talent,capabilities,operating m
217、odel,and support from existing LPs?Take the example of KKR,which launched a strategy in 2019 to move into new asset classes in the Asia-Pacific region based on its relative strengths.As the fund prepared to launch its$3.9 billion Asia-Pacific-focused infrastructure fund,it also moved quickly to fill
218、 capability gaps in infrastructure fund management,target attractive geographies and sectors,and use its relationships to access attractive deals.KKR aimed first at a limited number of geographies and sectors for infrastructure investments,judging India,Japan,the Philippines,and Korea as the most at
219、tractive markets.In those countries,it focused on a few core sectors such as renewable energy in India,and more value-added sectors such as waste management in Korea.To source initial investments,the management team tapped its existing network of local relationships,which allowed it to complete the
220、first six deals without entering traditional auction processes.Over time,the fund looked at a broader set of opportunities,including deals in markets such as Greater China and AustraliaNew Zealand.Having deployed capital for infrastructure deals quickly,KKR has since been able to raise a second,larg
221、er infrastructure fund.Pacific Equity Partners(PEPs)expansion in 2018 into infrastructure through its Secure Assets Fund represents a different approach.As a successful PE investor focused solely on the Australia and New Zealand markets,PEP targeted the same geographic area for its infrastructure fu
222、nd and looked to invest in niche areas where it could rely on its existing capabilities instead of hiring new talent.Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202435PEP focused on its ability to work with management teams to improve operational performance.Since global and local infrastructure funds were m
223、ostly competing for larger deals,PEP targeted an attractive nichemid-market companies in the value-added segments of the infrastructure spectrum.And because its LPs were looking for sizable coinvestment opportunities,PEP aimed to raise a$750 million fund,less than half that of its previous PE fund.T
224、hat target size was large enough for six to eight deals and offered LPs sufficient room to coinvest.Having secured in 2022 a successful partial exit from its maiden infrastructure investment,Intellihub,with an IRR of 83%,PEP was able to close a second,larger infrastructure fund in 2023,with a remit
225、to invest in a broader array of infrastructure sub-sectors,including logistics,waste management,and digital infrastructure.Many Asia-Pacific PE investors are keen to tap the growth opportunity offered by infrastructure,private credit,and other alternative asset classes.Those that succeed understand
226、the risks and pressure test the investment economics for new markets across the complex Asia-Pacific region.Before charging ahead,these winners do the hard work to ensure they have a competitive edge to outperform.Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 202436Market definitionThe Asia-Pacific private equ
227、ity market as defined for this reportIncludes:Investments and exits with announced value of more than$10 million Investments and exits completed in the Asia-Pacific region:Greater China(China,Taiwan,Hong Kong,and Macau),India,Japan,South Korea,Australia and New Zealand,Southeast Asia(Singapore,Indon
228、esia,Malaysia,Thailand,Vietnam,the Philippines,Laos,Cambodia,Brunei,and Myanmar),and other countries in the region Investments that have closed and those at the agreement-in-principle or definitive agreement stageExcludes:Franchise funding,seed,and R&D deals Any non-PE,non-VC deals(including M&A and
229、 consolidation)Real estate and real estate investment trustsBold ideas.Bold teams.Extraordinary results.Bain&Company is a global consultancy that helps the worlds most ambitious change makers define the future.Across 65 cities in 40 countries,we work alongside our clients as one team with a shared a
230、mbition to achieve extraordinary results,outperform the competition,and redefine industries.We complement our tailored,integrated expertise with a vibrant ecosystem of digital innovators to deliver better,faster,and more enduring outcomes.Our 10-year commitment to invest more than$1 billion in pro b
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