1、Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA For email subscription,click here to register:https:/ United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service October 11,2024 Livestock and Poultry:World Markets and Trade Brazil Continues to Dominate Growth in Global Chicken Meat Ex

2、ports in 2025 Following 2 years of relatively stagnant trade,world chicken meat exports are forecast to rise 2 percent in 2025 to reach a record 13.8 million tons.While this growth is supported by several major suppliers,Brazil expansion buoys a large portion due to its expected record level shipmen

3、ts.The 2025 forecast follows the recent trend(since the COVID pandemic)by which Brazil share of world trade continues to increase largely at the expense of the United States and the EU.Various Factors Drive Expansion Rates There is not one predominant factor that drives Brazil exports to climb to a

4、record level.Expansion is propelled by a combination of its disease-free status,export orientation and product offering,as well as competitive pricing.Many of these factors also support increased Thailand exports which are expected to reach record levels.Disease-Related Restrictions Brazil continues

5、 to maintain its status as free from highly pathogenic avian influenza(HPAI)as outbreaks have been limited to wild birds and backyard flocks,with no cases in commercial operations.As a result,there has been no impact on production or trade restrictions imposed by key markets.Similarly,Thailand has n

6、ot experienced a case of commercial HPAI since 2009.While recent outbreaks of HPAI in commercial 201920202021202220232024(F)2025(F)Brazil30%30%32%33%35%36%36%U.S.25%26%25%26%25%23%22%EU17%15%14%13%12%13%13%Thailand7%7%7%8%8%8%9%Other21%22%22%22%20%20%20%Market Shares of Global Trade Livestock and Po

7、ultry:World Markets and Trade operations in the United States and the EU have had minimal impacts on production,lingering HPAI-related trade restrictions continue to constrain shipments to several markets.In July 2024,Brazil confirmed an outbreak of Newcastle disease(NCD)in a commercial operation in

8、 Rio Grande do Sul(RGS)its first case since 2006(backyard case).The impact on production was negligible and trade restrictions were largely resolved within 1 month.Lingering restrictions may limit exports from Rio Grande do Sol but do not have an impact on total Brazil shipments as exporters will so

9、urce from states with eligible supplies.Rio Grande do Sol accounts for approximately 11 percent of Brazil chicken meat production.Producing to Export:Orientation and Product Offering Brazil and Thailand direct a greater portion of production to exports compared to the United States and the EU.Thus,B

10、razil and Thailand are producing for export rather than primarily for their domestic markets.Export orientation is only feasible if a country can offer the range of products demanded by foreign markets.Several key global markets import a broad variety of products such as breast meat,whole birds,debo

11、ned meat,prepared products,etc.Thus,growth in U.S.shipments is generally limited as domestic demand for breast meat constrains the range of products for export.Nearly 60 percent of U.S.broiler meat exports in 2023 were frozen leg and leg quarters,generally bone-in.Similarly,specific requirements by

12、several key markets such as feed use(vegetarian)and religious-based slaughter are also challenging for the domestically orientated U.S.industry to fulfill.Costs of Production As a major producer of both corn and soybean meal,Brazil has a competitive advantage when producing chicken meat due to lower

13、 feed costs(Feed accounts for two-thirds of Brazil production costs).The United States also has ample feed supplies and competitive feed prices,but feed costs are higher than those of Brazil.In addition,labor costs in Brazil are significantly lower compared to the United States.Competitive labor cos

14、ts enable the shipment of products such as de-boned meat.Brazil to Capture Key Import Demand Growth in 2025 Brazil exports are forecast to increase 100,000 tons(2 percent)in 2025 compared to only 40,000 tons(1 percent)for the United States.The greatest increases in imports are expected for Mexico,Sa

15、udi Arabia,Singapore,the United Arab Emirates,and the United Kingdom all of which are markets that Brazil services and can strongly compete against other potential suppliers on price and product offering.These top growth import markets in 2025,except Mexico,are not significant U.S.markets which cons

16、trains U.S.expansion.In addition,Brazil is expected to continue to erode U.S.market share in several of its key markets also due to price-competitiveness and greater product offerings.Additional and detailed information about the Brazil chicken meat production and trade forecast is available in the

17、USDA FAS GAIN Report:Brazil:Poultry and Products Annual.Country201920202021202220232024(F)2025(F)Brazil29282931323333EU20181716151616Thailand29282831323333U.S.16171616161414Exports as a Percent of ProductionForeign Agricultural Service/USDA 2 October 2024Global Market Analysis Livestock and Poultry:

18、World Markets and Trade Beef and Veal Overview 4 Beef and Veal Summary Tables.5 Cattle Summary Tables.7 Pork Overview 9 Pork Summary Tables.10 Swine Summary Tables.12 Chicken Meat Overview.14 Chicken Meat Summary Tables.15 Notes to Readers 17 Table of Contents Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 3 Oct

19、ober 2024Global Market AnalysisLivestock and Poultry:World Markets and Trade Global production in 2025 is forecast down 1 percent to 60.9 million tons as declines in Brazil,the EU,and the United States more than offset increases in Argentina,Australia,India,and Mexico.Australia production is expecte

20、d to rise 2 percent to a record 2.6 million tons as increased global demand,particularly from the United States,supports higher slaughter.Carcass weights are expected to decline as female cattle slaughter increases to meet export demands.Increased Argentina production is driven by higher internation

21、al demand and newly implemented domestic policies,which seek to incentivize shipments by reducing export taxes on certain beef products.Production in Brazil is forecast to decline 1 percent to 11.8 million tons as herd contraction continues for a second consecutive year.EU production is expected to

22、decline 2 percent as the combination of economic headwinds and an uncertain regulatory environment continues to disincentivize investment in an already constrained cattle sector.Global exports in 2025 are forecast virtually unchanged to 12.9 million tons as lower exports from Canada,the EU,and the U

23、nited States offset greater shipments from Argentina,Australia,and India.Excluding the United States,global exports are anticipated to increase 1 percent.Brazil and Australia,the worlds two leading exporters,will capture increased market share at the expense of the United States and the EU,where bee

24、f production is expected to decline.Australia exports are expected to rise 2 percent to a record 1.9 million tons as tight U.S.supplies and lower production will increase the demand for beef imports,of which Australia is a significant supplier.Global demand in 2025 is also supported by a 1-percent i

25、ncrease in China imports as well as small gains by South Korea,Taiwan,and the United Kingdom.U.S.production and exports:U.S.beef production is forecast down 4 percent on tighter cattle inventories.The decline in production,especially lean processing beef,coupled with ample exportable supplies in key

26、 markets such as Argentina,Australia,and Brazil will spur import growth.Imports are forecast to rise 1 percent to a record of 2.0 million tons.Exports are forecast 12 percent lower to 1.2 million tons on tight domestic supplies and competition from Australia,particularly in East Asia.Beef and Veal F

27、oreign Agricultural Service/USDA 4 October 2024Global Market AnalysisBeef and Veal Production-Top Countries Summary1,000 Metric Tons(Carcass Weight Equivalent)202020212022202320242025Oct noneProduction11,75011,85010,95010,3509,7509,975 Brazil7,7807,8007,5307,1806,9806,720 China6,5006,6006,4616,7226,

28、8836,903 European Union4,6354,5654,4704,3504,1953,760 India3,1753,1003,2803,1403,0003,170 Argentina2,6152,5552,2241,8781,8952,123 Australia2,3052,2602,2152,1772,1292,079 Mexico1,3851,4001,3651,3501,3801,378 Russia1,3101,3151,3261,4121,3851,314 Canada1,0281,0089999799961,008 South Africa6,6016,6266,8

29、556,9007,0086,801 Others49,08449,07947,67546,43845,60145,231 Total Foreign11,81112,29812,28612,89012,73412,389 United States60,89561,37759,96159,32858,33557,620 TotalnoneTotal Dom.Consumption11,58711,55711,08910,6629,9879,485 China8,2108,3308,1087,5247,4927,486 Brazil6,1956,2606,2006,4686,5296,539 E

30、uropean Union2,9902,9902,9182,9082,7982,476 India2,3172,2812,5122,4222,3502,383 Argentina2,2202,2102,0801,9451,9381,898 Mexico1,6361,6521,5921,5971,6281,708 Russia1,2171,2291,2271,2281,2631,295 Japan1,1401,1601,1461,1561,1321,161 United Kingdom9901,0011,0011,0431,0021,046 Canada8,0007,9227,8147,8358

31、,0918,041 Others46,50246,59245,68744,78844,21043,518 Total Foreign12,65712,95912,63712,79912,71712,531 United States59,15959,55158,32457,58756,92756,049 TotalNotes:Includes meat of other bovines for certain countries.India includes carabeef(water buffalo).The notation of a month beneath a year conve

32、ys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 5 October 2024Global Market AnalysisBeef and Veal Trade-Top Countries Summary1,000 Metric Tons(Carcass Weight Equivalent)202020212022202320242025Oct noneTotal Imports3,8253,7753,5773,5023,0242,781 China72

33、0725702777807832 Japan575570595595588549 Korea,South415400384400393399 United Kingdom355370363372321350 European Union350355356350464342 Chile295300275295298363 Russia265260220176170148 Saudi Arabia255270241214212249 Canada250245245270300230 Egypt1,8681,8671,6751,7401,8411,926 Others9,1739,1378,6338

34、,6918,4188,169 Total Foreign2,0071,9881,6901,5381,5171,515 United States11,18011,12510,32310,2299,9359,684 TotalnoneTotal Exports3,6003,5752,8972,8982,3202,539 Brazil1,9001,8651,5601,2381,2911,473 Australia1,6451,5751,5521,4421,3971,284 India860820771725658801 Argentina685675682643685634 New Zealand

35、660710624626675714 European Union580585572583593511 Canada485500483513556411 Uruguay450470441462434371 Paraguay310290338398363343 Mexico590567742783822788 Others11,76511,63210,66210,3119,7949,869 Total Foreign1,1791,3401,3781,6081,5551,338 United States12,94412,97212,04011,91911,34911,207 TotalNotes

36、:Includes meat of other bovines for certain countries.Indian exports are carabeef(water buffalo).The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 6 October 2024Global Market AnalysisCattle Stocks-Top Countries

37、 Summary(in 1,000 head)202020212022202320242025Oct noneTotal Cattle Beg.Stks307,490307,420307,400306,700305,500303,200 India186,875192,572194,365193,780193,195190,026 Brazil104,000105,090102,16098,17295,62191,383 China72,30073,74574,80875,70576,55177,161 European Union53,20052,80054,10053,40053,5405

38、4,461 Argentina27,02027,07125,80023,94423,02123,655 Australia17,73517,84017,76317,31417,00016,900 Mexico16,65017,16017,43517,79817,95318,022 Russia11,80511,36611,79511,64611,96611,436 Uruguay10,93511,02511,24511,51511,51511,540 Canada28,68129,09738,05538,30938,04038,004 Others836,691845,186854,92684

39、8,283843,902835,788 Total Foreign86,00087,15788,84191,78993,58793,768 United States922,691932,343943,767940,072937,489929,556 TotalnoneProduction(Calf Crop)71,03070,58070,20070,00069,80069,400 India52,00052,50054,13853,24050,52551,900 China47,80047,50048,00047,83646,55049,150 Brazil23,30023,48023,72

40、024,65025,05025,280 European Union14,80014,80014,70015,10014,46014,300 Argentina10,0009,5009,5008,7608,2008,300 Australia8,7008,6008,4758,3508,1508,000 Mexico6,3006,3506,4756,5256,6006,660 Russia5,0005,1005,1205,1595,4605,135 New Zealand4,2804,3104,3414,4274,4824,435 Canada9,3059,68011,07911,87111,9

41、7412,404 Others252,515252,400255,748255,918251,251254,964 Total Foreign32,70032,80033,59334,44035,13135,501 United States285,215285,200289,341290,358286,382290,465 TotalNotes:May contain other bovines.The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was re

42、leased.Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 7 October 2024Global Market AnalysisCattle Trade-Top Countries Summary(in 1,000 head)202020212022202320242025Oct noneTotal Imports250300294317402277 Canada8085148350361266 China353533331859 United Kingdom30355711210137 Mexico6615305670 Russia79186224233341 Ot

43、hers4084707331,0661,1711,050 Total Foreign2,0502,1751,9811,6281,7752,114 United States2,4582,6452,7142,6942,9463,164 TotalnoneTotal Exports1,3901,4601,2959651,0371,485 Mexico8257756265937881,109 Australia8008109671,0771,0141,122 European Union685765734754645675 Canada51580058219562329 Brazil42238747

44、9307485372 Others4,6374,9974,6833,8914,0315,092 Total Foreign250340352424511321 United States4,8875,3375,0354,3154,5425,413 TotalNotes:May contain other bovines.The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

45、 8 October 2024Global Market Analysis Livestock and Poultry:World Markets and Trade Global production in 2025 is forecast down 1 percent to 115.1 million tons as lower production in China and the European Union more than offsets production growth in the United States,Vietnam,and Brazil.Vietnam pork

46、production is forecast 3 percent higher to 3.8 million tons on expected herd expansion as the swine sector consolidates and improves management of African swine fever(ASF).Brazil production is forecast 1 percent higher to 4.6 million tons on strong export demand and easing input costs.Despite improv

47、ed sector profitability in 2024,China pork production is forecast 2 percent lower in 2025 to 55.5 million tons.Reduced sow inventories in 2024 are expected to yield fewer animals available for slaughter in 2025.Additionally,China consumer demand for pork is expected to remain weak given continued ec

48、onomic uncertainty and the growing consumer preference for poultry.European Union production is forecast 2 percent lower to 20.9 million tons due to expected lower hog prices.Global exports are forecast to increase 1 percent to 10.4 million tons in 2025 as export growth from the United States and Ca

49、nada offsets lower exports from the EU.Canada exports are forecast 1 percent higher to 1.5 million tons with stable demand from the United States and continued growth to several Asian markets,including Japan and South Korea.EU exports are forecast 2 percent lower to 2.95 million tons given expected

50、lower available supplies for export and ongoing ASF-related trade restrictions.U.S.production and exports:U.S.production is forecast 2 percent higher in 2025 to 12.9 million tons on growth in slaughter and pigs per litter.Improved sector profitability in 2024 and reduced feed costs are expected to c

51、ontinue to support heavier hog weights.U.S.exports are forecast to increase 3 percent in 2025 to 3.4 million tons given ample domestic supplies and strong export price competitiveness.Despite increased competition from Brazil,Mexico will remain a core market for U.S.exports.Additionally,U.S.exports

52、are expected gain market share from the EU in South Korea and Australia.00.511.522.533.544.552021202220232024(F)2025(F)Million MT CWETop Pork Importers:Mexico and Japan Expected Larger than China MexicoJapanChinaPork Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 9 October 2024Global Market AnalysisPork Producti

53、on-Top Countries Summary1,000 Metric Tons(Carcass Weight Equivalent)202020212022202320242025Oct noneProduction55,50056,75057,94055,41047,50036,340 China20,90021,25020,82922,27723,61523,219 European Union4,5504,4954,4504,3504,3654,125 Brazil4,2804,1404,0003,9103,7003,611 Russia3,7653,6553,5493,3133,1

54、122,930 Vietnam2,1252,0852,1062,0782,1012,115 Canada1,6151,5901,5571,5301,4841,451 Mexico1,4501,4501,4351,4191,4071,403 Korea,South1,3251,3201,2931,2931,3181,306 Japan1,0601,0401,0501,0201,0001,115 Philippines5,6195,5595,7015,7655,7905,600 Others102,189103,334103,910102,36595,39283,215 Total Foreign

55、12,94112,68412,39112,25212,56012,845 United States115,130116,018116,301114,617107,95296,060 TotalnoneTotal Dom.Consumption56,80057,95259,74157,43451,72441,517 China18,06018,36017,81318,22018,72018,203 European Union4,0483,9263,8153,7583,5583,468 Russia3,8653,7433,6513,4133,2763,068 Vietnam3,0673,012

56、3,0383,0333,0472,949 Brazil2,8102,7752,6532,5442,3202,052 Mexico2,7552,7502,7392,7652,7602,732 Japan2,2522,2122,1092,0721,9971,976 Korea,South1,5791,5731,5221,5451,4301,268 Philippines1,5301,5251,4921,5591,5061,430 United Kingdom6,8826,7657,0597,0076,9686,528 Others103,648104,593105,632103,35097,306

57、85,191 Total Foreign10,1349,9919,8299,9579,91910,034 United States113,782114,584115,461113,307107,22595,225 TotalNote:The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 10 October 2024Global Market AnalysisPork

58、Trade-Top Countries Summary1,000 Metric Tons(Carcass Weight Equivalent)202020212022202320242025Oct noneTotal Imports1,4351,4251,3541,2991,155945 Mexico1,4301,4301,4311,5231,4201,412 Japan1,4001,3001,8972,1254,3285,277 China795785675713570554 Korea,South745755757779727792 United Kingdom51050544856146

59、2168 Philippines280265259251364378 Hong Kong240245261234263274 Canada225220195241210201 Australia19519016016515189 Colombia1,2241,1681,2461,2951,3061,113 Others8,4798,2888,6839,18610,95611,203 Total Foreign547539518610535410 United States9,0268,8279,2019,79611,49111,613 TotalnoneTotal Exports2,9503,

60、0003,1254,1794,9935,176 European Union1,4851,4851,4141,3191,3211,178 Brazil1,4501,4401,3271,4161,4831,546 Canada268265263230268295 Chile240240258285319344 Mexico240220200170158156 Russia185185192261256346 United Kingdom1009896101104100 China555046353834 Australia23231518158 Singapore686361638985 Oth

61、ers7,0647,0696,9978,0779,0449,268 Total Foreign3,3543,2443,0952,8783,1863,302 United States10,41810,31310,09210,95512,23012,570 TotalNote:The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 11 October 2024Global

62、Market AnalysisSwine Stocks-Top Countries Summary(in 1,000 head)202020212022202320242025Oct noneTotal Beginning Stocks405,000434,220452,560449,220406,500310,410 China132,700132,856134,410141,681145,911143,146 European Union34,08033,15034,25035,68837,35037,850 Brazil29,00027,50026,00026,20025,74425,0

63、48 Russia14,18013,97513,90014,17014,12014,065 Canada12,89512,70012,25011,77511,50011,050 Mexico10,95411,08911,12411,21711,07811,280 Korea,South8,9008,7988,9568,9499,2909,090 Japan5,1605,2045,0585,7185,9865,842 Ukraine4,2504,3504,6505,1004,8284,741 United Kingdom657,119683,842703,158709,718672,307572

64、,522 Total Foreign77,62575,46174,95674,60677,02277,323 United States734,744759,303778,114784,324749,329649,845 TotalnoneProduction(Pig Crop)700,000695,000717,249712,510655,000565,000 China225,000231,000226,950238,760254,200256,100 European Union63,40061,82560,20059,00057,30055,880 Russia48,10048,050

65、45,75044,85044,51543,525 Brazil29,60029,75030,24129,49630,21129,550 Canada22,40022,17522,07521,70020,81020,291 Mexico20,13019,79119,83120,38920,47319,973 Korea,South16,85016,80016,74016,79517,00017,230 Japan10,40010,0509,65010,85011,57511,250 United Kingdom8,4008,7008,3758,0138,5508,569 Ukraine1,144

66、,2801,143,1411,157,0611,162,3631,119,6341,027,368 Total Foreign139,995137,765135,784133,602133,466140,248 United States1,284,2751,280,9061,292,8451,295,9651,253,1001,167,616 TotalNotes:The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.Foreign A

67、gricultural Service/USDA 12 October 2024Global Market AnalysisSwine Trade-Top Countries Summary(in 1,000 head)202020212022202320242025Oct noneTotal Imports380380383418433485 United Kingdom121213242719 European Union1212106925 Mexico88852329 China7762711 Ukraine44451121 Russia333446 Canada226222 Braz

68、il221113 Japan224221 Korea,South432432438469519602 Total Foreign6,5656,7716,7456,4866,6635,293 United States6,9977,2037,1836,9557,1825,895 TotalnoneTotal Exports6,5756,7806,7506,4876,6735,311 Canada1,3501,5309751,012964515 European Union1,2751,1751,1201,066881718 China4042471064455 Russia557623 Unit

69、ed Kingdom333323 Brazil000000 Japan000000 Korea,South000000 Mexico0001194 Ukraine9,2489,5358,9028,6818,5856,609 Total Foreign606868445256 United States9,3089,6038,9708,7258,6376,665 TotalNotes:The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.F

70、oreign Agricultural Service/USDA 13 October 2024Global Market Analysis Livestock and Poultry:World Markets and Trade Obustgrowth Global production is forecast nearly 2 percent higher in 2025 to a record 104.9 million tons.Production gains are forecast for most countries with the largest increases ex

71、pected for China,the United States,Turkey,the EU,Brazil,and Mexico.Expansion is supported by a modest improvement in feed prices and on consumer demand spurred by economic growth.A significant production increase in China will enable its return to being the worlds largest producer.China demand will

72、be generated primarily from white broilers as producers respond to demand drivers and as consumers may substitute broiler meat in place of pork.China yellow broiler production,mainly sold in wet markets,will remain stagnant.Turkish production is forecast to rise on stable domestic demand and increas

73、ed shipments as government exports restrictions are lifted.Brazils record high forecast is supported by strong foreign demand and lower expected production costs.Global exports are forecast 2 percent higher in 2025 to a record 13.8 million tons following relatively stagnant trade in 2023 and 2024.Ec

74、onomic growth is expected to drive moderate consumption growth as chicken remains a lower-cost animal protein which appeals to middle-income consumers.While all major exporters(Brazil,the United States,the EU,and Thailand)will post gains,Brazil will capture the largest share of growth as it is able

75、to service and be price-competitive in the largest growth markets(Mexico,Saudi Arabia,Singapore,the UAE,and the UK).Reductions in highly pathogenic avian influenza(HPAI)-related restrictions will support increased EU exports to various markets although the UK will remain the largest market for the E

76、U.Thailand exports will be supported by growth in cooked chicken,particularly to the EU,Japan,and the UK.U.S.production and exports:U.S.production is expected to rise 2 percent to a record 21.7 million tons in 2025 as feed prices continue modest declines along with the assumption of no significant d

77、isease outbreaks.Increased production will support a slight boost in exports which are forecast 1 percent higher to 3.1 million tons on growth in shipments to Mexico and Canada.However,U.S.shipments to smaller,non-traditional,and price-sensitive markets may decline on increased competition from Braz

78、il.Despite the increase,U.S.export volumes will continue to remain below pre-HPAI levels.Chicken Meat Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 14 October 2024Global Market AnalysisChicken Meat Production-Top Countries Summary1,000 Metric Tons(Ready to Cook Equivalent)202020212022202320242025Oct noneProduct

79、ion15,30015,00014,80014,30014,70014,600 China15,10015,00014,90014,46514,50013,880 Brazil11,53011,38511,08410,88010,84011,030 European Union4,8504,8004,8004,8004,6004,680 Russia4,0853,9853,8883,7633,6653,596 Mexico3,5803,4903,4503,3003,2203,250 Thailand2,6002,4002,3302,4182,2462,136 Turkey2,5452,4852

80、,4362,3192,2902,215 Argentina1,9501,9201,8901,8931,7731,685 Colombia1,9201,9001,8581,8471,8411,779 United Kingdom19,74519,29721,31021,22121,27220,641 Others83,20581,66282,74681,20680,94779,492 Total Foreign21,72621,38421,08220,99320,39120,255 United States104,931103,046103,828102,199101,33899,747 To

81、talnoneTotal Dom.Consumption15,11514,83015,00214,40115,03115,211 China10,42010,32510,1579,8819,6489,651 European Union10,10510,10510,13510,02310,27910,010 Brazil5,0704,9514,8904,6664,5754,431 Mexico4,8954,8504,8124,7504,6324,688 Russia2,9852,9402,8452,8772,8482,757 Japan2,6402,6102,5692,4842,1732,06

82、8 United Kingdom2,3852,3602,3322,3092,2792,323 Thailand2,3702,3202,2982,1382,1162,025 Argentina2,2502,0651,8711,7721,6871,671 Turkey25,33124,82326,72626,71626,43425,550 Others83,56682,17983,63782,01781,70280,385 Total Foreign18,70018,41217,86617,67617,17016,994 United States102,266100,591101,50399,6

83、9398,87297,379 TotalNotes:Chicken paws are excluded.The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 15 October 2024Global Market AnalysisChicken Meat Trade-Top Countries Summary1,000 Metric Tons(Ready to Cook

84、 Equivalent)202020212022202320242025Oct noneTotal Imports1,1401,1301,0631,1011,0771,005 Japan9909701,006915917842 Mexico980965935903689732 United Kingdom700720722703647660 European Union615600564594615618 Saudi Arabia550550529486388468 Iraq495510756633788999 China490480437496437336 Philippines400385

85、375356384358 United Arab Emirates325325314345353262 Cuba4,3964,3614,4534,4814,4414,349 Others11,08110,99611,15411,01310,73610,629 Total Foreign756961837266 United States11,15611,06511,21511,09610,80810,695 TotalnoneTotal Exports5,0004,9004,7674,4474,2263,875 Brazil1,8101,7801,6491,7021,8392,039 Euro

86、pean Union1,1901,1501,0981,021907917 Thailand680680554532457388 China450445428419458428 Ukraine350335459646559465 Turkey260255224266357443 United Kingdom230225220245218216 Russia180170144194183196 Argentina140135105144133136 Chile459441580594617599 Others10,74910,51610,22810,2109,9549,702 Total Fore

87、ign3,0983,0583,3023,3143,3503,376 United States13,84713,57413,53013,52413,30413,078 TotalNotes:Chicken paws are excluded.The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 16 October 2024Global Market Analysis L

88、ivestock and Poultry:World Markets and Trade The Livestock and Poultry:World Markets and Trade circular is designed to give a snapshot of the current situation among the major players in world beef,pork,and chicken meat trade.Thank you to Shayle Shagam for his 25 years as USDAs Livestock,Poultry and

89、 Dairy Interagency Commodity Estimate Committee Chairperson.His wisdom,humor,insight and guidance were appreciated and will be missed.Discontinued Series:The following PSDs are discontinued as of this publication.Commodity/Attribute Series Ending Year Countries Cattle 2023 Egypt Beef 2023 Belarus Po

90、rk 2023 Belarus Chicken 2023 Belarus,Egypt,Jordan Assumptions Diseases:Forecast reflects animal disease policies/restrictions in place as of October 11,2024,and assumes their continuation.Trade Actions:This report only considers those trade actions which are in place or have had formal announcement

91、of effective dates as of the time of publication.Further,unless a formal end date is specified,this report also assumes such actions are in place throughout the time period covered by these forecasts.Technical Notes CWE/PWE:All quantities(beef and pork)noted are in Carcass Weight Equivalent(CWE)unle

92、ss otherwise noted as Product Weight Equivalent(PWE).CWE is the weight of an animal after slaughter and removal of most internal organs,head,and skin.PWE is the actual weight of the meat product exported.RTC(Ready-to-Cook):RTC means any slaughtered poultry free from protruding pinfeathers and vestig

93、ial feathers(hair or down),from which the head,feet,crop,oil gland,trachea,esophagus,entrails,and lungs have been removed,and from which the mature reproductive organs and kidneys may have been removed,and with or without the giblets,and which is suitable for cooking without need of further processi

94、ng.Ready-to-cook poultry also means any cut-up or disjointed portion of poultry or other parts of poultry,such as reproductive organs,head,or feet that are suitable for cooking without need of further processing.European Union:The term“European Union”means the countries involved in the previous cust

95、oms union,i.e.,EU27+UK,through 2015.Starting with 2016 data,livestock and poultry PSDs reflect EU27 and UK separately.Notes to Readers Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 17 October 2024Global Market Analysis Livestock and Poultry:World Markets and Trade Conversion Rates and HS Codes Chicken Meat Trad

96、e Codes:Fresh/Chilled(HS 020711 and HS 020713),Frozen(HS 020712 and HS 020714)and Processed(HS 160232).In general,chicken paws are excluded.Trade of“salted poultry”(HS 021099)is included in EU and UK imports as well as the exports of selected countries.PSD Online The entire USDA PSD database is avai

97、lable online at:http:/www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline.Additional Resources Situation and outlook information on U.S.livestock and poultry can be obtained from the USDA-Economic Research Service at:https:/www.ers.usda.gov/topics/animal-products/.Contact Information Questions may be directed to the followi

98、ng staff:Staff Phone Number Email Portfolio Christopher Lindholm(771)221-5943 Christopher.Lindholmusda.gov Cattle and Beef Mason Grahame(202)690-3331 Mason.Grahameusda.gov Swine and Pork Claire Mezoughem(202)720-7715 Claire.Mezoughemusda.gov Chicken Meat HS CodeDescriptionConversion Rate020110Bovine

99、 carcasses and half carcasses,fresh or chilled1.00020120Bovine cuts bone in,fresh or chilled1.00020130Bovine cuts boneless,fresh or chilled1.36020210Bovine carcasses and half carcasses,frozen1.00020220Bovine cuts bone in,frozen1.00020230Bovine cuts boneless,frozen1.36021020Bovine meat salted,dried o

100、r smoked1.74160250Bovine meat,offal nes,not livers,prepared/preserve1.79HS CodeDescriptionConversion Rate020311Carcasses/half-carcasses,fr/ch1.00020312Bone-In hams,shoulders and cuts thereof,fr/ch1.11020319Other pork cuts,fr/ch1.30020321Carcasses/half-carcasses,frozen1.00020322Bone-In hams,shoulders

101、 and cuts thereof,frozen1.11020329Other pork cuts,frozen1.30021011Bone-In hams,shoulders and cuts thereof,processed1.30021012Bellies(streaky)and cuts thereof,processed1.16021019Other meat of swine,processed1.16160241Hams and cuts thereof,prep/pres1.30160242Shoulders and cuts thereof,prep/pres1.30160

102、249Other meat of swine including mixtures,prep/pres1.30Notes:Beef and veal estimates include meat of other bovines for certain countries.In particular,India estimates include carabeef(water buffalo).Exports of HS 160250 are partially excluded from Argentina export estimates.PORKBEEF AND VEALForeign Agricultural Service/USDA 18 October 2024Global Market Analysis