2GWEC_Global OFS Wind Market Outlook_June 2023 v3.pdf

1、Global Offshore Wind Market Global Offshore Wind Market OutlookOutlookFeng Zhao,Head of Strategy,GWEC 28th June,Tangshan2022 was the third-best year for wind energy894 MW67%77.6 GW of new wind power capacity was added last year,the lowest level in the pass three years but still the third highest yea

2、r in history.This brings total installed wind capacity to 906 GW,a growth of 9%compared with 2021.New wind power installations(GW),20018-2022Source:GWEC Market Intelligence,March 2023Note:According to GWEC Global Supply Side data,globally nearly 90 GW of new wind power was mechanically installed in

3、2022,but only 77.6 GW was commissioned primarily because 13 GW of new installations in China and Vietnam were not grid-connected.Cumulatively,940 GW of wind power was mechanically installed worldwide by the end 2022,but only 906 GW was commissioned due to grid connection delays.China continued to le

4、ad global offshore wind development,although new installations in 2022 were 70%lower than in 2021 a record year driven by the end of the feed-in tariff.With 2.5 GW offshore wind capacity across six countries connected to the grid in 2022,Europe accounted for the majority of the remaining new capacit

5、y.In 2022 Europe relinquished its title as the worlds largest offshore wind Market to APAC.Nevertheless,Europe continues to lead the way with floating wind.New global offshore wind power installations in 2022Source:GWEC Market Intelligence,March 2023The second highest year in offshore wind history d

6、espite a negative growth rate of 58%(China)84.171.569.370.978.081.85.44.15.66.56.17.713.114.323.9Offshore wind market ready to bounce back in 2023Source:GWEC Market Intelligence,June 202384.171.569.370.978.081.85.44.15.66.56.17.713.114.323.9Source:GWEC Market Intelligence,June 2023The 2 TW milestone

7、 is expected to be achieved in just seven years894 MW67%The revised rate wind growth is still not rapid enough to enable the world to achieve its Paris Agreement targets or net zero by 2050.However,the milestone of a second TW is likely to be passed before the end of 2030 provided the anticipated gr

8、owth materialises in the three key wind markets of China,Europe and the US.Source:GWEC Market Intelligence;IEA Net Zero by 2050 Roadmap(2021).Total wind power capacity additions for 2023-2030 have been increased by 13%Will there be enough supply chain capacity to feed growth?84.171.569.370.978.081.8

9、5.44.15.66.56.17.713.114.323.9Global average turbine size 2015-2025e 01234567891011122,85,02,520186,010,05,75,02,9201920203,35,8202220213,97,64,58,52023e2024e6,011,52025eOnshoreOffshoreMWThe average turbine size grow rapidly since the auction started launching globally from 2015 and more pressure is

10、 on the turbine OEMs when subsidiary free project kicked-in in both onshore wind(China)and offshore wind(Germany,Netherlands,Denmark and China).The average size of offshore wind turbines installed in Europe and China was 8.8 MW and 7.4 MW respectively in 2022,bringing the global average to 7.6 MW in

11、 2022.Following the technology road map announced by turbine OEMs worldwide,GWEC expected the average turbine size for offshore wind will reach 11.5MW by 2025.Projects are also increasing in size,with the average units per project going up to 50 in 2022,more than five times larger than that in 2000.

12、Such trend is expected to continue based on identified project pipeline.Source:GWEC Market Intelligence,April 2023Next generation of offshore wind turbine technology GWEC Global Offshore Wind Ambassador Henrik Stiesdal predicted in that the next generation of offshore turbine technology could be aro

13、und 2020 MW withwith a a 275m275m rotorrotor diameterdiameter by by 2030203020222023181716Source:GWEC Market Intelligence,March 2023HINext generation of offshore wind turbine technology Although the kick-off of offshore wind development in China is nearly two decades behind Europe,China has become o

14、ne of the key innovation centre in offshore wind turbine technology.China has rolled out the worlds largest offshore turbine(18MW)in January 2023 and a model with the largest rotor diameter(280m+)in the same month.18172023Source:GWEC Market Intelligence,March 2023海上風電回顧與展望海上風電回顧與展望20232023-2023-2023全球海上風電大會?？蚝Ｉ巷L電大會?？瘓蟾嫦螺d鏈接報告下載鏈接 Rue Belliard 51-531000 Brussels,BelgiumT.+32 2 213 18 Thank youFeng ZhaoHead of Strategy+45 3113 5677F