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1、GLOBAL ADVISOR GLOBAL ADVISOR 2024 PREDICTIONS2024 PREDICTIONSDecember 2023December 2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 2023CONTENTSEnvironment in 2024Page 36World Security in 2024Page 29This document is interactive,please click the links to jump to the findingsThe economy in 2024Pag

2、e 15Society in 2024Page 43 Outlook for 2024Page 9Technology in 2024Page 212 2 AppendixPage 51 How was it for you?Page 4 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 2023Where we have been and where we are headed3 3 AT A GLANCE2023 IN RETROSPECTENVIRONMENTECONOMYECONOMYWORLD SECURITYOUTLOOK FOR 202

3、470%53%Say“This year was a bad year for my country”,down from 73%last year and 90%in 2020.Pre-Covid,65%felt this way.Say“This year was a bad year for me and my family”,down from 56%last year and 70%in 2020.88%in ArgentinaExpectations are for the economy to worsen in 2024.Large numbers expect the fol

4、lowing to rise:79%70%70%68%48%Think it is likely that there will be a new global pandemic caused by a new virus,ranging from:SOCIETYTECHNOLOGY71%The expectation that there will be more extreme weather events next year than this year is up from last yearThink it is likely that the level of immigratio

5、n into their country will rise and ranges from71%64%Expect AI will lead to many jobs being lost in their country in 202456%Expect Doctors in their country to regularly use AI to decide on treatments in 202455%Expect their personal data will be leaked on the internet in 2024Optimism that next year wi

6、ll be a better year than this year has risen fromOptimism that the global economy will be stronger next year than it was this year has risen fromBut both are a long way short of their pre Covid levels65%70%to46%50%toIs a little more positive than at this time last year but still has a lot of scope f

7、or improvement.48%in SwitzerlandThis ranges from:68%in Malaysia32%in Japanto65%The expectation that a natural disaster will hit a major city in their country is up from last year51%45%87%in Portugal34%in JapantoPricesInflationInterest RatesUnemploymenttototo Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|Dec

8、ember 20234 4 HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20235 5 70%53%30%47%2023 was a bad year for mycountry2023 was a bad year for me andmy familyAgreeDisagreeGlobal averages%Agree 2022Q.2023 in retrospectPlease indicate i

9、f you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:73%56%-3 pp-3 ppBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singa

10、pore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20236 6 Q.Base:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indone

11、sia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,20232023 in an historical contextPlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with thefollowing statements?Global averages-%agree62%65%90%77%73%70%52%53%51%48%46%50

12、%70%58%56%53%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%123456789101112This year was a bad year for my countryThis year was a bad year for me and my family201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20237 7 Q.Please indicate if you agree very much,agree some

13、what,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:2023 was a bad year for my countryMarketAgreeDisagreeChange vs 202270%88%84%84%83%82%82%82%79%77%77%76%75%75%74%73%73%72%71%71%69%68%67%66%65%65%63%63%62%59%55%51%48%48%48%30%13%16%16%18%18%18%18%21%23%24%24%25%25%26%27%28%28

14、%29%29%32%32%34%34%35%35%37%37%38%41%45%49%52%52%52%Global Country AverageArgentinaSwedenTurkeyGreat BritainPortugalSouth KoreaHungaryPeruGermanyFranceSouth AfricaCanadaChileRomaniaBelgiumNew ZealandItalyUnited StatesColombiaPolandSpainAustraliaPhilippinesIndiaNetherlandsThailandBrazilJapanMalaysiaM

15、exicoIndonesiaSingaporeChinaSwitzerlandBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023-3%3%9

16、%1%-4%N/A-3%-5%-3%-1%-5%-4%-3%-6%-9%-10%#N/A-10%-10%-4%-17%-13%-6%#N/A8%-11%-16%-13%-14%-4%-15%-2%-9%-1%-1%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20238 8 Q.MarketAgreeDisagreePlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following stat

17、ements:2023 was a bad year for me and my family53%73%67%64%64%63%61%60%60%59%55%55%55%53%53%53%52%52%52%52%51%50%50%50%49%49%47%46%46%46%46%45%45%39%38%47%27%33%36%36%37%40%40%41%41%45%45%45%47%47%48%48%48%48%49%49%50%50%50%51%51%53%54%54%54%54%55%55%61%62%Global Country AverageTurkeyArgentinaSouth

18、AfricaIndiaHungaryPeruThailandSouth KoreaPhilippinesBelgiumCanadaChileMalaysiaRomaniaFranceUnited StatesAustraliaPolandNew ZealandMexicoBrazilGreat BritainGermanySpainColombiaSingaporePortugalChinaSwitzerlandIndonesiaSwedenItalyNetherlandsJapanChange vs 2022Base:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older

19、 in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023-3%1%1%-2%6%-3%-6%-10%-8%#N/A1%-1%-6%0%-8%0%2%-1%-10%#N/A-9%-12%-3%-4%-7%-3%-8%#N/A-2%-

20、3%-1%-6%-10%-7%-8%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20239 9 OUTLOOK FOR 2024 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20231010 Q.75%70%50%25%30%50%I will make some personalresolutions to do some specificthings for myself or other

21、s in 2024I am optimistic that 2024 will be abetter year for me than it was in2023The global economy will bestronger in 2024 than it was in 2023AgreeDisagreeOutlook for 2024Please indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:Glob

22、al averagesBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023%Agree 202274%65%46%+1 pp+6 pp+4 p

23、p Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20231111 Q.Outlook for 2024Please indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with thefollowing statements?Global averages-%agree80%76%78%76%75%75%77%77%65%70%49%53%54%59%53%52%54%61%46%50%0%10%20%30%40%50%60

24、%70%80%90%100%123456789101112I am optimistic that next year will be a better year than this yearThe global economy will be stronger next year than it was this year201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023Base:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,

25、South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20231212 Q.Please indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or

26、disagree very much with the following statements:I will make some personal resolutions to do some specific things for myself or others in 2024MarketAgreeDisagreeChange vs 202275%93%92%91%90%89%89%88%88%87%85%85%84%80%80%79%79%78%78%77%77%74%72%72%71%70%69%69%68%68%61%56%51%42%31%25%7%8%9%10%11%11%12

27、%12%13%15%15%16%20%20%21%21%22%22%23%23%26%28%28%29%30%31%31%32%32%39%44%49%58%69%Global Country AverageIndonesiaPeruMexicoPhilippinesColombiaChinaChilePortugalSouth AfricaArgentinaRomaniaIndiaThailandBrazilSingaporeSpainTurkeyItalyMalaysiaNew ZealandPolandSwitzerlandUnited StatesGermanyAustraliaGre

28、at BritainCanadaFranceSouth KoreaBelgiumHungaryNetherlandsJapanSwedenBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 2

29、0 Friday November 3,20232%7%1%1%#N/A-2%-1%3%#N/A1%-3%2%2%-2%-1%2%0%4%1%1%#N/A0%0%3%1%1%6%3%0%-3%1%1%6%1%-4%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20231313 Q.AgreeDisagreePlease indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statement

30、s:I am optimistic that 2024 will be a better year for me than it was in 2023MarketChange vs 202270%91%87%87%87%86%83%79%79%79%78%77%76%73%73%71%70%69%68%68%68%66%66%65%64%64%63%61%59%59%57%53%52%46%39%30%9%13%13%14%14%18%21%21%22%22%23%24%27%27%29%30%31%32%32%32%34%34%35%36%36%37%39%41%41%43%47%48%5

31、4%61%Global Country AverageIndonesiaIndiaMexicoChinaPhilippinesPeruChileSouth AfricaColombiaBrazilThailandHungaryMalaysiaNew ZealandSingaporePolandArgentinaNetherlandsRomaniaAustraliaSpainPortugalUnited StatesSwedenGreat BritainCanadaSwitzerlandItalyTurkeyGermanySouth KoreaBelgiumFranceJapanBase:25,

32、292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,20234%11%7%2%3%#N/A2%9%3%0%-7%2%7%5%#N/A8%11%1%9%6%2%11%#

33、N/A1%12%11%3%0%5%5%5%2%8%2%3%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20231414 Q.Please indicate if you agree very much,agree somewhat,disagree somewhat or disagree very much with the following statements:The global economy will be stronger in 2024 than it was in 2023MarketAgreeDisagreeChange

34、vs 202250%85%82%82%74%68%62%62%60%59%56%56%54%51%51%51%49%48%46%45%45%44%44%43%43%43%40%40%39%34%33%33%33%30%50%15%18%18%26%32%38%38%40%41%44%44%46%49%49%49%51%52%54%55%55%56%56%57%57%57%60%60%62%66%67%67%67%70%Global Country AverageIndiaIndonesiaChinaPhilippinesThailandMalaysiaMexicoBrazilSingapore

35、PolandNew ZealandColombiaChilePeruArgentinaSouth AfricaAustraliaHungaryRomaniaUnited StatesSpainNetherlandsTurkeyGreat BritainSwitzerlandItalyGermanyCanadaSwedenFranceSouth KoreaPortugalJapanBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,

36、and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,20234%12%14%4%#N/A4%8%6%-13%4%20%#N/A5%8%-3%3%2%7%15%8%3%8%12%0%11%8%8%3%2%1%4%-5%#N/A0%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20231515 THE ECONOMY IN

37、 2024 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20231616 Q.79%70%70%68%15%21%20%22%Prices in my country will increase faster than peoples incomesInflation in my country will be higher in 2024than in 2023Interest rates in my country will be hig

38、her in2024 than in 2023Unemployment in my country will be higher in2024 than in 2023LikelyUnlikelyEconomyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Global averages%Likely 2022Base:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysi

39、a,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,202379%No change75%-5 pp74%-4 pp68%No change Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20231717 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor eac

40、h of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Prices in my country will increase faster than peoples incomesMarket79%91%90%89%87%84%84%84%83%83%83%83%82%82%82%82%81%81%81%81%80%80%80%78%78%78%77%77%75%74%71%67%65%63%54%15%6%7%8%11%12%11%11%11%13%12%14%15%15%13

41、%14%13%12%13%14%16%15%16%13%17%15%16%15%21%21%15%21%26%35%27%Global Country AverageSouth AfricaPortugalSingaporeMalaysiaChileSpainBelgiumAustraliaIndonesiaCanadaPeruTurkeyPhilippinesNew ZealandRomaniaFranceNetherlandsItalySwedenColombiaHungarySwitzerlandUnited StatesSouth KoreaArgentinaGermanyGreat

42、BritainMexicoThailandIndiaPolandBrazilChinaJapanBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2

43、023Change vs 20220%0%#N/A2%0%-5%-1%-1%-3%-2%0%0%2%#N/A#N/A-6%-4%-3%-1%-7%-5%-6%1%2%2%-10%-6%-9%-4%-3%-1%-17%10%7%3%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20231818 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Inflation in my coun

44、try will be higher in 2024 than in 2023Market70%87%82%82%82%80%79%79%76%76%76%73%72%72%71%71%71%71%71%70%70%70%69%69%67%66%63%62%62%61%58%58%56%53%50%21%9%13%13%13%15%17%15%19%16%19%22%23%18%20%20%19%19%21%26%15%16%19%27%22%24%27%28%27%23%30%29%29%35%35%Global Country AverageSouth AfricaSingaporeMal

45、aysiaIndonesiaTurkeyPhilippinesPeruMexicoSouth KoreaColombiaChileThailandSpainAustraliaFranceCanadaArgentinaRomaniaPortugalIndiaJapanUnited StatesChinaItalySwitzerlandGreat BritainNew ZealandBelgiumNetherlandsBrazilGermanyHungarySwedenPolandBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 i

46、n Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023-5%-4%-4%1%-2%0%#N/A-2%-1%4%-5%-7%-3%-1%-14%-9%-5%-11%-12%#N/A-2%0%-3%8%-11%-8%-17%#N/A-11%-8%8%-19%-23%

47、-25%-30%Change vs 2022 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20231919 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Interest rates in my country will be higher in 2024 than in 2023Market70%85%82%80%80%79%78%78%76%76%75%73%73%73%

48、72%72%72%72%70%70%70%69%69%68%68%66%65%64%63%62%61%59%56%52%45%20%10%11%15%15%17%18%17%17%20%14%18%16%19%12%21%20%17%20%18%18%22%23%22%17%23%24%23%19%33%28%26%27%29%30%Global Country AverageSouth AfricaIndonesiaMalaysiaTurkeyPortugalPhilippinesColombiaSingaporeMexicoUnited StatesAustraliaFrancePeruN

49、etherlandsChileRomaniaSpainCanadaItalyArgentinaSouth KoreaThailandNew ZealandIndiaSwitzerlandGreat BritainSwedenGermanyChinaBrazilBelgiumHungaryPolandJapanBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thail

50、and,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023Change vs 2022-4%-4%0%2%8%#N/A#N/A-5%-6%0%-1%-14%-6%-7%-5%-12%-12%-10%-12%-4%-11%-6%-4%#N/A-3%-3%-19%-19%-9%3%9%-9%-17%-27%13%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20232020 Q.Likely

51、UnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Unemployment in my country will be higher in 2024 than in 2023Market68%84%84%82%78%76%76%76%74%72%72%72%71%70%70%69%67%67%66%66%66%65%65%64%64%64%63%63%62%62%59%57%56%54%53%22%10%13%14%16%19%16%18%21

52、%22%18%23%17%18%24%20%23%23%21%24%19%21%31%22%24%23%22%32%26%27%26%32%29%31%25%Global Country AverageSouth AfricaIndonesiaTurkeyPortugalMalaysiaSouth KoreaPeruColombiaChileSingaporePhilippinesGreat BritainSwedenThailandRomaniaItalyNew ZealandCanadaArgentinaIndiaAustraliaChinaFranceSpainGermanyBelgiu

53、mMexicoNetherlandsHungaryUnited StatesBrazilSwitzerlandPolandJapanBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 F

54、riday November 3,2023Change vs 20220%-4%-1%2%#N/A-2%4%-3%-2%-7%1%#N/A5%-5%-5%-7%-7%#N/A7%-11%-4%1%5%0%-11%-6%-12%-5%5%-15%0%16%-1%-19%-2%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20232121 TECHNOLOGYIN 2024 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024

55、|December 20232222 Q.64%56%55%50%43%41%26%31%30%39%44%49%Artificial intelligence will lead to many newjobs being lost in my countryDoctors in my country will regularly useartificial intelligence to decide on treatment fortheir patientsMy personal data will be leaked on theinternetRobots will look li

56、ke,think like and speak likehumansArtificial intelligence will lead to many newjobs being created in my countryI will use social media lessLikelyTechnologyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Global averages%Likely 2022N/ABase:25,292 adults age

57、d 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AUnlikely Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|Decem

58、ber 20232323 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Artificial intelligence will lead to many new jobs being lost in my countryMarket64%84%74%73%73%73%71%70%70%69%69%69%68%66%65%64%64%64%64%62%62%61%61%60%59%59%59%58%57%56%54%54%5

59、4%52%50%26%14%19%21%20%19%21%28%20%25%23%22%23%22%22%25%25%29%25%24%25%26%21%29%33%30%28%31%33%31%34%31%32%36%32%Global Country AverageIndonesiaMalaysiaPhilippinesChilePeruPortugalChinaSouth AfricaTurkeySingaporeColombiaMexicoBrazilGreat BritainSpainBelgiumSouth KoreaFranceUnited StatesCanadaAustral

60、iaIndiaItalyRomaniaArgentinaSwedenSwitzerlandThailandNew ZealandPolandNetherlandsGermanyHungaryJapanBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all o

61、ther countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20232424 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Doctors in my country will regularly use artificial intelligence to decide on t

62、reatment for their patients Market56%73%70%70%70%67%66%64%63%62%61%61%60%60%60%59%57%56%55%55%54%53%53%52%51%51%50%50%49%49%49%48%45%43%35%31%21%22%27%22%15%23%26%28%31%28%31%25%26%35%25%29%32%29%34%29%34%32%29%33%33%33%41%32%39%35%38%37%34%48%Global Country AverageIndonesiaThailandChinaMalaysiaIndi

63、aSingaporeColombiaMexicoTurkeyChileSouth KoreaBrazilSouth AfricaPhilippinesBelgiumSpainSwitzerlandNetherlandsPeruGreat BritainItalyGermanyUnited StatesSwedenFranceArgentinaRomaniaAustraliaPortugalCanadaPolandNew ZealandJapanHungaryBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,M

64、alaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20232525 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me

65、how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?My personal data will be leaked on the internet Market55%72%69%68%65%65%64%64%63%60%60%60%59%59%59%58%56%53%53%52%52%51%51%51%51%50%50%47%47%45%45%44%41%41%40%30%21%29%23%28%26%28%25%23%24%33%26%25%27%26%29%24%30%26%28%33%32%32%34%34%33%32%36%34%35

66、%35%35%44%36%37%Global Country AverageMalaysiaChinaTurkeyIndonesiaSouth KoreaPhilippinesChilePortugalSpainThailandMexicoAustraliaSingaporeColombiaPeruIndiaUnited StatesGreat BritainArgentinaNew ZealandNetherlandsFranceSouth AfricaCanadaPolandSwedenItalyBelgiumSwitzerlandBrazilJapanRomaniaGermanyHung

67、aryBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|Dec

68、ember 20232626 Q.LikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Robots will look like,think like and speak like humansMarket50%80%71%68%67%64%61%60%57%56%56%56%55%55%54%53%48%47%47%46%45%45%44%43%43%40%40%40%38%38%38%37%35%35%32%39%16%24%24%28%34%2

69、0%33%32%33%31%36%34%31%39%43%44%41%46%39%44%43%44%46%40%47%51%47%46%44%50%49%54%56%53%Global Country AverageIndonesiaMalaysiaThailandTurkeyChinaIndiaSingaporeColombiaPeruSouth AfricaMexicoChileBrazilSouth KoreaPhilippinesRomaniaItalyPortugalUnited StatesNew ZealandSpainAustraliaPolandArgentinaGreat

70、BritainSwitzerlandNetherlandsBelgiumJapanCanadaFranceGermanySwedenHungaryBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,Octob

71、er 20 Friday November 3,2023Unlikely Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20232727 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Artificial intelligence will lead to many new jobs being created in my countryMarket43%75%74%67%65

72、%65%64%63%48%46%44%42%42%41%41%41%40%38%38%38%37%37%36%36%36%36%35%34%33%32%32%31%31%29%26%44%21%24%24%18%28%28%25%42%38%48%42%36%46%43%46%50%44%52%45%46%49%52%52%49%47%53%50%52%52%53%51%59%59%58%Global Country AverageIndonesiaChinaThailandIndiaTurkeyMalaysiaSingaporeMexicoBrazilPhilippinesNew Zeala

73、ndJapanSouth AfricaAustraliaSpainPeruArgentinaChileUnited StatesCanadaItalySouth KoreaColombiaGermanyNetherlandsSwitzerlandGreat BritainFrancePolandSwedenBelgiumPortugalRomaniaHungaryBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the

74、United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20232828 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to hap

75、pen?I will use social media lessMarket41%57%56%49%48%48%47%47%45%45%45%44%44%44%44%43%41%41%40%40%40%40%40%40%39%39%36%36%35%35%34%34%31%31%25%49%27%42%46%43%40%42%47%49%47%44%44%42%45%52%51%46%49%48%46%58%57%55%55%53%50%47%55%59%57%54%56%54%61%53%Global Country AverageIndiaPhilippinesMalaysiaCanada

76、Great BritainFrancePortugalNew ZealandAustraliaUnited StatesGermanyItalySwitzerlandTurkeySingaporeSpainBelgiumNetherlandsSwedenChinaIndonesiaSouth AfricaThailandSouth KoreaColombiaHungaryRomaniaMexicoPeruBrazilPolandArgentinaChileJapanBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Cana

77、da,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20232929 WORLD SECURITY IN 2024 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictio

78、ns 2024|December 2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20233030 Q.48%35%35%31%22%34%47%46%47%56%There will be a new global pandemic causedby a new virusDonald Trump will be re-elected as Presidentof the United StatesA rogue artificial intelligence program that cant be shut down will ca

79、use significant havoc in my country The war in Ukraine will end in 2024An asteroid will hit the EarthLikelyUnlikelyWorld SecurityFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Global averages%Likely 2022N/A40%Base:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in

80、 India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023+8 pp27%22%N/ANo change-9 pp Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20233131 Q.Lik

81、elyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?There will be a new global pandemic caused by a new virusMarket48%68%65%64%62%61%60%60%59%55%55%52%52%50%50%49%49%49%46%44%44%43%43%43%42%41%41%40%40%40%39%39%35%33%32%34%21%23%26%24%27%26%27%32%2

82、6%26%24%27%30%45%30%33%31%42%39%34%38%34%34%39%34%38%39%39%43%39%43%43%46%41%Global Country AverageMalaysiaTurkeyIndonesiaPhilippinesMexicoThailandSouth KoreaPortugalSingaporePeruIndiaSouth AfricaColombiaChinaBrazilPolandChileSwedenSwitzerlandUnited StatesCanadaSpainHungaryAustraliaArgentinaGermanyB

83、elgiumFranceGreat BritainRomaniaNew ZealandItalyNetherlandsJapanBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Fri

84、day November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20233232 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Donald Trump will be re-elected as President of the United StatesMarketBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older i

85、n India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,202335%51%49%49%45%43%41%39%39%37%37%36%36%36%35%35%34%34%34%33%33%33%33%33%32%32%31%30%29%29

86、%28%28%28%26%17%47%22%43%38%43%40%39%42%42%48%43%51%55%50%46%41%48%49%50%49%47%44%47%52%44%49%51%54%53%52%55%52%50%45%56%Global Country AverageIndiaChinaTurkeyPhilippinesChileColombiaSouth KoreaThailandSwedenMalaysiaIndonesiaPortugalMexicoUnited StatesBrazilItalySwitzerlandGreat BritainFranceSpainPe

87、ruBelgiumAustraliaHungarySingaporeNetherlandsNew ZealandCanadaSouth AfricaPolandGermanyRomaniaArgentinaJapan Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20233333 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?A rogue artificial intelli

88、gence program that cant be shut down will cause significant havoc globallyMarketChange vs 202235%58%52%52%51%48%43%43%42%40%39%38%37%35%35%35%33%33%32%32%31%31%31%31%30%30%29%29%27%27%26%23%23%22%19%46%32%36%21%38%46%40%43%36%44%37%47%52%41%47%44%49%50%46%46%45%45%49%50%49%45%49%51%54%58%56%48%48%62

89、%64%Global Country AverageMalaysiaPhilippinesIndiaIndonesiaChinaSingaporeTurkeySouth AfricaThailandBrazilSouth KoreaPortugalUnited StatesMexicoFranceCanadaSwitzerlandSpainChileGermanyBelgiumAustraliaGreat BritainPeruColombiaItalyNetherlandsNew ZealandSwedenRomaniaArgentinaJapanPolandHungaryBase:25,2

90、92 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,20238%5%#N/A-1%4%12%9%9%6%-2%11%9%#N/A10%10%10%16%11%10%9%

91、-1%11%2%10%1%1%7%10%#N/A3%11%7%5%6%7%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20233434 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?The war in Ukraine will end in 2024MarketBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74

92、 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,202331%58%56%55%55%42%41%40%38%34%34%33%32%32%32%31%28%27%27%27%27%26%25%24%23%23%22%22%22%20%19%19%18%17%

93、13%47%30%28%29%18%41%35%41%41%38%37%40%41%44%43%38%37%48%63%46%52%48%49%56%56%48%59%56%57%60%65%65%63%60%57%Global Country AverageChinaPhilippinesIndonesiaIndiaThailandMalaysiaTurkeySouth KoreaMexicoBrazilChilePeruSingaporeColombiaSouth AfricaArgentinaItalyPortugalHungaryAustraliaUnited StatesSpainP

94、olandSwitzerlandRomaniaBelgiumCanadaNew ZealandGreat BritainNetherlandsSwedenGermanyFranceJapan-9%3%#N/A-9%-10%0%-5%-11%-9%-5%-9%-6%-5%-7%-8%-10%-7%-10%#N/A-9%-9%-10%-17%-18%-9%-11%-8%-13%#N/A-13%-16%-25%-14%-13%-13%Change vs 2022 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20233535 Q.LikelyUnlik

95、elyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?An asteroid will hit the EarthMarketChange vs 202222%46%43%42%40%36%30%30%28%23%22%22%20%20%20%19%18%18%18%17%17%17%17%17%16%16%15%15%14%14%14%13%13%12%10%56%25%38%36%39%55%47%50%45%49%51%44%61%56%48%61%5

96、8%59%58%65%64%50%67%69%61%65%62%69%62%60%52%78%66%68%62%Global Country AverageIndiaIndonesiaMalaysiaPhilippinesChinaTurkeyThailandSingaporeMexicoBrazilSouth AfricaAustraliaChileColombiaSwitzerlandBelgiumSpainUnited StatesCanadaNew ZealandPeruSouth KoreaSwedenItalyPolandFranceGreat BritainRomaniaHung

97、aryArgentinaPortugalGermanyNetherlandsJapanBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,20230%

98、-2%-4%7%#N/A6%4%-2%2%3%1%-2%0%-1%-6%1%3%2%-2%5%#N/A-3%1%-1%2%1%-3%0%3%3%-2%#N/A-6%-3%0%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20233636 ENVIRONMENTIN 2024 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20233737 Q.81%71%55%53%51%12%17%33%35%3

99、1%Average global temperatures will increaseThere will be more extreme weather events inmy country in 2024 than there were in 2023The government in my country will introducemore demanding targets to reduce carbonemissions more quicklyThere will be more restrictions introduced toreduce the amount peop

100、le drive in their carsin my countryA natural disaster will hit a major city in mycountryLikelyUnlikelyEnvironmentFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Global averages%Likely 202265%Base:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Can

101、ada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023N/AN/AN/A45%+6 pp+6 pp Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20233838 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of th

102、e following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Average global temperatures will increaseMarketBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Si

103、ngapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,202381%94%93%88%87%86%85%85%85%84%84%84%84%83%83%82%82%82%80%80%80%80%79%78%78%78%77%76%76%76%75%75%73%70%68%12%4%5%8%10%10%11%9%9%11%11%15%11%9%12%11%10%11%13%11%11%12%12%13%13%11%16%15%15%17%16%17%21%13%16%Global Country

104、AverageIndonesiaPortugalSingaporeMexicoSouth KoreaPeruChileFranceColombiaMalaysiaChinaTurkeyGreat BritainPhilippinesSpainBelgiumNew ZealandItalySouth AfricaNetherlandsHungaryBrazilPolandArgentinaJapanThailandSwedenAustraliaSwitzerlandGermanyCanadaRomaniaIndiaUnited States Ipsos|Global Advisor Predic

105、tions 2024|December 20233939 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?There will be more extreme weather events in my country in 2024 than there were in 2023MarketChange vs 202271%87%85%79%78%78%77%77%76%75%75%74%74%73%73%73%72%72%7

106、1%71%70%69%69%69%67%67%66%66%65%65%64%62%62%60%60%17%9%10%13%13%13%13%16%16%16%17%16%14%19%17%13%16%16%16%16%18%19%18%18%28%16%17%21%17%19%27%20%25%23%25%Global Country AveragePortugalIndonesiaChileGreat BritainFranceTurkeyPhilippinesSingaporeAustraliaMexicoNew ZealandSpainSouth KoreaMalaysiaSouth A

107、fricaPeruBelgiumCanadaItalySwedenNetherlandsBrazilHungaryChinaJapanColombiaPolandIndiaUnited StatesThailandArgentinaRomaniaGermanySwitzerlandBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in I

108、ndonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,20236%#N/A2%7%8%4%10%#N/A6%3%8%#N/A1%8%3%7%11%6%5%3%8%1%9%4%12%4%-3%2%-4%1%-6%2%8%-2%3%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20234040 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how like

109、ly or unlikely you think they are to happen?The government in my country will introduce more demanding targets to reduce carbon emissions more quicklyMarketBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thai

110、land,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,202355%85%83%79%73%67%66%66%65%61%60%60%59%59%56%55%54%53%53%53%52%52%51%49%49%49%48%46%46%43%40%40%39%28%25%33%11%15%12%22%13%24%23%24%26%28%28%35%32%31%32%35%37%37%37%36%27%37%35%40%37%40%43%

111、40%34%43%47%47%55%50%Global Country AverageIndonesiaChinaSingaporePhilippinesIndiaMalaysiaPolandNetherlandsCanadaAustraliaSpainPortugalThailandColombiaBelgiumChileTurkeySouth KoreaFranceGreat BritainUnited StatesSwitzerlandBrazilMexicoGermanyItalyNew ZealandSouth AfricaJapanHungarySwedenRomaniaPeruA

112、rgentina Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20234141 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?There will be more restrictions introduced to reduce the amount people drive in their cars in my countryMarket53%82%75%69%67%6

113、7%67%66%65%63%62%61%59%58%57%54%54%54%52%50%49%49%47%45%45%44%42%41%41%41%40%36%35%33%29%35%15%16%28%28%28%23%25%24%17%28%25%28%29%30%35%36%36%38%37%39%42%38%41%45%37%46%40%44%44%46%50%53%45%47%Global Country AverageIndonesiaSingaporeChinaPhilippinesPortugalSpainGreat BritainNetherlandsIndiaGermanyB

114、elgiumItalyFranceColombiaChileMalaysiaSwitzerlandThailandSwedenMexicoTurkeyCanadaPolandNew ZealandUnited StatesHungaryBrazilAustraliaPeruRomaniaSouth AfricaSouth KoreaJapanArgentinaBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the Un

115、ited States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20234242 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happe

116、n?A natural disaster will hit a major city in my country MarketChange vs 202251%75%73%71%67%67%63%62%62%61%60%59%59%58%58%55%55%54%53%51%51%51%50%46%42%41%40%39%36%35%32%32%29%26%25%31%15%15%15%16%20%19%19%25%21%20%33%31%25%21%37%21%26%24%30%26%28%33%36%38%40%35%32%44%51%46%51%45%47%55%Global Countr

117、y AverageIndonesiaPeruTurkeyChilePhilippinesMexicoUnited StatesMalaysiaJapanIndiaThailandSouth KoreaNew ZealandBrazilChinaColombiaFranceSpainCanadaItalySouth AfricaAustraliaPortugalPolandGreat BritainGermanyArgentinaBelgiumSwedenSwitzerlandSingaporeRomaniaHungaryNetherlandsBase:25,292 adults aged 18

118、 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,20236%-3%9%5%6%#N/A5%-4%-3%3%4%-6%12%#N/A14%10%-1%8%12%10%10%6%-9%#N/A3%12%

119、-3%-1%-3%6%9%0%6%2%-3%Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20234343 SOCIETYIN 2024 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20234444 Q.71%59%48%47%39%35%19%29%43%30%50%56%The level of immigration into my country willincreaseOffice w

120、orkers will spend more time workingin the office than at homeWomen will be paid the same as men for thesame workMy country will win more medals in the 2024Summer Olympics than the last oneThe total population size of my country will fallPeople in my country will become moretolerant of each otherLike

121、lyUnlikelySocietyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Global averages%Likely 2022N/ABase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in In

122、donesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023N/A34%+1 ppN/AN/AN/A Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20234545 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?The level of immigr

123、ation into my country will increaseMarket71%87%82%82%79%79%79%79%79%79%78%78%78%77%77%76%75%75%74%73%72%71%69%69%68%67%66%65%65%64%63%57%55%38%34%19%7%14%13%12%15%14%15%14%14%10%14%15%14%12%17%14%14%15%18%21%16%25%16%19%27%24%25%21%28%18%31%30%49%39%Global Country AveragePortugalTurkeySingaporeItaly

124、MexicoColombiaIndonesiaSpainSouth AfricaBelgiumMalaysiaGermanyCanadaNetherlandsPeruNew ZealandGreat BritainAustraliaSwitzerlandChileUnited StatesChinaFrancePolandPhilippinesRomaniaSouth KoreaBrazilThailandIndiaHungaryArgentinaSwedenJapanBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Ca

125、nada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20234646 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please te

126、ll me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Office workers will spend more time working in the office than at homeMarketBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesi

127、a and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,202359%86%78%76%75%71%69%66%65%65%63%63%61%60%60%60%58%57%56%56%56%56%55%54%54%54%53%53%51%50%50%48%47%47%45%29%11%17%22%22%21%14%26%28%27%27%30%30%26%31%30%29%30%30%34%35%30%28%32%29%33%35%34%33%36%37%35%30%41%38%G

128、lobal Country AverageIndonesiaMalaysiaChinaPhilippinesSingaporeIndiaTurkeyThailandPeruSouth AfricaMexicoChileItalyColombiaAustraliaNew ZealandSpainBrazilPortugalSouth KoreaSwitzerlandUnited StatesGermanyPolandNetherlandsGreat BritainCanadaArgentinaRomaniaSwedenBelgiumJapanHungaryFrance Ipsos|Global

129、Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20234747 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?Women will be paid the same as men for the same workMarket48%87%79%78%77%71%67%62%58%53%53%49%47%47%47%46%46%45%45%44%44%42%42%40%40%39%38%35%32%31%

130、31%29%28%27%25%43%10%17%21%19%14%25%33%32%38%39%44%43%44%40%44%48%47%45%45%46%48%45%51%53%52%53%55%58%49%62%61%64%65%67%Global Country AverageIndonesiaPhilippinesChinaMalaysiaIndiaThailandMexicoSingaporeSouth AfricaColombiaPeruRomaniaSpainArgentinaPolandTurkeyChileNew ZealandBrazilAustraliaGreat Bri

131、tainUnited StatesCanadaItalySouth KoreaBelgiumSwitzerlandNetherlandsJapanPortugalSwedenHungaryGermanyFranceBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 i

132、n all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20234848 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?My country will win more medals in the 2024 Summer Olympics than the las

133、t oneMarket47%86%78%75%71%65%62%57%57%57%56%53%52%51%50%49%48%46%46%45%44%40%40%38%38%35%35%34%34%30%29%28%28%26%25%30%11%17%17%11%26%27%25%25%23%28%36%34%29%23%36%23%26%20%36%38%29%29%30%37%33%44%30%36%42%39%40%38%43%53%Global Country AverageChinaIndonesiaPhilippinesIndiaTurkeyMalaysiaBrazilChileCo

134、lombiaSouth AfricaMexicoThailandPortugalArgentinaPeruAustraliaNew ZealandUnited StatesSouth KoreaSingaporeSpainCanadaItalyFranceGreat BritainPolandNetherlandsHungarySwitzerlandJapanBelgiumSwedenGermanyRomaniaBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,Sou

135、th Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20234949 Q.LikelyUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely

136、you think they are to happen?The total population size of my country will fallMarket39%82%74%74%73%70%68%67%56%53%52%45%44%40%36%34%33%32%29%28%28%28%28%27%24%22%22%22%22%22%21%20%20%16%12%50%14%12%23%18%21%21%23%35%29%38%44%44%50%56%59%53%64%54%60%58%53%59%62%63%58%67%70%68%65%63%69%67%70%79%Global

137、 Country AverageSouth KoreaJapanChinaHungaryRomaniaPolandItalyPortugalIndiaThailandMalaysiaSpainSingaporePhilippinesTurkeyFranceIndonesiaBrazilGermanyChileUnited StatesColombiaMexicoPeruArgentinaGreat BritainSwitzerlandNew ZealandSouth AfricaBelgiumSwedenAustraliaCanadaNetherlandsBase:25,292 adults

138、aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday,October 20 Friday November 3,2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20235050 Q.Likel

139、yUnlikelyFor each of the following,please tell me how likely or unlikely you think they are to happen?People in my country will become more tolerant of each otherMarketChange vs 202235%82%80%71%70%66%63%57%40%37%36%35%35%33%32%29%29%27%27%27%27%25%25%23%22%21%21%21%20%18%18%17%16%14%14%56%15%19%23%2

140、7%17%30%35%50%55%60%53%54%57%58%60%63%63%62%63%60%65%67%68%68%69%68%71%70%73%60%71%76%79%80%Global Country AverageIndonesiaChinaMalaysiaPhilippinesIndiaThailandSingaporeSouth AfricaMexicoTurkeyAustraliaBrazilPolandNew ZealandSwitzerlandPeruSpainCanadaItalyUnited StatesColombiaRomaniaGreat BritainChi

141、leGermanyArgentinaSouth KoreaBelgiumNetherlandsJapanSwedenHungaryFrancePortugalBase:25,292 adults aged 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.Friday

142、,October 20 Friday November 3,20230%1%6%8%#N/A1%4%5%0%7%10%0%0%10%#N/A3%-6%2%0%5%-1%-4%8%3%0%-10%0%1%4%1%6%-10%2%-2%#N/A Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20235151 APPENDIX Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 2023 Ipsos|Glob

143、al Advisor Predictions 2024|December 202352 These are the results of a 34-country survey conducted by Ipsos on its Global Advisor online platform and,in India,on its IndiaBus platform,between Friday,October 20 and Friday,November 3,2023.For this survey,Ipsos interviewed a total of 25,292 adults aged

144、 18 years and older in India,18-74 in Canada,Malaysia,New Zealand,South Africa,Turkey,and the United States,20-74 in Thailand,21-74 in Indonesia and Singapore,and 16-74 in all other countries.The sample consists of approximately 1,000 individuals each in Australia,Brazil,Canada,mainland China,France

145、,Germany,Great Britain,Italy,Japan,New Zealand,Philippines,Spain,and the U.S.,and 500 individuals each in Argentina,Belgium,Chile,Colombia,Hungary,Indonesia,Malaysia,Mexico,the Netherlands,Peru,Poland,Romania,Singapore,South Africa,South Korea,Sweden,Switzerland,Thailand,and Turkey.The sample in Ind

146、ia consists of approximately 2,200 individuals,of whom approximately 1,800 were interviewed face-to-face and 400 were interviewed online.Samples in Argentina,Australia,Belgium,Canada,France,Germany,Great Britain,Hungary,Italy,Japan,the Netherlands,Poland,Romania,South Korea,Spain,Sweden,Switzerland,

147、and the U.S.can be considered representative of their general adult populations under the age of 75.Samples in Brazil,Chile,mainland China,Colombia,Indonesia,Malaysia,Mexico,New Zealand,Peru,Philippines,Portugal,Singapore,South Africa,Thailand,and Turkey are more urban,more educated,and/or more affl

148、uent than the general population.The survey results for these countries should be viewed as reflecting the views of the more“connected”segment of their population.MethodologyIndias sample represents a large subset of its urban population social economic classes A,B and C in metros and tier 1-3 town

149、classes across all four zones.The data is weighted so that the composition of each countrys sample best reflects the demographic profile of the adult population according to the most recent census data.“The Global Country Average”reflects the average result for all the countries and markets in which

150、 the survey was conducted.It has not been adjusted to the population size of each country or market and is not intended to suggest a total result.When percentages do not sum up to 100 or the difference appears to be+/-1 percentage point more/less than the actual result,this may be due to rounding,mu

151、ltiple responses,or the exclusion of“dont know”or not stated responses.The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval with a poll where N=1,000 being accurate to+/-3.5 percentage points and of where N=500 being accurate to+/-5.0 percentage points.For more information

152、on Ipsos use of credibility intervals,please visit the Ipsos website.The publication of these findings abides by local rules and regulations.Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 2023 Ipsos|Global Advisor Predictions 2024|December 20235353 ABOUT IPSOSIpsos is the third largest market resear

153、ch company in the world,present in 90 markets and employing more than 18,000 people.Our research professionals,analysts and scientists have built unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide powerful insights into the actions,opinions and motivations of citizens,consumers,patients,customers or

154、employees.Our 75 business solutions are based on primary data coming from our surveys,social media monitoring,and qualitative or observational techniques.“Game Changers”our tagline summarises our ambition to help our 5,000 clients to navigate more easily our deeply changing world.Founded in France i

155、n 1975,Ipsos is listed on the Euronext Paris since July 1st,1999.The company is part of the SBF 120 and the Mid-60 index and is eligible for the Deferred Settlement Service(SRD).ISIN code FR0000073298,Reuters ISOS.PA,Bloomberg IPS:FPGAME CHANGERSIn our world of rapid change,the need for reliable inf

156、ormationto make confident decisions has never been greater.At Ipsos we believe our clients need more than a data supplier,they need a partner who can produce accurate and relevant information and turn it into actionable truth.This is why our passionately curious experts not only provide the most pre

157、cise measurement,but shape it to provide True Understanding of Society,Markets and People.To do this we use the best of science,technologyand know-how and apply the principles of security,simplicity,speed and substance to everything we do.So that our clients can act faster,smarter and bolder.Ultimately,success comes down to a simple truth:You act better when you are sure.THANK