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1、澳洲鋰礦,降本減產中求生存澳洲鋰礦,降本減產中求生存Australian Lithium Mines:Surviving Through Cost Reduction and Production Cuts本研究報告由海通國際分銷,海通國際是由海通國際研究有限公司,海通證券印度私人有限公司,海通國際株式會社和海通國際證券集團其他各成員單位的證券研究團隊所組成的全球品牌,海通國際證券集團各成員分別在其許可的司法管轄區內從事證券活動。關于海通國際的分析師證明,重要披露聲明和免責聲明,請參閱附錄。(Pleasesee appendix for English translation of the d
2、isclaimer)Equity Asia Research陳先龍陳先龍Xianlong Chen 甘嘉堯甘嘉堯Jiayao Gan 吳旖婕吳旖婕Yijie Wu 王曼琪王曼琪Manqi Wang 16 Dec 2024投資要點投資要點請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明澳洲鋰礦,降本減產中求澳洲鋰礦,降本減產中求生存。生存。澳大利亞作為傳統的鋰資源供給大國,其運營成本是鋰鹽價格的重要成本支撐位。我們梳理了澳洲主要在產礦山的24財年運營成本以及25財年成本指引,據此推算,在鋰鹽價格跌破8萬元后,澳洲礦企將感受到經營壓力。我們認為當前鋰價下,澳洲鋰資源將持
3、續面臨出清壓力。工業金屬:工業金屬:中央經濟工作會議釋放利好信號。中央經濟工作會議釋放利好信號。12月6日-12月13日,LME銅、鋁、鋅、錫價漲跌幅分別為-0.4%、+0.3%、+0.6%、-0.2%,SHFE銅、鋁、鋅、錫價周漲跌幅分別為+0.1%、+0.2%、+1.4%、+2.0%;12月13日LME銅、鋁、鋅、錫價格分別為9057美元/噸、2615美元/噸、3090美元/噸、2.90萬美元/噸。宏觀方面,中央經濟工作會議提出,明年要保增長,保就業,實施更積極的財政政策,適度寬松的貨幣政策,要抓好大力提振消費、提高投資效益,全方位擴大國內需求等九大重點任務。銅基本面方面,滬銅周度社庫保持
4、降庫格局,相對前一周社庫減少13.5%至8.5萬噸,創下逾10個月最低位,繼續為銅價提供價格而底部支撐。鋁基本面方面,據SMM,12月12日中國鋁錠社會庫存55.7萬噸,較上周四累庫1萬噸,鋁錠雖然受消費低迷影響開始累庫,但仍在相對低位。建議關注:紫金礦業、洛陽鉬業、中國鋁業、天山鋁業、云鋁股份、中國有色礦業、金誠信、銅陵有色等公司。能源能源金屬:儲能招標陸續發布,鋰鹽需求增速可期。金屬:儲能招標陸續發布,鋰鹽需求增速可期。12月6日-12月13日,電池級碳酸鋰、氫氧化鋰、LME鎳、長江鈷價漲跌幅分別為-0.1%、+0.5%、-0.9%、0.0%。據電池網報道,近期中核匯能、中國能建、中國華能
5、、中國電建、中廣核等央企發布了儲能領域招標公告,招標規??傆?8.5GWh。我們認為儲能領域將為鋰電池需求增長提供持續動力,促使鋰鹽需求保持中高速增長。建議關注:贛鋒鋰業、天齊鋰業、永興材料、江特電機、中礦資源;華友鈷業、格林美等公司。黃金黃金白銀:美聯儲議息會議在即。白銀:美聯儲議息會議在即。12月13日倫敦現貨黃金、白銀價格分別為2659.05美元/盎司和30.74美元/盎司,周漲跌幅為0.82%和-1.21%;上海金交所黃金、白銀價格分別為622.43元/克和7.76元/克,周漲跌幅分別為1.36%和-0.50%。經濟數據方面,美國11月CPI年率2.7%,高于前值2.6%;核心CPI年
6、率3.3%,與前值持平。重點關注:山金國際、山東黃金、招金礦業、中金黃金、赤峰黃金、盛達資源和湖南黃金;建議關注:四川黃金、玉龍股份等。稀土稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬、新材料:氧化鐠釹價格環和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬、新材料:氧化鐠釹價格環比比-0.5%。12月6日-12月13日,氧化鐠釹價格漲跌幅為-0.5%,銻價格漲跌幅為0.0%。建議關注:北方稀土、中國稀土、金力永磁、湖南黃金、金鉬股份等公司。風險風險提示:提示:經濟復蘇不及預期;新能源車、地產需求不及預期;主要經濟體貨幣政策收緊過度;國際地緣政治風險;項目建設不及預期。2目錄目錄1.澳洲鋰礦澳洲鋰礦,降本減產中求,降本減產中求生存生存2.申萬
7、有色指數申萬有色指數12/6-12/13下跌下跌0.8%,鋁領漲,鋁領漲3.主要主要子板塊跟蹤子板塊跟蹤(12/6-12/13)3.1 工業金屬:工業金屬:LME銅價下跌銅價下跌0.4%3.2 能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌0.1%3.3 黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲0.8%3.4 稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌0.5%4.重要重要事件事件:南山:南山鋁業擬回購股份鋁業擬回購股份3-6億億元元5.風險風險提示提示3請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露
8、和法律聲明資料來源:IGO25財年一季報,Pilbara2025財年一季報,MIN2025財年一季報,HTI澳洲鋰礦企業成本梳理澳洲鋰礦企業成本梳理4請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明澳大利亞作為傳統的鋰資源供給大國,其運營成本是鋰鹽價格的重要成本支撐位。我們梳理了澳洲主要在產礦山的24財年運營成本以及25財年成本指引,據此推算,在鋰鹽價格跌破8萬元后,澳洲礦企將感受到經營壓力。我們認為當前鋰價下,澳洲鋰資源將持續面臨出清壓力。表:澳洲鋰輝石礦山成本梳理礦山24財年鋰精礦運營成本(FOB,美元/噸)24財年鋰精礦對應中國碳酸鋰成本(萬元/噸)25財年鋰
9、精礦運營成本指引中值(FOB,美元/噸)25財年鋰精礦對應中國碳酸鋰成本(萬元/噸)Greenbushes2614.85 2744.93 Pilbara4295.94 403.55.78 Mt Marion4986.39 5896.98 Wodgina6427.33 5416.67 Bald hill8518.69 5446.69 平均5366.644706.21備注:Greenbushes鋰精礦運營成本中折舊等期間費用假設為50美元/噸,所有礦山鋰精礦運輸至中國的海運費、清關費、倉儲費等合計假設為100美元/噸,碳酸鋰加工成本假設為2.5萬元/噸備注:澳元兌美元匯率為0.64:1。據IGO援
10、引Benchmark數據,格林布什項目是全球現金成本最低的鋰精礦礦山。2024年Q3,項目生產鋰精礦40.6萬噸,環比增長22%;銷售39.2萬噸,環比減少26%。項目三季度現金成本為177美元/噸,環比減少18%。IGO對2025財年項目的鋰精礦產量指引為135-155萬噸,現金成本指引為205-243美元/噸。表:Greenbushes產銷量及成本情況Greenbushes:CGP3投產時間推遲至投產時間推遲至26年年5請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明資料來源:IGO25財年一季報,IGO投資者交流日材料,HTI項目2024Q22024Q3季度環
11、比2024財年2025財年指引鋰精礦產量(千噸)33240622%1383 1350-1550鋰精礦銷量(千噸)530392-26%1380-現金成本(美元/噸)216177-18%211 205-243備注:澳元兌美元匯率為0.64:1。2024年Q3,Pilbara生產鋰精礦22.0萬噸,環比下降3%;銷售21.5萬噸,環比減少9%。項目三季度鋰精礦FOB運營成本為406美元/噸,環比增長4%。Pilbara對2025財年項目的鋰精礦產量指引為70-74萬噸,鋰精礦FOB運營成本指引為397-410美元/噸。表:Pilbara產銷量及成本情況Pilbara:下修:下修25財年產量指引財年產
12、量指引6請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明資料來源:Pilbara2025財年一季報,HTI項目2024Q22024Q3季度環比2024財年2025財年指引鋰精礦產量(千噸)226220-3%725 700-740鋰精礦銷量(千噸)236215-9%707-運營成本(FOB,美元/噸)390406 4%429 397-410備注:澳元兌美元匯率為0.64:1。2024年Q3,Mt Marion生產鋰精礦13.6萬噸,環比下降24%;銷售22.2萬噸,環比增長46%。項目2024財年鋰精礦運營成本為480美元/噸,MIN預計2025財年項目鋰精礦運營成本
13、為557-621美元/噸。表:Mt Marion產銷量及成本情況Mt Marion:25財年產量指引同比下滑財年產量指引同比下滑7請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明資料來源:MIN2025財年一季報,HTI項目2024Q22024Q3季度環比2024財年2025財年指引鋰精礦產量(千噸)178136-24%-鋰精礦銷量(千噸)152222 46%436 300-340運營成本(FOB,美元/噸)-480 557-621備注:澳元兌美元匯率為0.64:1。2024年Q3,Wodgina生產鋰精礦10.2萬噸,環比下降19%;銷售9.2萬噸,環比下降40%
14、。項目2024財年鋰精礦運營成本為642美元/噸,MIN預計2025財年項目鋰精礦運營成本為512-570美元/噸。表:Wodgina產銷量及成本情況Wodgina:25財年項目將持續推動降本財年項目將持續推動降本8請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明資料來源:MIN2025財年一季報,HTI項目2024Q22024Q3季度環比2024財年2025財年指引鋰精礦產量(千噸)126102-19%-鋰精礦銷量(千噸)15492-40%402 420-460運營成本(FOB,美元/噸)-642 512-570備注:澳元兌美元匯率為0.64:1。2024年Q3,
15、Bald Hill生產鋰精礦3.8萬噸,環比增長9%;銷售4.3萬噸,環比增長34%。項目2024財年鋰精礦運營成本為851美元/噸,MIN預計2025財年項目鋰精礦運營成本為512-576美元/噸。表:Bald Hill產銷量及成本情況Bald Hill:項目已于:項目已于24年年Q4停產停產9請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明資料來源:MIN2025財年一季報,HTI項目2024Q22024Q3季度環比2024財年2025財年指引鋰精礦產量(千噸)3538 9%-0鋰精礦發運量(千噸)3243 34%67 0運營成本(FOB,美元/噸)-851 5
16、12-576備注:澳元兌美元匯率為0.64:1。10有色金屬價格、庫存數據一覽有色金屬價格、庫存數據一覽請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明資料來源:Wind,HTI2024/12/6 2024/12/13價格數據價格數據產品產品單位單位期初價格期初價格期末價格期末價格漲跌幅漲跌幅工業金屬LME銅美元/噸90939057-0.4%LME鋁美元/噸260826150.3%LME鋅美元/噸307230900.6%LME鉛美元/噸20672014-2.6%LME錫萬美元/噸2.912.90-0.2%SHFE銅萬元/噸7.477.480.1%SHFE鋁萬元/噸2
17、.032.040.2%SHFE鋅萬元/噸2.552.591.4%SHFE鉛萬元/噸1.781.74-2.2%SHFE錫萬元/噸24.3924.892.0%A00鋁萬元/噸2.032.03-0.2%氧化鋁元/噸4847.004902.001.1%能源金屬電池級碳酸鋰萬元/噸7.707.69-0.1%工業級碳酸鋰萬元/噸7.357.34-0.1%氫氧化鋰萬元/噸6.876.900.5%LME鎳萬美元/噸1.601.59-0.9%SHFE鎳萬元/噸12.6312.912.2%硫酸鎳萬元/噸2.942.940.0%高鎳鐵元/鎳945.00945.000.0%長江鈷萬元/噸17.6017.600.0%M
18、B鈷:標準級美元/磅11.0511.050.0%MB鈷:合金級美元/磅14.3514.20-1.0%貴金屬倫敦現貨黃金美元/盎司2637.302659.050.8%倫敦現貨白銀美元/盎司31.1130.74-1.2%COMEX黃金美元/盎司2654.902665.900.4%COMEX銀美元/盎司31.4931.00-1.5%2024/12/6 2024/12/13價格數據價格數據產品產品單位單位期初價格期初價格期末價格期末價格漲跌幅漲跌幅稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬、新材料鐠釹氧化物萬元/噸41.1840.99-0.5%鉬精礦:45%-50%元/噸度3605.003595.00-0.3%銻萬元/
19、噸14.0014.000.0%氧化鏑萬元/千克0.160.174.4%氧化鋱萬元/千克0.570.56-1.2%黑鎢精礦:55%萬元/噸14.0914.090.0%鍺錠:50元/千克18450.0018150.00-1.6%二氧化鍺:99.999%元/千克13750.0013450.00-2.2%海綿鈦99.6%元/千克42.5042.500.0%鎂錠萬元/噸1.791.79-0.1%精鉍:99.99%萬元/噸7.457.20-3.4%精銦:99.995%元/千克2525.002475.00-2.0%2024/12/6 2024/12/13庫存數據庫存數據產品產品單位單位期初庫存期初庫存期末期
20、末庫存庫存 漲跌幅漲跌幅能源金屬LME鎳萬噸16.5316.45-0.5%SHFE鎳萬噸3.413.471.7%工業金屬LME銅萬噸26.9827.281.1%SHFE陰極銅萬噸9.788.46-13.5%SHFE國際銅萬噸1.521.8521.8%LME鋁萬噸68.4667.50-1.4%SHFE鋁萬噸22.4421.45-4.4%LME鋅萬噸27.8926.85-3.7%SHFE鋅萬噸5.305.07-4.4%LME鉛萬噸27.1426.08-3.9%SHFE鉛萬噸4.835.238.3%LME錫噸47104660-1.1%SHFE錫噸692069891.0%目錄目錄1.澳洲鋰礦澳洲鋰礦,
21、降本減產中求,降本減產中求生存生存2.申萬有色指數申萬有色指數12/6-12/13下跌下跌0.8%,鋁領漲,鋁領漲3.主要主要子板塊跟蹤子板塊跟蹤(12/6-12/13)3.1 工業金屬:工業金屬:LME銅價下跌銅價下跌0.4%3.2 能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌0.1%3.3 黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲0.8%3.4 稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌0.5%4.重要重要事件事件:南山:南山鋁業擬回購股份鋁業擬回購股份3-6億億元元5.風險風險提示提示11請務必閱讀正文之后的信
22、息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明12資料來源:Wind,HTI請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明圖:申萬一級行業周漲跌圖:申萬一級行業周漲跌幅(幅(2024.12.6-2024.12.13)申萬有申萬有色指數色指數12/6-12/13下跌下跌0.8%,鋁領漲,鋁領漲圖:申萬有色二級行業周漲跌圖:申萬有色二級行業周漲跌幅(幅(2024.12.6-2024.12.13)圖:部分申萬有色三級行業和鋰礦指數、稀土指數周漲圖:部分申萬有色三級行業和鋰礦指數、稀土指數周漲跌跌幅(幅(2024.12.6-2024.12.13)-0.20%-0.
23、84%-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%商貿零售紡織服飾傳媒社會服務輕工制造美容護理食品飲料農林牧漁通信建筑材料家用電器汽車綜合電子交通運輸基礎化工公用事業萬得全A銀行石油石化國防軍工機械設備鋼鐵有色金屬醫藥生物建筑裝飾煤炭環保計算機房地產電力設備非銀金融-4%-2%0%2%貴金屬工業金屬小金屬金屬新材料能源金屬-6%-4%-2%0%2%鋁黃金銅鋰礦指數稀土指數磁性材料13資料來源:Wind,HTI請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明圖:有色金屬行業海外重點上市公司股價周漲跌圖:有色金屬行業海外重點上市公司股價周漲跌幅(幅(2024.12.6-2024.1
24、2.13)有色金屬有色金屬板塊板塊12/6-12/13屹通新材領漲屹通新材領漲14.8%圖:申萬有色行業周漲幅前十個圖:申萬有色行業周漲幅前十個股(股(2024.12.6-2024.12.13)圖:申萬有色行業周漲幅后十個圖:申萬有色行業周漲幅后十個股(股(2024.12.6-2024.12.13)0%5%10%15%屹通新材國城礦業金田股份圖南股份和勝股份海亮股份華峰鋁業悅安新材雅化集團永杉鋰業-15%-10%-5%0%深圳新星金力永磁英洛華天華新能大地熊華鋒股份云南鍺業豪美新材新威凌銀河磁體-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%6%Pilbara必和必拓力拓伊格爾礦業巴里克黃金南方銅業淡水河谷SQ
25、M自由港嘉能可NEWMONT雅保目錄目錄1.澳洲鋰礦澳洲鋰礦,降本減產中求,降本減產中求生存生存2.申萬有色指數申萬有色指數12/6-12/13下跌下跌0.8%,鋁領漲,鋁領漲3.主要主要子板塊跟蹤子板塊跟蹤(12/6-12/13)3.1 工業金屬:工業金屬:LME銅價下跌銅價下跌0.4%3.2 能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌0.1%3.3 黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲0.8%3.4 稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌0.5%4.重要重要事件事件:南山:南山鋁業擬回購股份鋁業擬回購股
26、份3-6億億元元5.風險風險提示提示14請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明15資料來源:Wind,HTILME銅銅價下跌價下跌0.4%,SHFE銅庫存下跌銅庫存下跌13.5%請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明圖:上期所銅期貨收盤價(萬元圖:上期所銅期貨收盤價(萬元/噸)噸)圖:全球銅庫存(萬噸)圖:全球銅庫存(萬噸)圖:圖:LME、SHFE銅價銅價02040608022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11LME銅SHFE陰極銅SHFE國際銅COMEX銅5678960008000100001200022
27、/1123/0523/1124/0524/11LME銅(美元/噸;左軸)SHFE陰極銅(萬元/噸;右軸)7.447.467.487.57.527.54MM+1M+2M+3M+4M+5M+6M+7M+8M+92024/12/062024/12/1316資料來源:Wind,HTILME鋁鋁價上漲價上漲0.3%,LME鋁鋁庫存庫存下跌下跌1.4%請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明圖:圖:A00鋁和氧化鋁價格鋁和氧化鋁價格圖:上期所鋁期貨收盤價(萬元圖:上期所鋁期貨收盤價(萬元/噸)噸)圖:全球鋁庫存(萬噸)圖:全球鋁庫存(萬噸)圖:圖:LME、SHFE鋁價鋁
28、價1.41.82.22.615002500350022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11LME鋁(美元/噸;左軸)SHFE鋁(萬元/噸;右軸)0408012016022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11LME鋁SHFE鋁COMEX鋁2000300040005000600012322/1123/0523/1124/0524/11A00鋁(萬元/噸;左軸)氧化鋁(元/噸;右軸)2.022.022.032.032.042.042.052.05MM+1M+2M+3M+4M+5M+6M+7M+82024/12/062024/12/1317資料來源:Wind,HTILME鋅價上漲鋅
29、價上漲0.6%,LME鉛價下跌鉛價下跌2.6%請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明圖:圖:LME、SHFE鉛價鉛價圖:全球主要交易所鋅庫存(萬噸)圖:全球主要交易所鋅庫存(萬噸)圖:圖:LME、SHFE鋅價鋅價圖:全球主要交易所鉛庫存(萬噸)圖:全球主要交易所鉛庫存(萬噸)1.52.53.520003000400022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11LME鋅(美元/噸;左軸)SHFE鋅(萬元/噸;右軸)020406022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11LME鋅SHFE鋅01020304022/1123/0523/1124/05
30、24/11LME鉛SHFE鉛1.41.61.82.02.216002000240022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11LME鉛(美元/噸;左軸)SHFE鉛(萬元/噸;右軸)18資料來源:Wind,HTILME錫價下跌錫價下跌0.2%請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明圖:全球主要交易所錫庫存(噸)圖:全球主要交易所錫庫存(噸)圖:圖:LME、SHFE錫價錫價圖:上期圖:上期所錫期貨所錫期貨收盤價(萬元收盤價(萬元/噸)噸)0400080001200016000200002400022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11LME錫SH
31、FE錫102030123422/1123/0523/1124/0524/11LME錫(萬美元/噸;左軸)SHFE錫(萬元/噸;右軸)24.0024.5025.00MM+1M+2M+3M+42024/12/062024/12/13目錄目錄1.澳洲鋰礦澳洲鋰礦,降本減產中求,降本減產中求生存生存2.申萬有色指數申萬有色指數12/6-12/13下跌下跌0.8%,鋁領漲,鋁領漲3.主要主要子板塊跟蹤子板塊跟蹤(12/6-12/13)3.1 工業金屬:工業金屬:LME銅價下跌銅價下跌0.4%3.2 能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌0.1%3.3 黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲黃
32、金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲0.8%3.4 稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌0.5%4.重要重要事件事件:南山:南山鋁業擬回購股份鋁業擬回購股份3-6億億元元5.風險風險提示提示19請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明20資料來源:Wind,HTI電池級碳酸鋰電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌價格下跌0.1%請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明圖:三元前驅體價格(萬元圖:三元前驅體價格(萬元/噸)噸)圖:鋰電池正極材料價格(萬元圖:鋰電池正極材料價格(萬元/噸)噸)圖:廣期所
33、碳酸鋰期貨收盤價(萬元圖:廣期所碳酸鋰期貨收盤價(萬元/噸)噸)圖:鋰鹽價格(萬元圖:鋰鹽價格(萬元/噸)噸)圖:廣期所碳酸鋰庫存(萬噸)圖:廣期所碳酸鋰庫存(萬噸)0.01.02.03.04.05.06.024/0224/0424/0624/0824/10碳酸鋰廣期所庫存(萬噸)010203040506022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11電池級碳酸鋰工業級碳酸鋰氫氧化鋰024681012141622/1123/0523/1124/0524/11NCM111NCM523NCM622NCM8110246810120510152025303523/0523/0723/0923/11
34、24/0124/0324/0524/0724/0924/11NCM111(左軸)NCM523(左軸)NCM622(左軸)NCM811(左軸)磷酸鐵鋰(右軸)7.37.47.57.67.77.87.98.08.18.2MM+1M+2M+3M+4M+5M+6M+7M+82024/12/132024/12/0721資料來源:Wind,HTI請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明圖:硫酸鎳和高鎳鐵價格圖:硫酸鎳和高鎳鐵價格圖:上期所鎳期貨收盤價(萬元圖:上期所鎳期貨收盤價(萬元/噸)噸)圖:全球鎳庫存(萬噸)圖:全球鎳庫存(萬噸)圖:圖:LME、SHFE鎳價鎳價L
35、ME鎳價鎳價價格下跌價格下跌0.9%圖:長江鈷及圖:長江鈷及MB鈷價鈷價01020300.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.522/1223/02 23/0423/0623/0823/1023/1224/0224/0424/0624/0824/1024/12LME鎳(萬美元/噸;左軸)SHFE鎳(萬元/噸;右軸)051015202522/09 22/11 23/01 23/03 23/05 23/07 23/09 23/11 24/01 24/03 24/05 24/07 24/09 24/11LME鎳庫存SHFE鎳庫存020040060080010001200140016000.00
36、.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.022/1123/02 23/0523/0823/1124/0224/0524/0824/11硫酸鎳(萬元/噸;左軸)高鎳鐵(元/鎳;右軸)05101520250510152025303523/0123/0423/0723/1024/0124/0424/0724/10長江鈷(萬元/噸;左軸)MB鈷:標準級(美元/磅;右軸)MB鈷:合金級(美元/磅;右軸)12.212.312.412.512.612.712.812.913.013.113.2MM+1M+2M+3M+4M+5M+6M+7M+8M+92024/12/072024/12/13目錄
37、目錄1.澳洲鋰礦澳洲鋰礦,降本減產中求,降本減產中求生存生存2.申萬有色指數申萬有色指數12/6-12/13下跌下跌0.8%,鋁領漲,鋁領漲3.主要主要子板塊跟蹤子板塊跟蹤(12/6-12/13)3.1 工業金屬:工業金屬:LME銅價下跌銅價下跌0.4%3.2 能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌0.1%3.3 黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲0.8%3.4 稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌0.5%4.重要重要事件事件:南山:南山鋁業擬回購股份鋁業擬回購股份3-6億億元元5.風險風險提示提示
38、22請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明23資料來源:Wind,HTI請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明圖:白銀價格圖:白銀價格圖:美國圖:美國CPI當月同比與聯邦基金利率(當月同比與聯邦基金利率(%)圖:倫敦現貨黃金價格與美元指數圖:倫敦現貨黃金價格與美元指數圖:圖:COMEX與與SHFE黃金價格黃金價格倫敦現貨黃金價上漲倫敦現貨黃金價上漲0.82%3504004505005506006507001500170019002100230025002700290022/1123/0223/0523/0823/112
39、4/0224/0524/0824/11COMEX黃金(美元/盎司;左軸)SHFE黃金(元/克;右軸)350045005500650075008500950015202530354022/1123/0223/0523/0823/1124/0224/0524/0824/11COMEX銀(美元/盎司;左軸)SHFE白銀(元/千克;右軸)01234560246822/1223/0623/1224/06美國CPI:當月同比(左軸)美國聯邦基金利率(右軸)80901001101201600170018001900200021002200230024002500260027002800290022/1123
40、/0523/1124/0524/11倫敦現貨黃金(美元/盎司;左軸)美元指數(右軸)24資料來源:Wind,HTI金銀比上行至金銀比上行至86.00請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明圖:全球主要經濟體央行總資產圖:全球主要經濟體央行總資產圖:圖:SPDR、iShares黃金黃金ETF持有量(噸)持有量(噸)圖:金銀比和銅金比圖:金銀比和銅金比圖:美國國債長短期利差(圖:美國國債長短期利差(%)34566070809010022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11金銀比(金價/銀價;左軸)銅金比(銅價/金價;右軸)-3-2-10122/1123
41、/0523/1124/0524/11美國國債收益率:10Y-2Y美國國債收益率:10Y-3M010020030040050060070080090001234567891020022007201220172022美國:所有聯儲銀行:總資產(萬億美元;左軸)歐洲央行:資產:總額(萬億歐元;左軸)日本央行:資產:總額(萬億日元;右軸)05010015020025030035040045050080082084086088090092094096022/1223/0623/1224/06SPDR黃金ETF(左軸)iShares黃金ETF(右軸)目錄目錄1.澳洲鋰礦澳洲鋰礦,降本減產中求,降本減產中求
42、生存生存2.申萬有色指數申萬有色指數12/6-12/13下跌下跌0.8%,鋁領漲,鋁領漲3.主要主要子板塊跟蹤子板塊跟蹤(12/6-12/13)3.1 工業金屬:工業金屬:LME銅價下跌銅價下跌0.4%3.2 能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌0.1%3.3 黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲0.8%3.4 稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌0.5%4.重要重要事件事件:南山:南山鋁業擬回購股份鋁業擬回購股份3-6億億元元5.風險風險提示提示25請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀
43、正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明26資料來源:Wind,HTI鐠釹氧化物鐠釹氧化物價格下跌價格下跌0.5%請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明圖:鍺錠和鎢精礦價格圖:鍺錠和鎢精礦價格圖:海綿鈦和鈦精礦價格圖:海綿鈦和鈦精礦價格圖:鉬精礦和銻價格圖:鉬精礦和銻價格圖:主要稀土價格圖:主要稀土價格圖:精鉍和精銦價格圖:精鉍和精銦價格圖:電解錳和鎂錠價格(萬元圖:電解錳和鎂錠價格(萬元/噸)噸)355575950.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.41.622/1123/0523/1124/0524/11氧化鏑(萬元/千克;左軸)氧化鋱(萬元/千克;左軸)
44、鐠釹氧化物(萬元/噸;右軸)5791113151710002000300040005000600022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11鉬精礦:45%-50%(元/噸度;左軸)銻(萬元/噸,右軸)910111213141516800010000120001400016000180002000022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11鍺錠:50(元/千克;左軸)黑鎢精礦:55%(萬元/噸;右軸)180020002200240040506070809022/1123/0523/1124/0524/11海綿鈦99.6%(元/千克;左軸)鈦精礦(元/噸;右軸)02401222/1
45、123/0523/1124/0524/11電解錳(左軸)鎂錠(右軸)10001400180022002600300034003456789101122/1123/0523/1124/0524/11精鉍:99.99%(萬元/噸;左軸)精銦:99.995%(元/千克;右軸)目錄目錄1.澳洲鋰礦澳洲鋰礦,降本減產中求,降本減產中求生存生存2.申萬有色指數申萬有色指數12/6-12/13下跌下跌0.8%,鋁領漲,鋁領漲3.主要主要子板塊跟蹤子板塊跟蹤(12/6-12/13)3.1 工業金屬:工業金屬:LME銅價下跌銅價下跌0.4%3.2 能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌0.
46、1%3.3 黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲0.8%3.4 稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌0.5%4.重要重要事件事件:南山:南山鋁業擬回購股份鋁業擬回購股份3-6億億元元5.風險風險提示提示27請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明28請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明資料來源:廈門鎢業:向特定對象發行A股股票發行情況報告書、金誠信:關于收購澳大利亞Terra Mining Pty Ltd 51%股權的公告、南山鋁業:關于以集中競價
47、交易方式回購股份方案公告,HTI。重要事件重要事件:南山鋁業擬回購股份:南山鋁業擬回購股份3-6億元億元公司公司公告日期公告日期主要內容主要內容廈門鎢業廈門鎢業2024-12-7公司成功向特定對象發行A股股票,本次向特定對象發行人民幣普通股股票1.70億股,每股發行價格為人民幣20.80元,實際募集資金凈額為人民幣35.16億元。金誠信金誠信2024-12-11公司與澳大利亞TERRA MINING及其股東DAI RUI簽署股權合作協議書,公司或公司指定的子公司將以1澳元收購TERRA MINING之51%股權。南山鋁業南山鋁業2024-12-12公司擬以集中競價交易方式回購股份?;刭徆煞萁痤~
48、不低于人民幣3億元(含),不超過人民幣6億元(含),本次回購股份的最高價不超過人民幣6.24元/股。表:重要公司跟蹤表:重要公司跟蹤目錄目錄1.澳洲鋰礦澳洲鋰礦,降本減產中求,降本減產中求生存生存2.申萬有色指數申萬有色指數12/6-12/13下跌下跌0.8%,鋁領漲,鋁領漲3.主要主要子板塊跟蹤子板塊跟蹤(12/6-12/13)3.1 工業金屬:工業金屬:LME銅價下跌銅價下跌0.4%3.2 能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌能源金屬:電池級碳酸鋰價格下跌0.1%3.3 黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲黃金白銀:倫敦現貨黃金價上漲0.8%3.4 稀土和銻、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌稀土和銻、
49、鍺、鈾等小金屬:鐠釹氧化物價格下跌0.5%4.重要重要事件事件:南山:南山鋁業擬回購股份鋁業擬回購股份3-6億億元元5.風險風險提示提示29請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明風險提示風險提示30請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明 經濟復蘇不及預期,新能源車、地產需求不及預期。若新能源車、地產等下游行業需求不及預期,或將造成金屬價格下行。主要經濟體貨幣政策收緊過度,或將造成市場流動性短缺,抑制實體經濟需求。國際地緣政治風險。隨著國外愈發重視本土產業鏈建設和戰略資源保護,中企在海外投資礦產資源或將面臨外資審查趨嚴,
50、當地政策不確定性提升等風險。項目建設不及預期。公司項目建設推遲,或將造成產銷量不及預期。APPENDIX 2重要信息披露重要信息披露本研究報告由海通國際分銷,海通國際是由海通國際研究有限公司(HTIRL),Haitong Securities India Private Limited(HSIPL),Haitong International Japan K.K.(HTIJKK)和海通國際證券有限公司(HTISCL)的證券研究團隊所組成的全球品牌,海通國際證券集團(HTISG)各成員分別在其許可的司法管轄區內從事證券活動。IMPORTANTDISCLOSURESThis research re
51、port is distributed by Haitong International,a global brand name for the equity research teams of Haitong International Research Limited(“HTIRL”),Haitong Securities India Private Limited(“HSIPL”),Haitong International Japan K.K.(“HTIJKK”),Haitong International Securities Company Limited(“HTISCL”),an
52、d any other members within the Haitong International Securities Group of Companies(“HTISG”),each authorized to engage in securities activities in its respective jurisdiction.HTIRL分析師認證分析師認證AnalystCertification:2我,陳先龍,在此保證(i)本研究報告中的意見準確反映了我們對本研究中提及的任何或所有目標公司或上市公司的個人觀點,并且(ii)我的報酬中沒有任何部分與本研究報告中表達的具體建議或
53、觀點直接或間接相關;及就此報告中所討論目標公司的證券,我們(包括我們的家屬)在其中均不持有任何財務利益。我和我的家屬(我已經告知他們)將不會在本研究報告發布后的3個工作日內交易此研究報告所討論目標公司的證券。I,Xianlong Chen,certify that(i)the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any or all of the subjectcompanies or issuers referred to in this research and
54、(ii)no part of my compensation was,is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this researchreport;and that I(including members of my household)have no financial interest in the security or securities of the subject companies discussed.I and my
55、household,whom I have already notified of this,will not deal in or trade any securities in respect of the issuer that I review within 3 business days after the research report is published.我,甘嘉堯,在此保證(i)本研究報告中的意見準確反映了我們對本研究中提及的任何或所有目標公司或上市公司的個人觀點,并且(ii)我的報酬中沒有任何部分與本研究報告中表達的具體建議或觀點直接或間接相關;及就此報告中所討論目標公
56、司的證券,我們(包括我們的家屬)在其中均不持有任何財務利益。我和我的家屬(我已經告知他們)將不會在本研究報告發布后的3個工作日內交易此研究報告所討論目標公司的證券。I,Jiayao Gan,certify that(i)the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any or all of the subjectcompanies or issuers referred to in this research and(ii)no part of my compens
57、ation was,is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this researchreport;and that I(including members of my household)have no financial interest in the security or securities of the subject companies discussed.I and my household,whom I have alr
58、eady notified of this,will not deal in or trade any securities in respect of the issuer that I review within 3 business days after the research report is published.我,吳旖婕,在此保證(i)本研究報告中的意見準確反映了我們對本研究中提及的任何或所有目標公司或上市公司的個人觀點,并且(ii)我的報酬中沒有任何部分與本研究報告中表達的具體建議或觀點直接或間接相關;及就此報告中所討論目標公司的證券,我們(包括我們的家屬)在其中均不持有任何
59、財務利益。我和我的家屬(我已經告知他們)將不會在本研究報告發布后的3個工作日內交易此研究報告所討論目標公司的證券。I,Yijie Wu,certify that(i)the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any or all of the subjectcompanies or issuers referred to in this research and(ii)no part of my compensation was,is or will be dir
60、ectly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this researchreport;and that I(including members of my household)have no financial interest in the security or securities of the subject companies discussed.I and my household,whom I have already notified of this,will
61、not deal in or trade any securities in respect of the issuer that I review within 3 business days after the research report is published.我,王曼琪,在此保證(i)本研究報告中的意見準確反映了我們對本研究中提及的任何或所有目標公司或上市公司的個人觀點,并且(ii)我的報酬中沒有任何部分與本研究報告中表達的具體建議或觀點直接或間接相關;及就此報告中所討論目標公司的證券,我們(包括我們的家屬)在其中均不持有任何財務利益。我和我的家屬(我已經告知他們)將不會在本研究
62、報告發布后的3個工作日內交易此研究報告所討論目標公司的證券。I,Manqi Wang,certify that(i)the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any or all of the subjectcompanies or issuers referred to in this research and(ii)no part of my compensation was,is or will be directly or indirectly relat
63、ed to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this researchreport;and that I(including members of my household)have no financial interest in the security or securities of the subject companies discussed.I and my household,whom I have already notified of this,will not deal in or trade any
64、securities in respect of the issuer that I review within 3 business days after the research report is published.APPENDIX 2利益沖突披露利益沖突披露Conflict of Interest Disclosures3海通國際及其某些關聯公司可從事投資銀行業務和/或對本研究中的特定股票或公司進行做市或持有自營頭寸。就本研究報告而言,以下是有關該等關系的披露事項(以下披露不能保證及時無遺漏,如需了解及時全面信息,請發郵件至ERD-D)HTI and some of its affi
65、liates may engage in investment banking and/or serve as a market maker or hold proprietary trading positions of certain stocks or companies in this research report.As far as this research report is concerned,the following are the disclosure matters related to suchrelationship(As the following disclo
66、sure does not ensure timeliness and completeness,please send an email to ERD-D if timely and comprehensive information is needed).海通證券股份有限公司和/或其子公司(統稱“海通”)在過去12個月內參與了601600.CH and 300748.CH的投資銀行項目。投資銀行項目包括:1、海通擔任上市前輔導機構、保薦人或主承銷商的首次公開發行項目;2、海通作為保薦人、主承銷商或財務顧問的股權或債務再融資項目;3、海通作為主經紀商的新三板上市、目標配售和并購項目。Hait
67、ong Securities Co.,Ltd.and/or its subsidiaries(collectively,the Haitong)have a role in investment banking projects of 601600.CH and 300748.CH within the past 12 months.The investment banking projects include 1.IPO projects in which Haitong acted as pre-listing tutor,sponsor,or lead-underwriter;2.equ
68、ity or debt refinancing projects of 601600.CH and 300748.CH for which Haitong acted as sponsor,lead-underwriter or financial advisor;3.listing by introduction in the new three board,target placement,M&A projects in which Haitong acted as lead-brokerage firm.601600.CH 及 300748.CH目前或過去12個月內是海通的投資銀行業務客
69、戶。601600.CH and 300748.CH are/were an investment bank clients of Haitong currently or within the past 12 months.603993.CH,601600.CH,000630.CH,600988.CH 及 000603.CH目前或過去12個月內是海通的客戶。海通向客戶提供非投資銀行業務的證券相關業務服務。603993.CH,601600.CH,000630.CH,600988.CH and 000603.CH are/were a client of Haitong currently or
70、within the past 12 months.The client has been provided for non-investment-banking securities-related services.海通在過去的12個月中從601600.CH 及 000630.CH獲得除投資銀行服務以外之產品或服務的報酬。Haitong has received compensation in the past 12 months for products or services other than investment banking from 601600.CH and 000630
71、.CH.APPENDIX 2評級定義評級定義(從從2020年年7月月1日開始執行日開始執行):海通國際(以下簡稱“HTI”)采用相對評級系統來為投資者推薦我們覆蓋的公司:優于大市、中性或弱于大市。投資者應仔細閱讀HTI的評級定義。并且HTI發布分析師觀點的完整信息,投資者應仔細閱讀全文而非僅看評級。在任何情況下,分析師的評級和研究都不能作為投資建議。投資者的買賣股票的決策應基于各自情況(比如投資者的現有持倉)以及其他因素。分析師股票評級分析師股票評級優于大市優于大市,未來12-18個月內預期相對基準指數漲幅在10%以上,基準定義如下中性中性,未來12-18個月內預期相對基準指數變化不大,基準定
72、義如下。根據FINRA/NYSE的評級分布規則,我們會將中性評級劃入持有這一類別。弱于大市弱于大市,未來12-18個月內預期相對基準指數跌幅在10%以上,基準定義如下各地股票基準指數:日本各地股票基準指數:日本 TOPIX,韓國韓國 KOSPI,臺灣臺灣 TAIEX,印度印度 Nifty100,美國美國 SP500;其他所有中國概念股其他所有中國概念股 MSCI China.Ratings Definitions(from 1 Jul 2020):Haitong International uses a relative rating system using Outperform,Neutr
73、al,or Underperform for recommending the stocks we cover to investors.Investors should carefully read the definitions of all ratings used in Haitong International Research.In addition,since Haitong International Researchcontains more complete information concerning the analysts views,investors should
74、 carefully read Haitong International Research,in its entirety,andnot infer the contents from the rating alone.In any case,ratings(or research)should not be used or relied upon as investment advice.An investorsdecisionto buy or sell a stockshould depend on individual circumstances(such as the invest
75、orsexistingholdings)and other considerations.Analyst Stock RatingsOutperform:The stocks total return over the next 12-18 months is expected to exceed the return of its relevant broad market benchmark,as indicatedbelow.Neutral:The stocks total return over the next 12-18 months is expected to be in li
76、ne with the return of its relevant broad market benchmark,asindicated below.For purposes only of FINRA/NYSE ratings distributionrules,our Neutral rating falls into a hold rating category.Underperform:The stocks total return over the next 12-18 months is expected to be below the return of its relevan
77、t broad market benchmark,asindicated below.Benchmarks for each stocks listed region are as follows:Japan TOPIX,Korea KOSPI,Taiwan TAIEX,India Nifty100,US SP500;for all otherChina-concept stocks MSCI China.4APPENDIX 2評級分布評級分布Rating Distribution5APPENDIX 2截至截至2024年年9月月30日日海通國際股票研究評級分布海通國際股票研究評級分布優于大市優
78、于大市中性中性弱于大市弱于大市(持有持有)海通國際股票研究覆蓋率91.8%7.8%0.4%投資銀行客戶*3.5%4.4%0.0%*在每個評級類別里投資銀行客戶所占的百分比。上述分布中的買入,中性和賣出分別對應我們當前優于大市,中性和落后大市評級。只有根據FINRA/NYSE的評級分布規則,我們才將中性評級劃入持有這一類別。請注意在上表中不包含非評級的股票。此前的評級系統定義此前的評級系統定義(直至直至2020年年6月月30日日):買入買入,未來12-18個月內預期相對基準指數漲幅在10%以上,基準定義如下中性中性,未來12-18個月內預期相對基準指數變化不大,基準定義如下。根據FINRA/NY
79、SE的評級分布規則,我們會將中性評級劃入持有這一類別。賣出賣出,未來12-18個月內預期相對基準指數跌幅在10%以上,基準定義如下各地股票基準指數:日本各地股票基準指數:日本 TOPIX,韓國韓國 KOSPI,臺灣臺灣 TAIEX,印度印度 Nifty100;其他所有中國概念股其他所有中國概念股 MSCI China.Haitong International Equity Research Ratings Distribution,as of September 30,2024OutperformNeutralUnderperform(hold)HTI Equity Research Cov
80、erage91.8%7.8%0.4%IB clients*3.5%4.4%0.0%*Percentageof investmentbanking clients in each rating category.BUY,Neutral,and SELL in the above distributioncorrespondto our current ratingsof Outperform,Neutral,and Underperform.For purposes only of FINRA/NYSE ratings distribution rules,our Neutral rating
81、falls into a hold rating category.Please note that stocks with an NRdesignationare not included in the table above.Previous rating system definitions(until 30 Jun 2020):BUY:The stockstotalreturn over the next 12-18 monthsis expectedto exceed the return of its relevant broad market benchmark,as indic
82、atedbelow.NEUTRAL:The stocks total return over the next 12-18 months is expected to be in line with the return of its relevant broad market benchmark,asindicated below.For purposes only of FINRA/NYSE ratings distributionrules,our Neutral rating falls into a hold rating category.SELL:The stocks total
83、 return over the next 12-18 months is expected to be below the return of its relevant broad market benchmark,as indicatedbelow.Benchmarks for each stocks listed region are as follows:Japan TOPIX,Korea KOSPI,Taiwan TAIEX,India Nifty100;for all other China-conceptstocks MSCI China.6APPENDIX 2海通國際非評級研究
84、:海通國際非評級研究:海通國際發布計量、篩選或短篇報告,并在報告中根據估值和其他指標對股票進行排名,或者基于可能的估值倍數提出建議價格。這種排名或建議價格并非為了進行股票評級、提出目標價格或進行基本面估值,而僅供參考使用。Haitong International Non-Rated Research:Haitong International publishes quantitative,screening or short reports which may rank stocks according to valuation andother metrics or may suggest
85、 prices based on possible valuation multiples.Such rankings or suggested prices do not purport to be stock ratings or target prices orfundamental values and are for information only.海通國際海通國際A股覆蓋股覆蓋:海通國際可能會就滬港通及深港通的中國A股進行覆蓋及評級。海通證券(600837.CH),海通國際于上海的母公司,也會于中國發布中國A股的研究報告。但是,海通國際使用與海通證券不同的評級系統,所以海通國際與
86、海通證券的中國A股評級可能有所不同。Haitong International Coverage of A-Shares:Haitong International may cover and rate A-Shares that are subject to the Hong Kong Stock Connect scheme withShanghai and Shenzhen.Haitong Securities(HS;600837 CH),the ultimate parent company of HTISG based in Shanghai,covers and publishes
87、 research on these sameA-Shares for distribution in mainland China.However,the rating system employed by HS differs from that used by HTI and as a result there may be a difference in theHTI and HS ratings for the same A-share stocks.海通國際海通國際優質優質100 A股股(Q100)指數指數:海通國際Q100指數是一個包括100支由海通證券覆蓋的優質中國A股的計量產
88、品。這些股票是通過基于質量的篩選過程,并結合對海通證券A股團隊自下而上的研究。海通國際每季對Q100指數成分作出復審。Haitong International Quality 100 A-share(Q100)Index:HTIs Q100 Index is a quant product that consists of 100 of the highest-quality A-shares under coverage atHS in Shanghai.These stocks are carefully selected through a quality-based screenin
89、g process in combination with a review of the HS A-share teams bottom-upresearch.The Q100 constituent companies are reviewed quarterly.7APPENDIX 2盟浪義利盟浪義利(FIN-ESG)數據通免責聲明條款:數據通免責聲明條款:在使用盟浪義利(FIN-ESG)數據之前,請務必仔細閱讀本條款并同意本聲明:第一條 義利(FIN-ESG)數據系由盟浪可持續數字科技有限責任公司(以下簡稱“本公司”)基于合法取得的公開信息評估而成,本公司對信息的準確性及完整性不作任何
90、保證。對公司的評估結果僅供參考,并不構成對任何個人或機構投資建議,也不能作為任何個人或機構購買、出售或持有相關金融產品的依據。本公司不對任何個人或機構投資者因使用本數據表述的評估結果造成的任何直接或間接損失負責。第二條 盟浪并不因收到此評估數據而將收件人視為客戶,收件人使用此數據時應根據自身實際情況作出自我獨立判斷。本數據所載內容反映的是盟浪在最初發布本數據日期當日的判斷,盟浪有權在不發出通知的情況下更新、修訂與發出其他與本數據所載內容不一致或有不同結論的數據。除非另行說明,本數據(如財務業績數據等)僅代表過往表現,過往的業績表現不作為日后回報的預測。第三條 本數據版權歸本公司所有,本公司依法
91、保留各項權利。未經本公司事先書面許可授權,任何個人或機構不得將本數據中的評估結果用于任何營利性目的,不得對本數據進行修改、復制、編譯、匯編、再次編輯、改編、刪減、縮寫、節選、發行、出租、展覽、表演、放映、廣播、信息網絡傳播、攝制、增加圖標及說明等,否則因此給盟浪或其他第三方造成損失的,由用戶承擔相應的賠償責任,盟浪不承擔責任。第四條 如本免責聲明未約定,而盟浪網站平臺載明的其他協議內容(如盟浪網站用戶注冊協議盟浪網用戶服務(含認證)協議盟浪網隱私政策等)有約定的,則按其他協議的約定執行;若本免責聲明與其他協議約定存在沖突或不一致的,則以本免責聲明約定為準。SusallWave FIN-ESG
92、Data Service Disclaimer:Please read these terms and conditions below carefully and confirm your agreement and acceptance with these termsbefore using SusallWave FIN-ESG Data Service.1.FIN-ESG Data is produced by SusallWave Digital Technology Co.,Ltd.(In short,SusallWave)s assessment based on legal p
93、ublicly accessible information.SusallWaveshall not be responsible for any accuracy and completeness of the information.The assessment result is for reference only.It is not for any investment advice for anyindividual or institution and not for basis of purchasing,selling or holding any relative fina
94、ncial products.We will not be liable for any direct or indirect loss of anyindividual or institution as a result of using SusallWave FIN-ESG Data.2.SusallWave do not consider recipients as customers for receiving these data.When using the data,recipients shall make your own independent judgment acco
95、rdingto your practical individual status.The contents of the data reflect the judgment of us only on the release day.We have right to update and amend the data andrelease other data that contains inconsistent contents or different conclusions without notification.Unless expressly stated,the data(e.g
96、.,financial performance data)represents past performance only and the past performance cannot be viewed as the prediction of future return.3.The copyright of this data belongs to SusallWave,and we reserve all rights in accordance with the law.Without the prior written permission of our company,noneo
97、f individual or institution can use these data for any profitable purpose.Besides,none of individual or institution can take actions such as amendment,replication,translation,compilation,re-editing,adaption,deletion,abbreviation,excerpts,issuance,rent,exhibition,performance,projection,broadcast,info
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99、ritten in other agreements on our website(e.g.User Registration Protocol of SusallWave Website,User Service(including authentication)Agreement of SusallWave Website,Privacy Policy of Susallwave Website),it should be executed according to other agreements.If there isany difference between this discla
100、im and other agreements,this disclaimer shall be applied.8APPENDIX 2重要免責聲明:重要免責聲明:非印度證券的研究報告:非印度證券的研究報告:本報告由海通國際證券集團有限公司(“HTISGL”)的全資附屬公司海通國際研究有限公司(“HTIRL”)發行,該公司是根據香港證券及期貨條例(第571章)持有第4類受規管活動(就證券提供意見)的持牌法團。該研究報告在HTISGL的全資附屬公司Haitong International(Japan)K.K.(“HTIJKK”)的協助下發行,HTIJKK是由日本關東財務局監管為投資顧問。印度證
101、券的研究報告:印度證券的研究報告:本報告由從事證券交易、投資銀行及證券分析及受Securities and Exchange Board of India(“SEBI”)監管的Haitong Securities India Private Limited(“HTSIPL”)所發行,包括制作及發布涵蓋BSE Limited(“BSE”)和National Stock Exchange of India Limited(“NSE”)上市公司(統稱為印度交易所)的研究報告。HTSIPL于2016年12月22日被收購并成為海通國際證券集團有限公司(“HTISG”)的一部分。所有研究報告均以海通國際為
102、名作為全球品牌,經許可由海通國際證券股份有限公司及/或海通國際證券集團的其他成員在其司法管轄區發布。本文件所載信息和觀點已被編譯或源自可靠來源,但HTIRL、HTISCL或任何其他屬于海通國際證券集團有限公司(“HTISG”)的成員對其準確性、完整性和正確性不做任何明示或暗示的聲明或保證。本文件中所有觀點均截至本報告日期,如有更改,恕不另行通知。本文件僅供參考使用。文件中提及的任何公司或其股票的說明并非意圖展示完整的內容,本文件并非/不應被解釋為對證券買賣的明示或暗示地出價或征價。在某些司法管轄區,本文件中提及的證券可能無法進行買賣。如果投資產品以投資者本國貨幣以外的幣種進行計價,則匯率變化可
103、能會對投資產生不利影響。過去的表現并不一定代表將來的結果。某些特定交易,包括設計金融衍生工具的,有產生重大風險的可能性,因此并不適合所有的投資者。您還應認識到本文件中的建議并非為您量身定制。分析師并未考慮到您自身的財務情況,如您的財務狀況和風險偏好。因此您必須自行分析并在適用的情況下咨詢自己的法律、稅收、會計、金融和其他方面的專業顧問,以期在投資之前評估該項建議是否適合于您。若由于使用本文件所載的材料而產生任何直接或間接的損失,HTISG及其董事、雇員或代理人對此均不承擔任何責任。除對本文內容承擔責任的分析師除外,HTISG及我們的關聯公司、高級管理人員、董事和雇員,均可不時作為主事人就本文件
104、所述的任何證券或衍生品持有長倉或短倉以及進行買賣。HTISG的銷售員、交易員和其他專業人士均可向HTISG的相關客戶和公司提供與本文件所述意見相反的口頭或書面市場評論意見或交易策略。HTISG可做出與本文件所述建議或意見不一致的投資決策。但HTIRL沒有義務來確保本文件的收件人了解到該等交易決定、思路或建議。請訪問海通國際網站,查閱更多有關海通國際為預防和避免利益沖突設立的組織和行政安排的內容信息。非美國分析師披露信息:非美國分析師披露信息:本項研究首頁上列明的海通國際分析師并未在FINRA進行注冊或者取得相應的資格,并且不受美國FINRA有關與本項研究目標公司進行溝通、公開露面和自營證券交易
105、的第2241條規則之限制。9APPENDIX 2IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERFor research reports on non-Indian securities:The research report is issued by Haitong International Research Limited(“HTIRL”),a wholly owned subsidiary ofHaitong International Securities Group Limited(“HTISGL”)and a licensed corporation to carry on Type 4
106、 regulated activity(advising on securities)for the purpose ofthe Securities and Futures Ordinance(Cap.571)of Hong Kong,with the assistance of Haitong International(Japan)K.K.(“HTIJKK”),a wholly owned subsidiary ofHTISGL and which is regulated as an Investment Adviser by the Kanto Finance Bureau of J
107、apan.For research reports on Indian securities:The research report is issued by Haitong Securities India Private Limited(“HSIPL”),an Indian company and a Securitiesand Exchange Board of India(“SEBI”)registered Stock Broker,Merchant Banker and Research Analyst that,inter alia,produces and distributes
108、 research reportscovering listed entities on the BSE Limited(“BSE”)and the National Stock Exchange of India Limited(“NSE”)(collectively referred to as“Indian Exchanges”).HSIPLwas acquired and became part of the Haitong International Securities Group of Companies(“HTISG”)on 22 December 2016.All the r
109、esearch reports are globally branded under the name Haitong International and approved for distribution by Haitong International Securities CompanyLimited(“HTISCL”)and/or any other members within HTISG in their respective jurisdictions.The information and opinions contained in this research report h
110、ave been compiled or arrived at from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith but norepresentation or warranty,express or implied,is made by HTIRL,HTISCL,HSIPL,HTIJKK or any other members within HTISG from which this research report maybe received,as to their accuracy,completeness or correc
111、tness.All opinions expressed herein are as of the date of this research report and are subject to changewithout notice.This research report is for information purpose only.Descriptions of any companies or their securities mentioned herein are not intended to becomplete and this research report is no
112、t,and should not be construed expressly or impliedly as,an offer to buy or sell securities.The securities referred to in thisresearch report may not be eligible for purchase or sale in some jurisdictions.If an investment product is denominated in a currency other than an investors homecurrency,a cha
113、nge in exchange rates may adversely affect the investment.Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.Certain transactions,including those involving derivatives,give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors.You should also bear in mind that recommendations
114、 in thisresearch report are not tailor-made for you.The analyst has not taken into account your unique financial circumstances,such as your financial situation and riskappetite.You must,therefore,analyze and should,where applicable,consult your own legal,tax,accounting,financial and other profession
115、al advisers to evaluatewhether the recommendations suits you before investment.Neither HTISG nor any of its directors,employees or agents accepts any liability whatsoever for anydirect or consequential loss arising from any use of the materials contained in this research report.10APPENDIX 2HTISG and
116、 our affiliates,officers,directors,and employees,excluding the analysts responsible for the content of this document,will from time to time have long or short positions in,act as principal in,and buy or sell,the securities or derivatives,if any,referred to in this research report.Sales,traders,and o
117、ther professionals of HTISG may provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies to the relevant clients and the companies within HTISG that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research report.HTISG may make investment decisions that are inconsistent w
118、ith the recommendations or views expressed in this research report.HTI is under no obligation to ensure that such other trading decisions,ideas or recommendations are brought to the attention of any recipient of this research report.Please refer to HTIs website for further information on HTIs organi
119、zational and administrative arrangements set up for the prevention and avoidance of conflicts of interest with respect to Research.Non U.S.Analyst Disclosure:The HTI analyst(s)listed on the cover of this Research is(are)not registered or qualified as a research analyst with FINRA and are not subject
120、 to U.S.FINRA Rule 2241 restrictions on communications with companies that are the subject of the Research;public appearances;and trading securities by a research analyst.11APPENDIX 2分發和地區通知:分發和地區通知:除非下文另有規定,否則任何希望討論本報告或者就本項研究中討論的任何證券進行任何交易的收件人均應聯系其所在國家或地區的海通國際銷售人員。香港投資者的通知事項:香港投資者的通知事項:海通國際證券股份有限公司
121、(“HTISCL”)負責分發該研究報告,HTISCL是在香港有權實施第1類受規管活動(從事證券交易)的持牌公司。該研究報告并不構成證券及期貨條例(香港法例第571章)(以下簡稱“SFO”)所界定的要約邀請,證券要約或公眾要約。本研究報告僅提供給SFO所界定的“專業投資者”。本研究報告未經過證券及期貨事務監察委員會的審查。您不應僅根據本研究報告中所載的信息做出投資決定。本研究報告的收件人就研究報告中產生或與之相關的任何事宜請聯系HTISCL銷售人員。美國投資者的通知事項:美國投資者的通知事項:本研究報告由HTIRL,HSIPL或HTIJKK編寫。HTIRL,HSIPL,HTIJKK以及任何非HT
122、ISG美國聯營公司,均未在美國注冊,因此不受美國關于研究報告編制和研究分析人員獨立性規定的約束。本研究報告提供給依照1934年“美國證券交易法”第15a-6條規定的豁免注冊的美國主要機構投資者(“Major U.S.Institutional Investor”)和機構投資者(”U.S.Institutional Investors”)。在向美國機構投資者分發研究報告時,HaitongInternational Securities(USA)Inc.(“HTI USA”)將對報告的內容負責。任何收到本研究報告的美國投資者,希望根據本研究報告提供的信息進行任何證券或相關金融工具買賣的交易,只能通
123、過HTI USA。HTI USA位于340 Madison Avenue,12th Floor,New York,NY 10173,電話(212)351-6050。HTI USA是在美國于U.S.Securities and Exchange Commission(“SEC”)注冊的經紀商,也是Financial Industry Regulatory Authority,Inc.(“FINRA”)的成員。HTIUSA不負責編寫本研究報告,也不負責其中包含的分析。在任何情況下,收到本研究報告的任何美國投資者,不得直接與分析師直接聯系,也不得通過HSIPL,HTIRL或HTIJKK直接進行買賣證
124、券或相關金融工具的交易。本研究報告中出現的HSIPL,HTIRL或HTIJKK分析師沒有注冊或具備FINRA的研究分析師資格,因此可能不受FINRA第2241條規定的與目標公司的交流,公開露面和分析師賬戶持有的交易證券等限制。投資本研究報告中討論的任何非美國證券或相關金融工具(包括ADR)可能存在一定風險。非美國發行的證券可能沒有注冊,或不受美國法規的約束。有關非美國證券或相關金融工具的信息可能有限制。外國公司可能不受審計和匯報的標準以及與美國境內生效相符的監管要求。本研究報告中以美元以外的其他貨幣計價的任何證券或相關金融工具的投資或收益的價值受匯率波動的影響,可能對該等證券或相關金融工具的價
125、值或收入產生正面或負面影響。美國收件人的所有問詢請聯系:Haitong International Securities(USA)Inc.340 Madison Avenue,12th FloorNew York,NY 10173聯系人電話:(212)351 605012APPENDIX 2DISTRIBUTION AND REGIONAL NOTICESExcept as otherwise indicated below,any Recipient wishing to discuss this research report or effect any transaction in an
126、y security discussed in HTIs research shouldcontact the Haitong International salesperson in their own country or region.Notice to Hong Kong investors:The research report is distributed by Haitong International Securities Company Limited(“HTISCL”),which is a licensed corporation tocarry on Type 1 re
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128、h report hasnot been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission.You should not make investment decisions solely on the basis of the information contained in thisresearch report.Recipients of this research report are to contact HTISCL salespersons in respect of any matters arising from,or in c
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147、注冊號:INH000002590地址:1203A,Floor 12A,Tower 2A,One World Center841 Senapati Bapat Marg,Elphinstone Road,Mumbai 400 013,IndiaCIN U74140MH2011FTC224070電話:+91 22 43156800 傳真:+91 22 24216327合規和申訴辦公室聯系人:Prasanna Chandwaskar;電話:+91 22 43156803;電子郵箱:“請注意,SEBI授予的注冊和NISM 的認證并不保證中介的表現或為投資者提供任何回報保證”。本項研究僅供收件人使用,未
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