東艷-Reshaping Global Value Chain In the Digital Economy_EN.pdf

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1、2023 China Petroleum&ChemicalInternational ConferenceReshaping Global Value ChainIn the Digital EconomyDong YanSeptember 20,2023Institute of World Economics and Politics,CASS1Reshaping of GVCs Multinational corporations will diversify industrial agglomeration in order to enhance the chains risk-resi

2、stant ability With the changing pattern of global factor endowments,there will be a trend towards knowledge-based,digitalisation and capitalisation in the medium to long term.Greening and low-carbonisation of production methods,which will mainly affect developing countries that rely on energy export

3、s,or are in the process of industrialisationReconstruction of international economic and trade rulescompetition between major Economic powersCompetition for digital rules intensifiesTrade and climate governance nexus strengthened2Globalization Backlash and Re-GlobalizationReshaping of Global Value C

4、hainsUpper bound:SafetyTimeGlobalization/Opennesslower bound:efficiencySource：GVC Team,IWEP,CASSTimeSource：Global Alert01000200030004000500060002009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022AllHarmfulLiberalisingTRADITIONAL INTERVENTIONS PER YEAR74-25-20-15-10-5051015050000100

5、000150000200000250000300000350000202301202302202303202304202305202306202307%US$millionChinas Recent Trade Performance Export VolumeImport VolumeImport GrowthExport GrowthChinas export and import activities have generally shown a decreasing trend from January to July 2023.While the import growth rate

6、 has gradually increased over time,both the import and export volumes have been decreasing since May and June respectively.This pattern may indicate a slowdown in the regions economic growth or a decrease in demand for imported and exported goods.05101520253035404550ChinaAsiaEuropeNorth AmericaSouth

7、 America19.32021.22223.517.224.427.615.813%坐標軸標題GVC Participation Index 2018Forward participationBackward ParticipationChina had a Forward Participation score of 19.3 in 2018.This suggests that China was relatively more involved in the final stages of production,including assembly,manufacturing,and

8、value addition,in comparison to other regions.Chinas Backward Participation score was 17.2 in 2018.This implies that China was less engaged in the earlier stages of the production process,including the sourcing of raw materials and intermediate inputs.Reshaping of Global Value ChainsDigital Transfor

9、mation：Challenges and OpportunitiesUnit:100 million U.S.dollars,%Source:IWEP,Digital Trade Report010203040506002000400060008000100001200014000160002005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020美國 出口規模歐盟 出口規模中國 出口規模美國 占世界比重歐盟 占世界比重中國 占世界比重Digital trade exports Digital trade liberali

10、zation has a non-neutral impact on global economies.Developed countries have benefited relatively more,while lagging countries have benefited relatively less.It is important to increase inclusiveness of GVCs in digital economy.6Industry Digitalization and Digital IndustrializationDigital economy can

11、 help businesses improve their efficiency Digital economy can help businesses improve their efficiency by enabling smarter decision-making,automating and streamlining processes improving marketing efficiency.BPs path to digital transformation:improving efficiency and creating value789Market Concentration RateSource:calculation based on ORBIS datasetInteraction between digital economy rule-building and industry developmentDong Y92023 China Petroleum&ChemicalInternational Conference