IFR國際殘疾人聯合會：2024年世界機器人大賽報告（英文版）（38頁）.pdf

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1、Welcome to the presentation ofWorld Robotics 2024#WorldRoboticsThe SpeakersWorld Robotics 2024|September 2024Marina BillIFR PresidentGlobal Head Marketing&Sales,ABB RoboticsDr.Christopher MllerDirector Statistical Dpt.International Federationof RoboticsDr.Werner KrausChair IFR Service Robot GroupHea

2、d of Research Divison Automation&Robotics,Fraunhofer IPADr.Susanne BiellerGeneral SecretaryInternational Federation of Robotics2International Federation of RoboticsWho we are Professional non-profit organization Established in 1987 Over 3000 organizations represented About 90 members National roboti

3、cs associations,R&D institutes,robot suppliers,integrators Communication and networking platform3World Robotics 2024|September 2024Our membersNATIONALASSOCIATIONSINDUSTRIALROBOTMANUFACTURERSR&DINSTITUTESCOMPONENTSUPPLIERS&INTEGRATORSSERVICEROBOTMANUFACTURERS“Robot”defined by International Standards

4、Organization ISO No robots:software(“bots”,AI,Robotic Process Automation-RPA)remote-controlled drones,UAV,UGV,UUVvoice assistantsautonomous carsATMs,smart washing machines,etc.What is a robot and what is not?World Robotics 2024|September 20245Image:DaihenIndustrial robots6Service,mobile and medical

5、robotsSource:StubliSource:EpsonTwo reportsWorld Robotics 2024|September 2024Presentation ofWorld Robotics 20247World Robotics 2024|September 20242023:Second highest installation count in history Annual installations exceeded 500,000 units for the third consecutive year.New robots 541,000 units(-2%)C

6、AGR 2018-2023:+5%Robot stock 4.3 million units(+10%)CAGR 2018-2023:+12%Industrial robots-top findings8World Robotics 2024|September 20241,3321,4721,6321,8382,1252,4412,7373,0273,4793,9044,28220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023Source:World Robotics 2024Operational stock of industrial robots-

7、World1,000 unitsMore than 4 million industrial robots operating around the world 9World Robotics 2024|September 2024+12%+10%Source:World Robotics 20241,000 unitsAnnual installations of industrial robots-WorldAnnual installations exceeded 500,000 units for the third consecutive year10World Robotics 2

8、024|September 202417820132212014254201530420164002017423201838720193902020526202155320225412023-2%+5%1025515256814311794611524661571369175152277126135UnspecifiedAll othersFoodPlastic and chemicalproductsMetal and machineryElectrical/electronicsAutomotive2023202220211,000 unitsSource:World Robotics 2

9、024Annual installations of industrial robots by customer industry-WorldAutomotive main customer due to weak demand from electronics11World Robotics 2024|September 2024-0%-20%+16%-5%-3%Shares of majors industries in 201312General industries are growing their marketshareShares of majors industries in

10、2023World Robotics 2024|September 2024Electrical/electronics36,158 24%Automotive69,388 45%General industry46,792 31%Annual installations of industrial robots:automotive and electronics vs.general industry-2013-World Source:International Federation of RoboticsElectrical/electronics125,804 28%Automoti

11、ve135,461 30%General industry188,756 42%Annual installations of industrial robots:automotive and electronics vs.general industry-2023-World Source:International Federation of Robotics777113263942426862835618726868616314792280Allothers/unspecifiedProcessingDispensingCleanroomAssemblingWeldingHandling

12、202320222021Source:World Robotics 2024Annual installations of industrial robots by application-World1,000 unitsHandling by far the largest application13World Robotics 2024|September 2024+5%+5%-22%-11%-41%+1%Collaborative robot installations declining for the first time14World Robotics 2024|September

13、 2024-2%Collaborative robots share remains at 10%15World Robotics 2024|September 2024Collaborative robots10%Traditional industrial robots90%Shares of collaborative vs.traditional industrial robots2023Source:International Federation of RoboticsAnnual installations per region16Growth in EuropeShares o

14、f regionsWorld Robotics 2024|September 202410%2552743854043827466828592473952565520192020202120222023Annual installations of industrial robots(000 of units)Asia/AustraliaEuropeThe AmericasSource:International Federation of RoboticsAsia/Australia72%Europe17%The Americas11%Annual installations of indu

15、strial robots-2023(000 of units)Source:International Federation of Robotics276.346.137.631.428.410.48.56.45.85.14.44.44.33.83.6ChinaJapanUnited StatesRep.of KoreaGermanyItalyIndiaFranceMexicoSpainTrkiyeChinese TaipeiCanadaUnited KingdomThailand000 of unitsAnnual installations of industrial robots15

16、largest markets 2023Source:World Robotics 2024China installs every other robot17World Robotics 2024|September 2024-5%-9%-5%-1%+7%-9%+59%-13%-3%+31%+15%-43%+37%+51%+9%51%in China79%in thetop 5 markets4148701221139912318618414616202735424553891061312014201520162017201820192020202120222023Annual instal

17、lations of industrial robots-ChinaForeign suppliersChinese suppliersSource:World Robotics 20231,000unitsShare of Chinese suppliers at 47%18Growth in China comparable to global growthElectronics main customer industry in ChinaWorld Robotics 2024|September 2024276290275176145155156976957+12%-5%4431483

18、758933637583174100314957426577UnspecifiedAll othersFoodPlastic and chemicalproductsMetal and machineryAutomotiveElectrical/electronics2023202220211,000 unitsSource:World Robotics 2024Annual installations of industrial robots by customer industry-China2529353946555039465046201320142015201620172018201

19、92020202120222023Source:World Robotics 20241,000 unitsAnnual installations of industrial robots-JapanInstallations level out at 46 thousand units19Japan seeking new impetusElectronics and automotive industry declineWorld Robotics 2024|September 2024-4%-9%441271216541181318631181215UnspecifiedAll oth

20、ersFoodPlastic and chemicalproductsMetal and machineryAutomotiveElectrical/electronics2023202220211,000 unitsSource:World Robotics 2024Annual installations of industrial robots by customer industry-Japan242628313340333136403820132014201520162017201820192020202120222023Source:World Robotics 20241,000

21、 unitsAnnual installations of industrial robots-United StatesUnited States:Third highest level ever recorded20US installations remain highUS Automotive Industry installs fewer robotsWorld Robotics 2024|September 2024-1%-5%753434106623441557234412UnspecifiedAll othersFoodPlastic and chemicalproductsE

22、lectrical/electronicsMetal and machineryAutomotive2023202220211,000 unitsSource:World Robotics 2024Annual installations of industrial robots by customer industry-United States212538414038333131323120132014201520162017201820192020202120222023Source:World Robotics 20241,000 unitsAnnual installations o

23、f industrial robots-Rep.of Korea-1%Korean robot demand moving sideways21Korea:moving sidewaysKorean electronics industry down 9%World Robotics 2024|September 2024-4%8,5631,1172796291,0056695,68313,4388,0098306045971,7185,9945,4478,5708,1378525197482,0125,6106,6736,893UnspecifiedAll othersPlastic and

24、 chemicalproductsFoodMetal and machineryElectroniccomponents/devicesAutomotiveOtherElectrical/electronics202320222021unitsSource:World Robotics 2024Annual installations of industrial robots by customer industry-Rep.of Korea18,29720,05119,94520,07421,26726,72322,31322,35425,91526,60528,35520132014201

25、520162017201820192020202120222023Source:World Robotics 2024unitsAnnual installations of industrial robots-GermanyGermany growing22Germany:Automotive back on growth trackGrowth in automotive and in metal/machineryWorld Robotics 2024|September 2024+1%+7%7,1242,1005681,3772,0573,5229,1679,1042,0864461,

26、5432,0724,2347,1208,1392,1144181,7461,8324,9169,190UnspecifiedAll othersFoodElectrical/electronicsPlastic and chemicalproductsMetal and machineryAutomotive202320222021unitsSource:World Robotics 2024Annual installations of industrial robots by customer industry-GermanyTrends and ForecastWorld Robotic

27、s 2024|September 202424Sideways movement for 2024 expected25World Robotics 2024|September 20244233873905265535415415555756022018201920202021202220232024*2025*2026*2027*000 of unitsAnnual installations of industrial robots 2018-2023 and 2024*-2027*forecastSource:World Robotics 2024-0%-2%4043823893974

28、12433859282858891565559636567202220232024*2025*2026*2027*000 of unitsAnnual installations of industrial robots 2022-2023 and 2024*-2027*Asia/AustraliaEuropeThe AmericasSource:World Robotics 2024*forecastForecast26World Robotics 2024|September 2024+2%-11%+6%+3%+4%+4%Various headwinds retain investmen

29、ts Expected rebound of demand from the electronics industry Global economic growth expected to stabilize Decrease of order intake seems to have bottomed out*Short-term market determinants27World Robotics 2024|September 2024*IFR Quarterly Survey:Growth rate of order intake in currency units compared

30、to same period last year.AI ANDMACHINELEARNINGCOBOTS INNEWAPPLICATIONSMOBILEMANIPULATORSDIGITALTWINHUMANOIDSTOP 5 Global Robotics Trends in 202428World Robotics 2024|September 2024 Mobile manipulators offer new use cases,whenevertransportation and handling tasks need to be jointlyautomated end-to-en

31、d in one device Research&development of humanoid robots will yield new technological capabilities Improvements in marketable artificial intelligencesolutions at an incredible paceTechnological trends29World Robotics 2024|September 2024Image:PAL Robotics Market trends Labor scarcity in many developed

32、 economies is driving the demand for automation Reconsideration of supply chains and closeness to customers Small and medium sized enterprizes(SMEs)need easy access to automation https:/ Robotics 2024|September 20242023:Continuous growth*New professional service robots(incl.AMRs)205,000 units(+30%)N

33、ew medical robots 6,200 units(+36%)New consumer service robots 4.1 million units(+1%)Service robots top findings31World Robotics 2024|September 2024*All numbers based on a sample of 298 companies.Data is not projected to the whole industry.Sample composition varies each year.Compiling or comparing d

34、ata from different survey waves is strongly discouraged.Top 5 application areas for professionaland medical useHospitalityMedical&HealthcareAgricultureProfessional CleaningTransportation&Logistics20.0k robots+21%113k robots+35%6.2k robots+36%12.0k robots+4%54.4k robots+31%8312676273161098271Agricult

35、ureProfessional cleaningInspection&maintenanceConstruction&demolitionTransportation&logisticsMedical robotsSearch&rescue,securityHospitalityNumberof servicerobotproducersby applicationgroupand regionof originEuropeThe AmericasAsiaNumber of manufacturers by application33World Robotics 2024|September

36、2024Source:International Federation of Robotics1991078367504732302827United StatesChinaGermanyJapanFranceSouth KoreaCanadaSwitzerlandUnitedKingdomNetherlandsProfessional,consumeruseand medicalrobotmanufacturersby countryof originTotal professional useTotal consumer useTotal medical useTop 10 countri

37、es for service robotssuppliers34World Robotics 2024|September 2024Source:International Federation of RoboticsFocus:Truck loading and unloading in transportation*Driver:massive shortage of staff Advantages:Reduce manual labor and minimize loading/unloading time Technical solutions:autonomous robotic

38、forklifts or mobile manipulators,combined solutions with conveyer belts Major challenges:new application,varying complexity of tasks35World Robotics 2024|September 2024*indoor environments without public trafficImage:Pickle RobotFocus:Transportation in outdoor environments without public traffic Dri

39、vers:shortage of workers need for seamless integration of indoor and outdoor intralogistics Major challenges:dynamic and unpredictable outdoor environments difficult weather conditions uneven ground,irregular surface conditions like gravel obstacles,fewer landmarks36World Robotics 2024|September 202

40、4Image:Capra Robotics Technological advances,e.g.in generative AI,improve robot performance and applicability Demographic change:scarcity of labor is driving robot demand Need for further standards,e.g.on safety Excellent long-term prospectsOutlook37World Robotics 2024|September 2024Image:Neura Robo

41、ticsHumanoid robots:impact on industrial and service robots?!38World Robotics 2024|September 2024establishedevolvingdisruptiveImages:Fourier,1X,Agility,Apptronik,NeuraRobotics,PAL RoboticsImage:StubliImage:Epsontechnology boosttechnology boostThank you for your attention.IFR International Federation of Roboticsc/o VDMA Robotics+Automation60528 Frankfurt Main,Germany+49 69 6603 1502secretariatifr.orghttps:/ifr.org/https:/ Robotics 2024|September 202439